Best Home Run Predictions Today: MLB Odds, Picks & Prop Bets for Monday, May 12

Last updated: May 12, 2025 10:30 AM EDT • 3 min read X Social Google News Link

MLB MVP odds front-runner Kyle Tucker headlines our best home run predictions today, as he's off to a great start during his first season with the Chicago Cubs.
💰 Best MLB home run predictions & odds today: May 12
Here are my best MLB home run predictions and odds today, with my pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale. You can also check out our MLB player prop odds tool for the latest MLB odds at the best legal sportsbooks in your region.
🧨 Rafael Devers to hit a home run (+400 via FanDuel) vs. Rays ⭐⭐⭐
🧨 Kyle Tucker to hit a home run (+475 via BetMGM) vs. Marlins ⭐⭐⭐⭐
🧨 Cal Raleigh to hit a home run (+375 via ESPN BET) vs. Yankees ⭐⭐⭐
🧨 Eugenio Suarez to hit a home run (+375 via bet365) vs. Giants ⭐⭐⭐⭐
🚀 Best MLB home run parlay picks
Here is our best MLB home run parlay for Monday's baseball action; use our parlay calculator to get the best odds for any parlay.
💣 Rafael Devers to hit a home run (+400)
💣 Kyle Tucker to hit a home run (+390)
💣 Cal Raleigh to hit a home run (+340)
Parlay odds: +10680 via FanDuel ($10 to win $1,068)
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💣 Best home run prediction today: MLB expert picks & prop bets
Here's a breakdown of my best home run prop prediction today. Check out the rest of our MLB picks along with our guide on how to bet on MLB.
⚾ Kyle Tucker (Cubs) to hit a home run ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +475 via BetMGM (bet $10 to win $47.50)
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Sure, the Cubs needed to give up 2024 first-round pick Cam Smith and a couple of other pieces to get what is potentially a one-year rental of Tucker. But they sit first in the NL Central 41 games later, with Tucker serving as one of the betting favorites to win NL MVP. So I don't think the front office is losing any sleep over that one.
Tucker has already swatted 10 homers this year, tied for fourth in the majors. His Statcast page is more red than the tear-filled eyes of the Houston Astros fans looking on from a distance. He really seems to be putting it all together after a bizarre shin injury robbed him of what could have been an MVP-caliber season last year.
The Cubs take on Cal Quantrill today, who's one of the worst pitchers in the majors by a number of metrics. He doesn't strike anyone out, and Quantrill concedes a ton of walks while giving up plenty of homers, all resulting in a hideous 7.11 ERA.
The right-hander is allowing the sixth-hardest average exit velocity among pitchers with at least 100 batted-ball events, and I don't expect that number to come down today against Tucker and Co.
📊 Marlins vs. Cubs odds
💵 Best MLB betting sites
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Andrew Brennan X social