Spanish Grand Prix Odds and AI Pick: Piastri a Narrow Favorite, Norris Close Behind
The next chapter in one of the longest-running F1 races takes place on Sunday, and we're diving in with our Spanish Grand Prix odds. Qualifying gets underway in just hours and is sure to shake things up; drivers are currently finishing their final free practice.
For now, our best F1 betting sites are unsurprisingly projecting more steamrolling from McLaren while listing Oscar Piastri and Lando Norris as the betting favorites. However, Max Verstappen lurks not too far behind and has gained ground, and he's the three-time defending winner at the Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya.
📊 Spanish Grand Prix odds 2025
Spanish Grand Prix odds via Caesars as of Sunday, June 1.
| Driver | Caesars | Implied probability | Profit on $10 bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar Piastri | -150 | 60% | $6.67 |
| Lando Norris | +200 | 33.33% | $20 |
| Max Verstappen | +600 | 14.29% | $60 |
| George Russell | +3300 | 2.94% | $330 |
| Lewis Hamilton | +4000 | 2.44% | $400 |
| Charles Leclerc | +5000 | 1.96% | $500 |
| Kimi Antonelli | +12500 | 0.79% | $1,250 |
| Isack Hadjar | +30000 | 0.33% | $3,000 |
| Pierre Gasly | +30000 | 0.33% | $3,000 |
| Fernando Alonso | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Alex Albon | +100000 | 0.10% | $10,000 |
| Liam Lawson | +100000 | 0.10% | $10,000 |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | +150000 | 0.07% | $15,000 |
| Carlos Sainz | +200000 | 0.05% | $20,000 |
| Yuki Tsunoda | +200000 | 0.05% | $20,000 |
| Esteban Ocon | +250000 | 0.04% | $25,000 |
| Oliver Bearman | +250000 | 0.04% | $25,000 |
| Franco Colapinto | +300000 | 0.03% | $30,000 |
| Nick Hulkenberg | +300000 | 0.03% | $30,000 |
Here are a few quick observations about the Spanish Grand Prix odds as we prepare for the 66th running of the race:
- The two McLaren drivers have finished on the podium together six times this season over eight races, including twice when they occupied the top two spots, and they're far out in front of the field as favorites.
- It's then a steep drop to Verstappen and his implied probability of 14.29%, even though the Red Bull dynamo and four-time defending F1 champion is only one race removed from winning the Emilia-Romagna Grand Prix.
- There's a significant dropoff in the odds to George Russell, Lewis Hamilton, Charles Leclerc, and Kimi Antonelli, all or whom are receiving less than a 3% chance of winning.
- The true cliff dive in the odds begins after those top seven drivers, as they're the only ones getting odds shorter than +30000.
🤖 Spanish Grand Prix AI prediction
I had a conversation with ChatGPT, a large language model chatbot from OpenAI, and asked for its best Spanish Grand Prix pick to win. Please note that ChatGPT is not an experienced bettor, and it should be used only to gather additional information and insights.
🏆 Max Verstappen (+400 via FanDuel)
Here's why Max Verstappen (+400) is the pick from ChatGPT to win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix.
Bet $5, Win $200 in Bonus Bets
New customers only. Min. deposit $5+. Bet $5+ and win $200 in Bonus Bets, if your bet wins (within 72 hours). Bet does not have to win in AZ, CO, KS, NC, or TN.
Each product featured on our website has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.
🏎️ Proven track record at Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya: Verstappen has demonstrated exceptional performance at this circuit, securing victories in 2022, 2023, and 2024. His familiarity and success on this track underscore his capability to dominate once again.
🏎️ Current form and statistical advantage: According to FanDuel's win simulations, Verstappen holds a 62.0% probability of winning the race, significantly higher than his closest competitor, Lando Norris, who stands at 20.1%. This statistical edge reflects his consistent performance throughout the season.
🏎️ Red Bull's technical prowess: Red Bull Racing's car continues to exhibit superior aerodynamics and speed, particularly on circuits like the Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya that favor high downforce and efficient tire management. That technical advantage positions Verstappen favorably against his rivals.
🏁 2025 Spanish Grand Prix full-field prediction
Here's ChatGPT's full-field finishing prediction for the Spanish Grand Prix.
1. Max Verstappen, Red Bull 🥇
2. Lando Norris, McLaren 🥈
3. Charles Leclerc, Ferrari 🥉
4. Oscar Piastri, McLaren
5. Lewis Hamilton, Ferrari
6. George Russell Mercedes
7. Carlos Sainz Jr., Williams
8. Fernando Alonso, Aston Martin
9. Kimi Antonelli, Mercedes
10. Pierre Gasly, Alpine
11. Esteban Ocon, Haas
12. Yuki Tsunoda, Red Bull
13. Alex Albon, Williams
14. Nico Hulkenberg, Sauber
15. Lance Stroll, Aston Martin
16. Gabriel Bortoleto, Sauber
17. Franco Colapinto, Alpine
18. Oliver Bearman, Haas
19. Liam Lawson, Racing Bulls
20. Isack Hadjar, Racing Bulls
🗓️ Race week schedule
- Free Practice 1: Friday, May 30, 8:30 a.m. ET
- Free Practice 2: Friday, May 30, 12:30 p.m. ET
- Free Practice 3: Saturday, May 31, 7:30 a.m. ET
- Qualifying: Saturday, May 31, 11:30 a.m. ET
- Race Start: Sunday, June 1, 10:30 a.m. ET
📺 How to watch the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix
📅 Race date: Sunday, June 1
🕒 Start time: 9 p.m. ET
📍 Track: Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya (Barcelona, Spain)
📺 TV: ESPN, TSN
☀️ Weather: 73 degrees, 2-mph to 12-mph winds, 20% chance of precipitation
🏆Past Spanish Grand Prix winners
| Driver | Year |
|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | 2024 |
| Max Verstappen | 2023 |
| Max Verstappen | 2022 |
| Lewis Hamilton | 2021 |
| Lewis Hamilton | 2020 |
| Lewis Hamilton | 2019 |
| Lewis Hamilton | 2018 |
| Lewis Hamilton | 2017 |
| Max Verstappen | 2016 |
| Nico Rosberg | 2015 |
| Lewis Hamilton | 2014 |
❓ Spanish Grand Prix FAQs
Who is favored to win the Spanish Grand Prix?
Oscar Piastri is the favorite with raceday odds of -150, which carries an implied probability of 60%.
What are the odds for the Spanish Grand Prix?
Oscar Piastri (-150), Lando Norris (+200), and Max Verstappen (+600) are getting the shortest odds to win the Spanish Grand Prix.
What time is the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix?
The Monaco Grand Prix starts at 9 a.m. ET on Sunday, June 1.
How to watch the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix
You can watch the Monaco Grand Prix on ESPN or TSN.
Who has won the most Spanish Grand Prix races?
Michael Schumacher and Lewis Hamilton are tied for the most Spanish Grand Prix race wins (six).
💵 Best F1 betting sites
Want to bet on the Spanish Grand Prix? Check out the best sports betting sites for F1 ahead of Sunday's race:
(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.
Not intended for use in MA.
Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.
Related Articles
