Alexandre Muller vs. Novak Djokovic Prediction, Odds & Best Bets: Wimbledon 2025 Expert Picks

Searching for his 25th major championship, Novak Djokovic starts his Wimbledon campaign against Alexandre Muller. We've found two appealing picks to tail for the Round 1 match.

Gary Pearson

Last Updated: June 30, 2025 12:14 PM EDT • 3 minute read

Pictured: Novak Djokovic, featured in our Alexandre Muller vs. Novak Djokovic Prediction, Odds & Best Bets, at the French Open. Photo by Susan Mullane via Imagn Images

The 24-time major championship winner has appeared in the last six Wimbledon finals as we provide our Alexandre Muller vs. Novak Djokovic prediction, odds and best bets.

Djokovic has won seven Wimbledon titles, while Muller didn't make it past the second round in either of his appearances at the All England Club.

The Round 1 match starts at 8:30 a.m. ET (ESPN) on Centre Court, and Djokovic has -5000 odds at DraftKings, implying a 98.04% win probability.

🎾 Alexandre Muller vs. Novak Djokovic prediction & best bet

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✅ Pick to win: Novak Djokovic 3-0 (-250 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
✅ Best prop bet: Alexandre Muller Over 10.5 games (-112 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

Read on for the latest odds and full analysis of our best bets ⤵️

📊 Alexandre Muller vs. Novak Djokovic odds: Wimbledon 2025

Latest Wimbledon odds via DraftKings; implied probability via our odds converter.

Player	Odds to win	Probability
Novak Djokovic	-5000	98.04%
Alexandre Muller	+2000	4.76%

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🏆 Alexandre Muller vs. Novak Djokovic expert pick to win

✅ Novak Djokovic 3-0 ⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: -250 via DraftKings ($10 to win $4)
🔢 Implied probability: 71.43%

Djokovic won his first four matches in straight sets at the recent French Open before conceding one against Alexander Zverev in the quarterfinals.

He is 98-12 at Wimbledon and has never lost a first-round match on grass.

While rust might be a factor for Djokovic, who hasn't played since losing in the semifinals of the French Open to Jannik Sinner, rest supersedes warm-up tournaments at this stage of his career.

Djokovic should get any lingering rust out of his system in the first set and cruise to a straight-set victory, as he did the only other time he faced Muller. That match occurred in the first round of the 2023 US Open.

💰 Best Alexandre Muller vs. Novak Djokovic prop bet

✅ Alexandre Muller Over 10.5 games ⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: -112 via FanDuel ($10 to win $8.93)
🔢 Implied probability: 52.38%

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Muller is having his best season on tour, sporting a 17-15 record. While he's lost four in a row, including two straight-set grass-court losses in Halle and Mallorca, he advanced to the second round in his two Wimbledon appearances.

I expect the world no. 41 to play Djokovic tight in the first set, capitalizing on some residual rust that GOAT may have to work through.

Djokovic has endured a few rough periods in the opening rounds of majors lately. While he quickly overcomes them, a lapse of any kind should be enough for Muller to cash our Over bet. FanDuel offers the longest odds (-112) of our best sports betting sites.

📺 How to watch Alexandre Muller vs. Novak Djokovic: Wimbledon 2025

📍 Date: July 1, 2025
🕘 Time: 8:30 a.m. ET
🏟️ Location: All England Club (London)
📡 How to watch: ESPN, ESPN+

💡 More Wimbledon predictions

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Written by:
Gary Pearson

Gary Pearson has written professionally since 2010, focusing on sports betting since 2014. Before entering the sports betting space, he contributed to the Canadian Press, FanSided, the Hockey Writers, the Calgary Herald, and other publications. His work has also been featured in Sports Illustrated and Bleacher Report. Gary, who consumes sports like a blue whale devours plankton, has a penchant for writing predictions and analyses across several sports, including hockey, soccer, football, tennis, and more. He bets regularly, preferring single-game picks, props, and live betting. While there isn't a sport he has yet to dabble in, Gary prefers betting on soccer, hockey, and football. He studied at various post-secondary institutions, including the University of Calgary, SAIT Polytechnic, and Griffith University, located in Brisbane, Australia. Gary has a marketing degree and completed his bachelor's degree in journalism at Griffith University. He feels strongly that life experience is as essential as post-secondary education, helping formulate more accurate predictions and analyses. Gary believes that competing at a high level of amateur sports during his formative years helped him better understand an athlete's psyche and the nuances and complexities of a team's dynamic, both on and off the playing surface. He feels that knowledge is immeasurably important when offering his analytical expertise. He has lived on five continents and currently resides in Canada.