Best Home Run Predictions Tonight: MLB Odds, Picks & Prop Bets for July 31

Last Updated: July 31, 2025 3:58 PM EDT β’ 4 minute read X Social Google News Link

We started the day with a bang (literally), as Giancarlo Stanton launched a homer in his first at-bat, and we now turn out attention to our best home run predictions tonight. Unfortunately, for the early picks, Yandy Diaz left the game after being hit by a pitch in his first plate appearance.
We're still profitable, though, and our home run bets tonight of Jorge Polanco and the MLB MVP odds top contender in the AL, Cal Raleigh, will hopefully keep the good times rolling. Polanco came through for us last night; can he do it again?
Together, they formed our four-leg home run parlay that would have paid out over $4,500 in profit on a $10 wager if it hit (read: if Diaz wasn't hit).
π° MLB best home run predictions & odds today: July 31
Here are my best MLB home run predictions and odds today with my pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale. You can also check out our MLB player prop odds tool for the latest MLB odds at the best legal sportsbooks in your region.
𧨠Giancarlo Stanton to hit a home run (+350 via bet365) βββ
𧨠Yandy Diaz to hit a home run (+650 via BetMGM) ββββ
𧨠Jorge Polanco to hit a home run (+600 via FanDuel) ββββ
𧨠Cal Raleigh to hit a home run (+250 via FanDuel) βββ
π Best home run parlay picks
Here is our best MLB home run parlay for Thursday's baseball action; use our parlay calculator to get the best odds for any parlay.
π£ Giancarlo Stanton to hit a home run (+340 via FanDuel)
π£ Yandy Diaz to hit a home run (+520 via FanDuel)
π£ Jorge Polanco to hit a home run (+600 via FanDuel)
π£ Cal Raleigh to hit a home run (+250 via FanDuel)
Parlay odds: +45470 via FanDuel ($10 to win $4,547)
Each product featured on our website has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.
π£ Best home run prediction today: MLB expert picks & prop bets
Here are my best home run bets today. Check out the rest of our MLB picks along with our guide on how to bet on MLB.
βΎ Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees) to hit a home run βββ
Best odds: +350 via bet365 (bet $10 to win $35)
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Sure, Stanton is probably the slowest human in all of professional sports. And yes, that contract continues to age like milk. However, despite being mostly a liability in real life, Stanton provides both fantasy baseball managers and bettors with a ton of potential value.
He's mashed seven home runs in just 119 plate appearances this season, and though most of his batted-ball data is terrible thanks to his absurd strikeout rate, there's no denying that he still crushes the ball when he makes contact. And that's all we need today: one singular shot to that short porch in right.
Of the players set to participate in today's limited slate, it's Stanton - not Raleigh, Matt Olson, Austin Riley, Corey Seager, or any other high-profile slugger - who owns the best home run projection. And though these home run odds are slightly shorter than I'd like, I'm willing to pay the price because of who's on the mound for the Tampa Bay Rays.
Ryan Pepiot is, overall, a good pitcher. However, he's a good pitcher with a home run issue. Look for Stanton to take full advantage of that matchup this afternoon.
π Rays vs. Yankees odds
π‘ Expert MLB predictions today
- MLB home run predictions
- Best NRFI bets today
- Rays vs. Yankees prediction
- Braves vs. Reds prediction
- Rangers vs. Mariners prediction
βBest home run predictions FAQs
What is a home run bet?
A home run bet is a wager on a hitter to hit a HR at any point during a game. Some sportsbooks allow you to bet on a hitter to not hit a home run, but the most common bet is on them to do so.
Can you parlay home run bets?
Yes, you can parlay home run bets. We've provided our best home run parlay today.
How do I place a home run bet?
To place a home run bet, simply go to your favorite sportsbook and go to the game featuring the player of your choice. Then click on batter props and you should see an option to bet a player to hit a home run.
What are the best home run props for tonight?
Our best home run predictions today feature Giancarlo Stanton, Yandy Diaz, Jorge Polanco, and Cal Raleigh.
π΅ Best MLB betting sites
Want to bet on baseball? Check out the best MLB betting sites and best sportsbook promos for today's games:
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
- Hard Rock Bet Promo Code | Read our Hard Rock Bet Review
(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.
Not intended for use in MA.
Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.

Andrew Brennan X social