NASCAR AI Picks at Sonoma: ChatGPT's Full Predictions for Today's Toyota/Save Mart 350

Our NASCAR AI predictions preview today's 2025 Toyota/Save Mart 350 at Sonoma Raceway, which gets underway at 3:30 p.m. ET (TNT) from Sonoma, Calif. 

We asked ChatGPT for its NASCAR at Sonoma predictions based on historical data, betting odds, and statistical trends - including its pick to win, best prop bet, favorite long shot, and results for every driver for this afternoon's 37-car field.

Along with our 2025 Toyota/Save Mart 350 predictions at Sonoma, here are our AI-powered NASCAR best bets and full AI-simulated finishing order:

🏆 Best bet to win at Sonoma

🏎️ Shane van Gisbergen

• Racing team: No. 88 (TrackHouse Racing)
• Starting position: 1st
• Best odds: +125 via BetMGM ($10 to win $12.50)

✅ Why van Gisbergen wins at Sonoma

1. Elite Road Course Pedigree
SVG is arguably the best pure road course driver in the field. He stunned the NASCAR world by winning in his Cup debut at the Chicago Street Course in 2023 and followed it up with a dominant road course resume in both NASCAR and Australian Supercars - including another win last week at Chicago. His car control, braking points, and racecraft on twisty layouts are unmatched.

2. Trackhouse Road Course Strength
Trackhouse has established itself as a road course powerhouse. With van Gisbergen, Daniel Suarez, and Ross Chastain all picking up road wins under their banner in recent years, the No. 88 team has the right equipment to contend.

3. Pole Position + Track Position Advantage
Starting P1 at Sonoma is huge. Passing is difficult here, and clean air on the nose matters more than at most road tracks. SVG can control the opening stint, dictate pit strategy, and minimize chaos. The best drivers from the front row have historically cashed in - and he’s the best driver here.

🔢 AI simulation for Shane van Gisbergen

• Projected finish: 1st
• Simulated odds to win: 48.6%
• Confidence rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4 out of 5 stars)

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🎯 Best prop bet at Sonoma

🏎️ AJ Allmendinger top-3 finish

• Racing team: No. 16 (Kaulig Racing)
• Starting position: 5th
• Best odds: +350 via DraftKings ($10 to win $35)

✅ Why Allmendinger finishes top-3 at Sonoma

1. Road Course Expertise
Allmendinger is one of the best road racers in the field - period. He's won at the Charlotte Roval, has two Xfinity road course wins at Sonoma, and consistently runs near the front on twisty layouts. Even in part-time Cup starts, his talent shines when there are right turns involved.

2. Impressive Qualifying & Setup Speed
Starting P5 gives him prime track position to avoid mid-pack chaos and stick with the leaders through early strategy plays. Kaulig Racing has shown they can bring competitive equipment to road courses, especially when the No. 16 is dialed in from the jump - and it looks like it is.

3. Track History & Aggressive Racecraft
He finished 6th at Sonoma last year and has a knack for maximizing restarts and short-run speed in late-race situations. If this race comes down to a sprint after a caution (which it often does), he’s one of the best bets to capitalize and stay up front.

🔢 AI simulation for AJ Allmendinger

• Projected finish: 2nd
• Simulated odds for top-5: 47%
• Confidence rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4 out of 5 stars)

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🚀 Best long shot at Sonoma

🏎️ Michael McDowell

• Racing team: No. 71 (Spire Motorsports)
• Starting position: 15th
• Best odds: +1800 via BetMGM ($10 to win $180)

✅ Why McDowell could win at Sonoma

1. Elite Road Course Pedigree
McDowell isn’t just a Daytona 500 champ - he’s become one of the most consistently underrated road course racers in the Cup Series. He finished 2nd at Sonoma last year and won at the Indy Road Course two years ago. His smooth driving style and braking control fit Sonoma’s elevation-heavy layout perfectly.

2. Team Has Shown Up on Road Courses
Front Row Motorsports brings strong setups to road courses, and McDowell makes the most of them. The No. 71 team has found rhythm at technical tracks and uses alternate pit strategies wisely. If this becomes a fuel/tire game late, he’s a top-tier strategist.

3. Mid-Pack Starting Spot = Low Hype, High Value
Starting 15th puts him in the exact right zone for contrarian betting. It’s far enough back to keep odds long, but close enough to leap into the top 10 with clean air early. If chaos strikes up front (SVG, Larson, Allmendinger), he’s next in line.

🔢 AI simulation for Michael McDowell

• Projected finish: 19th
• Simulated odds to win: 6.8%
• Confidence rating: ⭐⭐⭐ (3 out of 5 stars)

🤖 NASCAR AI projections today

Here is our predicted Toyota/Save Mart 350 finishing order and results for every driver based on AI projections. While ChatGPT is a large language model and not specifically designed for predicting sporting events, it can spot trends or insights that NASCAR bettors might overlook.

🏁 Projected finish order at Sonoma

1. Shane van Gisbergen (No. 88, Trackhouse Racing) 🥇
2. A.J. Allmendinger (No. 16, Kaulig Racing) 🥈
3. Chase Elliott (No. 9, Hendrick Motorsports) 🥉
4. Ross Chastain (No. 1, Trackhouse Racing)
5. Kyle Larson (No. 5, Hendrick Motorsports)
6. William Byron (No. 24, Hendrick Motorsports)
7. Tyler Reddick (No. 45, 23XI Racing)
8. Alex Bowman (No. 48, Hendrick Motorsports)
9. Christopher Bell (No. 20, Joe Gibbs Racing)
10. Chase Briscoe (No. 19, Joe Gibbs Racing)
11. Ryan Blaney (No. 12, Team Penske)
12. Denny Hamlin (No. 11, Joe Gibbs Racing)
13. Ty Gibbs (No. 54, Joe Gibbs Racing)
14. Kyle Busch (No. 8, Richard Childress Racing)
15. Chris Buescher (No. 17, RFK Racing)
16. Joey Logano (No. 22, Team Penske)
17. Zane Smith (No. 38, Front Row Motorsports)
18. Daniel Suarez (No. 99, Trackhouse Racing)
19. Michael McDowell (No. 71, Spire Motorsports)
20. John Hunter Nemechek (No. 42, Legacy Motor Club)
21. Brad Keselowski (No. 6, RFK Racing)
22. Ryan Preece (No. 60, RFK Racing)
23. Ty Dillon (No. 10, Kaulig Racing)
24. Josh Berry (No. 21, Wood Brothers Racing)
25. Austin Cindric (No. 2, Team Penske)
26. Carson Hocevar (No. 77, Spire Motorsports)
27. Bubba Wallace (No. 23, 23XI Racing)
28. Justin Haley (No. 7, Spire Motorsports)
29. Erik Jones (No. 43, Legacy Motor Club)
30. Cole Custer (No. 41, Haas Factory Team)
31. Austin Dillon (No. 3, Richard Childress Racing)
32. Noah Gragson (No. 4, Front Row Motorsports)
33. Riley Herbst (No. 35, 23XI Racing)
34. Todd Gilliland (No. 34, Front Row Motorsports)
35. Cody Ware (No. 51, Rick Ware Racing)
36. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. (No. 47, Hyak Motorsports)
37. Katherine Legge (No. 78, Live Fast Motorsports)

💰 NASCAR best bets for Sonoma

💵 Best NASCAR betting sites

Want to bet on the Toyota/Save Mart 350 at Sonoma Raceway? Check out the best sports betting sites for NASCAR ahead of today's race:

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