Emanuel Navarrete vs. Charly Suarez Prediction, Expert Picks & Odds: Super Featherweight

Emanuel Navarrete looks to claim the “0” on Charly Suarez’s record this Saturday, with our Navarrete vs. Suarez prediction coming fewer than 48 hours before the pair square off at super featherweight (or junior lightweight) from Pechanga Arena in San Diego.

Mexico’s Navarrete puts his WBO strap on the line for the fourth time, with his most recent defense coming during a rematch with Oscar Valdez via sixth-round KO this past December. The stoppage brought the three-division champ’s record to a gaudy 39-2-1 with 32 finishes.

As for the challenger, Suarez has been perfect through 18 pro bouts, with 10 victories coming within the distance. The Filipino bruiser was last seen disposing of short-notice foe Jorge Castaneda in under three rounds during September, with the stoppage punching his ticket to a shot at a major title in the WBO crown.

🥊 Navarrete vs. Suarez prediction & fight preview

Suarez might boast a two-inch edge in reach, but that won’t matter come fight night.

While the challenger likes to claim the center and pop the jab to both the head and body, he’s tasked with defeating a dog in Navarrete, who never goes away and knows how to throw when being pressed backward. Furthermore, the clear edge in strength of schedule lies with the defending champion, who boasts over double Suarez’s fights, and against stiffer competition.

Navarrete is no stranger to working off the back foot, most notably during his pair of recent wins against Valdez. He’ll need to do the same against Suarez while pumping the jab to keep the challenger honest and finding the timing on his hooks and uppercuts. Navarrete has made a career out of outlasting his man, and I expect him to do the same while taking over this clash within a handful of rounds en route to the W.

The defending WBO king heads to San Diego as a heavy favorite, with all the best boxing betting sites offering little value on a straight-up Navarrete win. Indeed, FanDuel lists Navarrete at just -600 as of Friday morning, with DraftKings getting our nod at -500.

✅ Prediction: Navarrete to win (-500 via DraftKings) | Implied probability: 83.3%

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💰 Navarrete vs. Suarez best bet

Between Suarez’s habit of claiming the center and Navarrete’s chin, resilience, and volume, there’s little reason to believe these two will need all 12 rounds. 

The challenger certainly is no can, but he’s taking a significant step up in competition late in the game at age 36, and Navarrete should prove a bridge too far. Not only is Navarrete durable, he maintains a solid output, knows how to mix up his targets, and boasts a whopping 32 stoppages across 39 career wins.

With Suarez no doubt coming out aggressively from the opening bell, look for Navarrete to work off the back foot through the early rounds before taking over and overwhelming a game, yet outmatched Suarez with hooks and uppercuts for the stoppage.

Unlike this matchup’s straight moneyline action, the prop lines on a stoppage victory for Navarrete are quite compelling. While FanDuel and DraftKings offer a 33rd career KO/TKO for the champ at -120 and -115, respectively, BetMGM leads the way as our best bet at a solid -110.

✅ Best bet: Navarrete by KO/TKO (-110 via BetMGM) | Implied probability: 52.4%

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📊 Navarrete vs. Suarez odds

Odds via DraftKings as of Friday.

Those interested in betting on the reigning WBO champion will find some appealing action in the method of victory props, with Navarrete’s preferred method - the KO/TKO - offering solid value, and an eighth career win on points even more so at +185 as of Friday morning.

🆚 Navarrete vs. Suarez tale of the tape

📡 Navarrete vs. Suarez fight info & how to watch

🥊 Super featherweight/junior lightweight
📅 Saturday, May 10
🕗 10 p.m. ET
📍 Pechanga Arena, San Diego, CA, US📺 ESPN | 🛜 ESPN+

💵 Best boxing betting sites

Ready to bet on boxing? Check out the best boxing betting sites and best sportsbook promos for this weekend's card:

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• bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
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• DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review

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