John Deere Classic Odds & Favorites 2025: TPC Deere Run Preview & AI Prediction
TPC Deere Run in Silvis, Ill., hosts the John Deere Classic this week. The tournament tees off on Thursday and runs through Sunday, with Ben Griffin (+1600), Jason Day (+2200), and J.T. Poston (+3000) leading the 156-man field in the early 2025 John Deere Classic odds.
The betting odds for Griffin and Day to win the John Deere Classic represent implied probabilities of 5.88% and 4.35%, respectively. Davis Thompson (+3500) returns to defend his title from last year, while big names like Rickie Fowler (+5000) and Max Homa (+11000) will also be teeing it up.
Not only will I be diving into the favorite on the John Deere Classic oddsboard, but I'll also be getting some help with our AI prediction. A big win from an impact player this week could shake up the British Open odds later this month.
📊 PGA Tour odds this week: 2025 John Deere Classic
Our live John Deere Classic odds will update in real time based on the odds from our best sports betting sites to help with your golf picks.
🏌️ Who's favored to win the John Deere Classic?
Ben Griffin
Best odds: +1600 via FanDuel (bet $10 to win $160) | Implied win probability: 5.88%
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Griffin's recent play has made it easy for bookmakers to make him the favorite at the John Deere Classic. He's racked up multiple wins this year - one at the Charles Schwab Classic, another at the Zurich Classic, and has come T-14 or better over his last three tournaments, which includes a top-10 finish at the U.S. Open.
TPC Deere Run plays right into his style, he's been quietly improving his game around the green, and is now 13th in the world in Strokes Gained: Total. Griffin has been knocking on the door of a win all season, and on a Par-71 setup like TPC Deere Run, he might finally break through.
🤖 John Deere Classic AI prediction
I asked ChatGPT, a large language model chatbot from OpenAI, for its best pick to win the John Deere Classic. Please note that ChatGPT is not an experienced bettor and should be used only to gather additional information and insights.
"Jason Day at +2200 is a compelling pick to win the John Deere Classic this week based on both form and fit."
Why Jason Day?
🔍 Course Fit: TPC Deere Run
- TPC Deere Run is a scoring-friendly layout that rewards players who keep the ball in play, hit quality approach shots, and convert on birdie opportunities.
- Day ranks among the top 25 in Strokes Gained: Approach this season, which is critical at a course where wedges and short irons dominate the approach game.
- His consistent putting on bentgrass greens - like those at Deere Run - is another subtle edge.
📈 Recent form
- Day is heating up at the right time. He finished T-4 at the Travelers Championship, showing sharpness in both tee-to-green play and putting.
- Over his last five events, he’s gained strokes in every major category, indicating a well-rounded game that can hold up over four rounds in a shootout-style event.
🎯 Experience and poise
- As a former World No. 1 and major champion, Day has the mental game to stay composed and close on Sunday.
- He’s shown a renewed confidence and rhythm in 2025, with three top-10 finishes and no missed cuts since April.
⛳ 2025 John Deere Classic info
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Where | TPC Deere Run (Silvis, Ill.) |
| When | Thursday, July 3 – Sunday, July 6 |
| Field | 156 players |
| Favorite | Ben Griffin (+1200 via DraftKings) |
| Defending Champion | Davis Thompson |
| Purse | $8.4 million |
| FedEx Cup Points | 500 to the winner |
💰 John Deere Classic betting history
Here are the recent winners of the John Deere Classic at TPC Deere Run.
| Year | Winner | Score to Par | Margin of Victory | Winner’s Odds (Pre-tournament) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Davis Thompson | −28 | 4 strokes | +5500 |
| 2023 | Sepp Straka | −21 | 2 strokes | +1200 |
| 2022 | J.T. Poston | −21 | 3 strokes | +1400 |
| 2021 | Lucas Glover | −19 | 2 strokes | +10000 |
| 2020 | Canceled (COVID-19) | — | — | — |
| 2019 | Dylan Frittelli | −21 | 2 strokes | +2500 |
Historical odds via GolfOdds.com.
❓ How to bet on golf
When it comes to golf betting, it's essential to understand the various types of wagers available and how to assess player performance effectively.
- Outright winners
- Each-way bets (which encompass both a win and a top finish)
- Head-to-head matchups
- Proposition bets tailored to specific tournament events, like hole-in-one occurrences or player performances on designated holes
Delve into player statistics, recent tournament performances, course history, and any injuries or changes in form that may impact a player's chances of success.
⛳ Golf betting odds pages
| Masters Odds | PGA Championship Odds | U.S. Open Odds |
| British Open Odds | WM Phoenix Open Odds | Players Championship Odds |
| FedEx Cup Odds | Ryder Cup Odds | TGL odds |
🏌️Here are the best golf betting sites for the 2025 John Deere Classic
Looking to bet on the John Deere Classic? Here are the top-rated best golf betting sites as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with the best sportsbook promos ahead of Thursday's first round at TPC Deere Run.
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
- Hard Rock Bet Promo Code | Read our Hard Rock Bet Review
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