Red Sox vs. Yankees Prediction, Odds & Expert Picks Tonight: Best Bets & Score Prediction

The Yankees look to stay hot against the Red Sox in tonight's primetime MLB matchup from the Bronx.

Mike Spector

Last updated: June 7, 2025 1:00 PM EDT • 5 min read

Red Sox vs. Yankees Prediction Tonight: Best MLB Odds, Picks & Player Props — Pictured: New York Yankees third baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. (13) follows through on an RBI single against the Boston Red Sox. Photo by Brad Penner via Imagn Images.

The Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees meet again tonight to renew their bitter rivalry, with first pitch slated for 7:35 p.m. ET (FOX) from Yankee Stadium in the Bronx. Our Red Sox vs. Yankees prediction and player props break down this American East matchup from a betting lens.

Oddsmakers have this contest as a virtual pick ’em, with each team trading at -110 odds to win at our best sports betting sites. Our best player props back Yankees slugger Jazz Chisholm Jr. to be limited in what should be a low-scoring affair.

💰 Best Red Sox vs. Yankees predictions & MLB player props tonight: June 7

Here are my best Red Sox vs. Yankees predictions and player props for today's MLB matchup with my pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale. Be sure to check out the rest of our MLB picks along with our guide on how to bet on the MLB.

Game pick: Under 8 (-109 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
Jazz Chisholm Jr. player prop pick: Under 0.5 hits (-120 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
Ceddanne Rafaela player prop pick: Rafaela to record 2+ total bases (+190 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

📊 Red Sox vs. Yankees pick & odds: Who will win today's MLB matchup?

As of Saturday afternoon, the Yankees are favored to beat the Red Sox in today's MLB matchup at 7:35 p.m. ET from Yankee Stadium in New York. I'm predicting the Yankees will beat the Red Sox at -108 moneyline odds.

🔢 Red Sox vs. Yankees odds & betting lines

Here are the latest Red Sox vs. Yankees odds and betting lines from our best live betting sites.

🎯 Red Sox vs. Yankees score prediction: Yankees 4, Red Sox 3

Boston is just 8-15 since May 12, the last time it was two games over .500. However, the Red Sox also have an expected win-loss record three games better than their actual record given their plus-10 run differential. And with Boston trotting out one of the best left-handed pitchers in the sport in Garrett Crochet, that is enough for me to pass on New York’s short moneyline odds.

Crochet has been outstanding in seven road starts, pitching to a 1.69 ERA and allowing an opponent’s batting average of just .181. His last four starts have ended with six or fewer total runs scored.

The Under is also heavily profitable when New York has faced an AL opponent, going 26-10-2 in the 38 games thus far. Thus, the best value is on the total, which is at 8 runs across all the best MLB betting sites, with the Under juiced as high as -115 at FanDuel.

I predict New York will beat Boston by a final score of Yankees 4, Red Sox 3.

Best bet: Under 8 (-109 via DraftKings)

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🖥️ AI predictions for Red Sox vs. Yankees

AI says the projected final score is Yankees 6, Red Sox 3.

Win probability: Yankees 56% | Red Sox 44%
Projected total runs: 9
Key takeaways:

Strong offensive lineup: The Yankees lead the AL in run differential, with their offense powered by Aaron Judge
Home-field advantage: New York has been dominant at home, winning 67.7% (21 of 31) games at Yankee Stadium this season
Inconsistent performance: The Red Sox are 30-35, and have struggled with consistency despite a strong start

1️⃣ Red Sox vs. Yankees first-inning prediction: YRFI

Best odds: -105 via BetMGM

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The YRFI has cashed in four straight Red Sox road games, and Garrett Crochet has better numbers the more he faces opponents. The first time through the lineup he has allowed a .243/.308/.421 slash line, compared to a .159/.233/.195 slash line the third time through the order.

💰 Best Red Sox vs. Yankees player prop bet odds & expert picks: June 7

Here are my best Red Sox vs. Yankees player prop bet odds and expert picks for today's MLB matchup. You can also check out our MLB player prop odds tool for the latest MLB odds at the best legal sportsbooks in your region.

⚾ Best Jazz Chisholm Jr. prop pick: Under 0.5 hits ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -120 via bet365 ($10 to win $8.33)

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Chisholm has eight hits in 16 at-bats (including two home runs) in his first four games back from a five-week stint on the IL. And while Chisholm has reverse splits with a batting average eight points higher against left-handed pitchers than righties, this matchup against Crochet will prove to be too much to overcome.

Crochet has limited opposing left-handed batters to a combined .163/.217/.256 slash line. Chisholm is 0-for-2 in a limited sample size in his career against Crochet, but I expect him to remain hitless in this matchup.

⚾ Best Ceddanne Rafaela prop pick: Rafaela to record two or more total bases ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +190 via bet365 ($10 to win $19)

Rafaela entered this series against the Yankees with a home run in three consecutive games, after homering just three times total in the first 56 games of the season.

Rafaela has five career home runs against New York, his most against any team. He has a great chance to homer off of tonight's starter, Ryan Yarbrough, given that the lefty has allowed a home run in four consecutive starts.

But given Rafaela's lack of consistent home run power to start the season, that has me backing the alternate total on his total bases instead (his Over of 0.5 total bases is juiced to -165), as he entered the series with a slugging percentage 111 points higher against left-handed pitchers than righties.

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Written By:
Mike Spector

Mike started in the sports writing industry in July 2019, and gained a lot of followers in his first year after finishing with the No. 2 overall record in an annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an Over/Under and moneyline perspective. Mike is an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, tennis, and all college sports. In his opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and he's especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. Mike's a big advocate of "fading the public" and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that "there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas." When making wagers, Mike always scours the best odds at all of the major sports betting sites, where he mostly sifts through DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and bet365. He's tried several others and is of the firm belief that bettors should not just stick to one sportsbook, as there is always likely better value to be had with the same wager. In addition, while Mike received his undergraduate degree from Villanova University, he has no issue betting against the Wildcats when it comes to college basketball wagering, and suggests other bettors should always put their “head” before their “hearts.”