2025 NASCAR AI Picks at Iowa Today: ChatGPT's Full Predictions for Iowa Corn 350

Our NASCAR AI predictions look for an eighth win in 16 weeks ahead of the Iowa Corn 350 today at 3:30 p.m. ET (USA Network) from Iowa Speedway.

We asked ChatGPT for its NASCAR at Iowa predictions based on historical data, betting odds, and statistical trends - including its pick to win, best prop bet, favorite long shot, and results for every driver for today's 37-car field.

Along with our 2025 Iowa Corn 350 predictions, here are our AI-powered NASCAR best bets and full AI-simulated finishing order:

🏆 Best NASCAR bet to win at Iowa

🏎️ Ryan Blaney

• Racing team: No. 12 (Team Penske Ford)
• Starting position: 6th
• Best odds: +625 via BetMGM ($10 to win $62.50)

✅ Why Ryan Blaney wins at Iowa

1. Short-track excellence — especially at Iowa
Blaney won last year’s Cup race at Iowa and dominated large chunks of the event, including long green-flag runs. He also has a strong Xfinity record here (2015 win, multiple top-fives). Iowa’s unique worn surface and progressive banking suit his smooth throttle control and long-run tire management.

2. Team Penske’s Iowa dominance
Penske swept the top two here last year (Blaney 1st, Logano 2nd), and its short-flat program remains elite in 2025. Blaney’s car has shown speed all weekend in practice and qualifying simulations, even if the raw one-lap pace didn’t pop in time trials (starting 6th).

3. Hot streak + playoff urgency
Blaney has been heating up over the summer, finishing top five in three of the last five races. With the playoffs approaching, this is exactly the time of year he tends to sharpen. He’s been vocal about feeling confident with Iowa’s rhythm, and everything from the long-run pace to pit execution looks playoff-ready.

🔢 AI simulation for Ryan Blaney

• Projected finish: 1st
• Simulated odds to win: 13.8%
• Confidence rating: ⭐⭐⭐ (3 out of 5 stars)

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🎯 Best NASCAR prop bet at Iowa

🏎️ Kyle Larson top-3 finish

• Racing team: No. 5 (Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet)
• Starting position: 3rd
• Best odds: +130 via Caesars ($10 to win $13)

✅ Why Kyle Larson finishes top-3 at Iowa

1. Iowa is a perfect stylistic fit
Larson thrives on multi-groove short tracks like Iowa where throttle control, rim-riding, and late corner drive are essential. He’s a dirt racer at heart and has run the top groove here with surgical precision, especially in Xfinity.

2. Elite speed all weekend
Larson qualified 3rd and was fastest in 10-lap and 15-lap averages during final practice. He also ran the most laps in traffic, giving the No. 5 team excellent long-run data — a huge edge on a track with heavy tire falloff.

3. Consistent podium contender
Larson has finished top 3 in 4 of the last 7 races and has the best average finish (3.9) over that span. Even when he doesn’t win, he’s nearly always in the mix late — and Iowa’s chaotic restarts could put him in P1 with just one aggressive corner.

🔢 AI simulation for Kyle Larson

• Projected finish: 3rd
• Simulated odds for top-5: 51.6%
• Confidence rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4 out of 5 stars)

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🚀 Best NASCAR long shot at Iowa

🏎️ Justin Haley

• Racing team: No. 7 (Spire Motorsports Chevrolet)
• Starting position: 10th
• Best odds: +16000 via FanDuel ($10 to win $1,600)

✅ Why Justin Haley can win at Iowa

1. Short-flat track ace with Midwest roots
Haley has quietly been one of the most consistent performers on short and intermediate ovals under 1 mile. In the lower series, he had multiple top-10s at Iowa (including his first-ever win) and other similar layouts. His driving style — smooth entry, tire conservation, clean exits — works at this place.

2. Spire speed has been real
Spire Motorsports has taken a leap in 2025, especially on short tracks. Haley’s teammate Carson Hocevar has already shown top-10 speed at Richmond and Gateway. Haley has benefitted from better simulation tools and setups, and the No. 7 car has quietly overperformed on worn-out surfaces.

3. Chaos amplifier
Iowa’s narrow corners and high tire falloff tend to invite strategy calls, late yellows, and aggressive restarts. If Haley finds himself in the top 10 with a short-run car late — or if a fuel-mileage gamble comes into play — he’s just savvy enough to capitalize.

🔢 AI simulation for Justin Haley

• Projected finish: 8th
• Simulated odds to win: 1.4%
• Confidence rating: ⭐⭐ (2 out of 5 stars)

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🤖 NASCAR AI projections today

Here is our predicted Iowa Corn 350 finishing order and results for every driver based on AI projections. While ChatGPT is a large language model and not specifically designed for predicting sporting events, it can spot trends or insights that NASCAR bettors might overlook.

🏁 Projected finish order at Iowa

1. Ryan Blaney (No. 12, Team Penske Ford) 🥇
2. William Byron (No. 24, Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet) 🥈
3. Kyle Larson (No. 5, Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet) 🥉
4. Chase Elliott (No. 9, Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet)
5. Brad Keselowski (No. 6, RFK Racing Ford)
6. Chase Briscoe (No. 19, Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota)
7. Christopher Bell (No. 20, Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota)
8. Justin Haley (No. 7, Spire Motorsports Chevrolet)
9. Denny Hamlin (No. 11, Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota)
10. Ty Gibbs (No. 54, Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota)
11. Austin Cindric (No. 2, Team Penske Ford)
12. Bubba Wallace (No. 23, 23XI Racing Toyota)
13. Joey Logano (No. 22, Team Penske Ford)
14. A.J. Allmendinger (No. 16, Kaulig Racing Chevrolet)
15. Josh Berry (No. 21, Wood Brothers Racing Ford)
16. Carson Hocevar (No. 77, Spire Motorsports Chevrolet)
17. Alex Bowman (No. 48, Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet)
18. Michael McDowell (No. 71, Spire Motorsports Chevrolet)
19. Chris Buescher (No. 17, RFK Racing Ford)
20. Charles Chastain (No. 1, Trackhouse Racing Chevrolet)
21. Cole Custer (No. 41, Haas Factory Team Ford)
22. Daniel Suárez (No. 99, Trackhouse Racing Chevrolet)
23. Erik Jones (No. 43, Legacy Motor Club Toyota)
24. Zane Smith (No. 38, Front Row Motorsports Ford)
25. Riley Herbst (No. 35, 23XI Racing Toyota)
26. Ty Dillon (No. 10, Kaulig Racing Chevrolet)
27. Tyler Reddick (No. 45, 23XI Racing Toyota)
28. Ryan Preece (No. 60, RFK Racing Ford)
29. Noah Gragson (No. 4, Front Row Motorsports Ford)
30. Todd Gilliland (No. 34, Front Row Motorsports Ford)
31. Jesse Love (No. 62, Beard Motorsports Chevrolet)
32. Cody Ware (No. 51, Rick Ware Racing Ford)
33. Shane van Gisbergen (No. 88, Trackhouse Racing Chevrolet)
34. Kyle Busch (No. 8, Richard Childress Racing Chevrolet)
35. John Hunter Nemechek (No. 42, Legacy Motor Club Toyota)
36. Katherine Legge (No. 78, Live Fast Motorsports Chevrolet)
37. Joey Gase (No. 66, Garage 66 Ford)

💰 NASCAR AI picks for Iowa

💵 Best NASCAR betting sites

Want to bet on the Iowa Corn 350 at Iowa Speedway? Check out the best sports betting sites for NASCAR ahead of today's race:

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