Padres vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds & Best Bets: Did Somebody Say Schwarbomb?

Will Kyle Schwarber and the Phillies ruin Matt Waldron's return to the majors, or can the knuckleballer give his Padres a fighting chance tonight?

Andrew Brennan

Last Updated: June 30, 2025 12:11 PM EDT • 3 minute read

Padres vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds & Best Bets: Monday, June 30 — Pictured: Philadelphia Phillies designated hitter Kyle Schwarber rounds the bases after hitting a home run, and he headlines our Padres vs. Phillies prediction. Photo by Kyle Ross via Imagn Images.

Matt Waldron makes his return to the majors for San Diego tonight, and our Padres vs. Phillies prediction expects the Philadelphia lineup to welcome him back with open arms and vicious swings.

The action gets underway at 6:35 p.m. ET (MLB Network) from Citizens Bank Park, and we're expecting Kyle Schwarber to put on a show for everyone who tunes in.

Padres vs. Phillies prediction: Phillies to win (-220 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Over/Under prediction: Over 8.5 (-120 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
Best player prop pick: Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 total bases (+105 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

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💰 Padres vs. Phillies prediction & best bet

✅ Best bet: Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 total bases (+105 via DraftKings)

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Schwarber hasn't been quite as scorching-hot at the plate as he was at the beginning of the season, but he's still doing plenty of damage for the Phillies.

The slugger owns a .921 OPS over the last two weeks, and he's managed a hit in eight of his last 10 games. Schwarber went Over this total yesterday afternoon in a tough matchup against Spencer Strider, and now gets the gift of facing Waldron tonight.

Schwarber owns the third-best fantasy points projection among all hitters today, and somehow we're still getting plus-money odds on him to go Over 1.5 total bases.

You can make this bet at any of our best sports betting sites, as the worst price of +100 at FanDuel and BetMGM is still completely fine to bet on. Do note, though, that I got this at +115 earlier this morning, so it's moving toward minus money. Get in before that happens.

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Written by:
Andrew Brennan

Andrew Brennan is a publishing editor for Sportsbook Review. He also heads the website’s MLB coverage, from the various futures markets to daily picks. Andrew believes a math-based approach is the best way to enjoy long-term success in sports betting, and he’s spent the better part of the last year fine-tuning his own process for MLB, NBA, and NFL picks. Andrew uses eight different sportsbooks to find the best odds available and various projection models to gather as much information as he can. His most used sportsbooks are bet365, FanDuel, and theScore Bet. When it comes to daily projection models, he regularly references NumberFire across all sports, as it’s one of the best free tools available. In terms of which daily markets Andrew attacks, he almost exclusively bets on pitcher strikeouts for baseball. When the winter rolls around, you’ll see him providing more variety when it comes to the NBA (points, assists, rebounds) and NFL (almost any offensive-based player prop). He used these tools to go +150 units in 2023. Andrew is also a passionate fantasy sports player. He’s played fantasy football, fantasy Premier League, and fantasy baseball for the last decade. He graduated from Durham College with his diploma in journalism after earning his degree in law from Carleton University. He’s worked in sports media since early 2017, first contributing at FanSided before moving to theScore. He joined SBR in 2022.