F1 Odds & Predictions This Week: Emilia Romagna Grand Prix
Oscar Piastr has won three races in a row entering Sunday's race at Imola, and he's the co-favorite alongside teammate Lando Norris at our best sports betting sites as we look at the Emilia Romagna Grand Prix odds and make our top predictions.
Piastri has won four of six races thus far to become the F1 Championship odds favorite, thanks to his sky-high confidence while driving the circuit's highest-performing car.
While he's a solid bet to make it four in a row, I'm backing Norris to secure his first victory since the opening race of the season Down Under.
Max Verstappen, again receiving the third-shortest odds, is someone to watch out for at Imola, a track known for its high degree of difficulty. Sunday's race at Autodromo Internazionale Enzo e Dino Ferrari in Italy starts at 9 a.m. ET.
🥇2025 Emilia Romagna Grand Prix odds & favorites🥇
Emilia Romagna Grand Prix odds via FanDuel as of Monday, May 12.
| Driver | Odds | Implied probability | Profit on a $10 bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lando Norris | +130 | 43.48% | $13 |
| Oscar Piastri | +130 | 43.48% | $13 |
| Max Verstappen | +650 | 13.33% | $65 |
| George Russell | +1600 | 5.88% | $160 |
| Charles Leclerc | +2200 | 4.35% | $220 |
| Lewis Hamilton | +2800 | 3.45% | $280 |
| Kimi Antonelli | +2800 | 3.45% | $280 |
| Yuki Tsunoda | +19000 | 0.52% | $1,900 |
| Carlos Sainz | +20000 | 0.50% | $2,000 |
| Alex Albon | +20000 | 0.50% | $2,000 |
| Fernando Alonso | +42000 | 0.24% | $4,200 |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | +42000 | 0.24% | $4,200 |
| Liam Lawson | +42000 | 0.24% | $4,200 |
| Esteban Ocon | +42000 | 0.24% | $4,200 |
| Pierre Gasly | +42000 | 0.24% | $4,200 |
| Oliver Bearman | +42000 | 0.24% | $4,200 |
| Esteban Ocon | +42000 | 0.24% | $4,200 |
| Lance Stroll | +42000 | 0.24% | $4,200 |
| Jack Doohan | +42000 | 0.24% | $4,200 |
| Nick Hulkenberg | +42000 | 0.24% | $4,200 |
| Isaak Hadjar | +42000 | 0.24% | $4,200 |
💰 Emilia Romagna Grand Prix predictions, expert picks & best bets to win
Here are my best Emilia Romagna Grand Prix predictions for Sunday's race in Italy. Picks based on odds from our best F1 betting sites.
🏆 Pick to win Emilia Romagna Grand Prix: Lando Norris ⭐⭐⭐⭐
👉 Best odds: +150 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 40%
Norris hasn't won a race since the Australian Grand Prix on opening weekend. However, of the six races, he finished in second three times, third and fourth once.
He came close to ending Piastri's win streak at the Miami Grand Prix, taking second after crossing the line just over four seconds behind his Aussie teammate.
Norris finished second at last year's Emilia Romagna Grand Prix behind Verstappen. I'm giving Norris a minuscule advantage over his teammate because of the track's high degree of difficulty.
Norris' experience advantage might facilitate a slightly smoother run, utilizing the kerbs while not pushing the envelope too much. That delicate balance is fit for someone with more races under his belt.
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💎 Best value bet to win Emilia Romagna Grand Prix: Max Verstappen ⭐⭐⭐⭐
👉 Best odds: +650 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 13.33%
Verstappen is clearly operating an inferior car, which he's made everyone repeatedly aware of. One of the main issues with the Red Bull car is its propensity for thermal degradation on its tires. Basically, the tires overheat too quickly. With the searing heat in Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, and Miami, that issue was more pronounced in recent races.
It shouldn't be as problematic at Imola, where the high temperature shouldn't eclipse 76 degrees. If there is a race he can make up for his car's performance issues, this might be it. The more difficult Imola track should benefit Verstappen's wealth of experience and overall skill superiority.
There's also the tidbit that he's won the last three races at Imola. Of our best sports betting apps, FanDuel is offering the outlier +650. So, if you're inclined to back Verstappen, do it there.
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🎯 Best long shot to win Emilia Romagna Grand Prix: George Russell ⭐⭐⭐
👉 Best odds: +1600 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 5.88%
How many times can a driver knock on the door of first place without winning? You'll have to pose that question to Russell, who has been a beacon of consistency despite not capturing that elusive win. Maybe, Imola will provide the Brit the platform to get over the hump finally.
He'll require a few mistakes from Norris and Piastri to get the job done. If those occur, Russell will be in the running to win his first race of the season.
The Mercedes driver has four podium finishes in six races, snatching second at the Bahrain Grand Prix. He struggled a bit at Emilia Romagna last year, finishing seventh.
However, he's been a step above last season's performances and has the best chance of anyone outside the big three this week.
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🏆 Past Emilia Romagna Grand Prix winners
Here is a look at the Emilia Romagna Grand Prix winners since the inaugural race in 2020.
| Year | Driver | Team |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 🇳🇱 Max Verstappen | Red Bull-Honda RBPT |
| 2023 | Not held due to the floods in Emilia-Romagna | Not held due to the floods in Emilia-Romagna |
| 2022 | 🇳🇱 Max Verstappen | Red Bull-Honda RBPT |
| 2021 | 🇳🇱 Max Verstappen | Red Bull-Honda RBPT |
| 2020 | 🇬🇧 Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes (Now Ferrari) |
📈 Emilia Romagna Grand Prix trends & history
🏎️ The venue previously hosted the Italian Grand Prix in 1980, and the San Marino Grand Prix from 1981 to 2006
🏎️ Formula One returned to the venue and location (Imola) in 2020 when it became referred to as Emilia Romagna, named after the region where the event takes place
🏎️ Hamilton holds the fastest lap (1m 15.484s), which he accomplished with Mercedes in 2020
🏎️ Ayrton Senna has the record for most pole positions (8)
🏎️ Michael Schumacher holds the record for most wins (7)
🏎️ Verstappen won the last three races at Imola
🏎️ Pole-sitter won the last two races but not the preceding two
📺 How to watch the 2025 Emilia Romagna Grand Prix
📅 Race date: Sunday, May 18
🕒 Start time: 9 a.m. ET
📍 Track: Autodromo Internazionale Enzo e Dino Ferrari (Emilia Romagna, Italy)
📺 TV: ESPN
💻 Streaming: ESPN+
☀️ Weather: 72 degrees, 8 mph to 12 mph winds, 14% chance of precipitation (about 1mm)
❓ Emilia Romagna Grand Prix FAQs
Who is favored to win the Emilia Romagna Grand Prix?
Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri are the Emilia Romagna Grand Prix odds co-favorites while getting +130 odds, which leads to an implied probability of 43.48%.
What are the odds for the Emilia Romagna Grand Prix?
Oscar Piastri (+130), Lando Norris (+130), and Max Verstappen (+650) are getting the shortest odds to win the Emilia Romagna Grand Prix.
What time is the 2025 Emilia Romagna Grand Prix?
The Emilia Romagna Grand Prix starts at 9 a.m. ET on Sunday, May 18.
How to watch the 2025 Emilia Romagna Grand Prix
You can watch the Emilia Romagna Grand Prix on ESPN or ESPN+.
Who has won the most Emilia Romagna Grand Prix races?
Michael Schumacher won the most races at Autodromo Internazionale Enzo e Dino Ferrari (7).
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