Yankees vs. Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Best Bets: Can Schmidt Slow Toronto's Sizzling Bats?

The Toronto Blue Jays are suddenly in a tie with the New York Yankees atop the AL East, can they finish the sweep of the Bronx Bombers tonight.

Sean Tomlinson

Last Updated: July 3, 2025 4:33 PM EDT • 3 minute read

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Prediction — New York Yankees starting pitcher Clarke Schmidt walks off the field. Photo by Vincent Carchiett Imagn.

The fast-rising Toronto Blue Jays are tied with the New York Yankees atop the AL East after already taking three of the first four games in their current series against the Bronx Bombers. But as sizzling as they are right now, our Yankees vs. Blue Jays prediction details why completing the sweep might be a tough ask tonight.

That's reflected in the odds from our best MLB betting sites, as the Yankees are the betting favorite while priced around -124 ahead of first pitch from Rogers Centre in Toronto at 7:07 p.m. ET (MLBN).

Yankees vs. Blue Jays prediction: Yankees to win (-124 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Over/Under prediction: Over 8.5 (-102 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best player prop pick: Clarke Schmidt Over 4.5 strikeouts (+115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

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💰 Yankees vs. Blue Jays prediction & best bet

✅ Best bet: Clarke Schmidt Over 4.5 strikeouts (+115 via BetMGM)

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Making any bet that even remotely goes against the Blue Jays' run production leads to some seriously sweaty times right now.

They've won seven of their last nine contests while averaging seven runs per game. That includes two straight shutout wins during that span, and three games scoring in double digits, with two coming against the Yankees.

But even when we account for Toronto's batters coming to the plate holding lightning bolts lately and striking out the fewest times leaguewide, the strikeout bar for an impressive Schmidt to clear is low.

The Atlanta Braves knocked him around a bit during his last start, with the righty allowing four earned runs across six innings. But he still notched seven strikeouts, even during a rare scuffle. That came after Schmidt's sparkling streak of shutouts in four of five starts, including 25 1/3 scoreless innings.

He's tallied five-plus strikeouts four times across his last six starts, one of which came against the Kansas City Royals, who sit just below the Blue Jays while striking out the second-fewest times.

Some projections are sitting around 5.6 strikeouts for Schmidt tonight too. Be sure to make this play at BetMGM, as DraftKings and FanDuel are sitting as short as -105 and -106, respectively.

📈 Yankees vs. Blue Jays betting insights

Here are some betting insights from BetMGM during the hours before first pitch:

The Yankees are the third most-bet team on the moneyline
There's a significant slant toward them in this matchup too, with 59% of the bets and 81% of the handle on New York
When looking at the total, 88% of the bets and 80% of the handle are on the Over

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Written by:
Sean Tomlinson

Sean Tomlinson has been in the sports media wilderness since 2009, and he joined Sportsbook Review in 2021. His work has been referenced in The New York Times and Forbes. He's also made appearances on The Fan 590 and TSN 1050. Sean is a regular bettor who places bets daily while using a handful of books. Most frequently, he uses FanDuel and bet365 due to the quality experience on those apps. While he'll often take an analytical approach, Sean enjoys the fun, recreational side of betting too, and embraces alternative markets on events like the Westminster Dog Show or Eurovision, or the many novelty props tied annually to the Super Bowl, for example. Beyond sports, Sean is also interested in the betting markets tied to politics, and especially those connected to American elections. He sees betting as a way to explore and engage in a deeper way, and takes that same view to his work. He plays poker periodically too, and is an avid fantasy sports player. Sean also previously spent time with Bleacher Report and theScore, all after earning his media studies degree from the University of Guelph-Humber.