US Open Odds: Sinner, Sabalenka the Favorites; Alcaraz, Gauff Lurking

Defending champions Jannik Sinner and Aryna Sabalenka are the US Open odds favorites.
Pictured: Jannik Sinner celebrates after winning the U.S. Open. Photo by Robert Deutsch via Imagn Images

Jannik Sinner and Aryna Sabalenka look to defend their US Open crowns, and both are the favorites to do so via the US Open odds

Carlos Alcaraz is right behind Sinner, while Coco Gauff will be looking to challenge Sabalenka as the tournament nears. Along with an AI prediction for both sides of the draw, here are the US Open odds. 

🏆 Men's US Open tennis odds 2025

Odds via FanDuel, one of our best sports betting sites

Name FanDuel Implied probability Profit ($10 bet)
Jannik Sinner +145 40.82% $14.50
Carlos Alcaraz +200 33.33% $20
Novak Djokovic +470 17.54% $47
Alexander Zverev  +900 10% $90
Jack Draper +1400 6.67% $140
Daniil  Medvedev +1600 5.88% $160
Joao Fonseca +2300 4.17% $230
Taylor Fritz +2700 3.57% $270
Ben Shelton +2900 3.33% $290
Holger Rune +4200 2.33% $420

🤖 2025 US Open men's AI prediction: Jannik Sinner

We asked ChatGPT, a large language model chatbot from OpenAI, for its best prediction to win the French Open. Please note that ChatGPT is not an experienced bettor but can provide additional information and insights into the tournament and betting markets. This is for entertainment purposes only.

🔍 Why Sinner?

1. Defending champion with a blueprint

  • Sinner won the 2024 US Open, defeating some of the world’s best in straight sets while demonstrating a tactical mastery of hard courts.
  • He knows how to manage the two-week Grand Slam grind in New York. That experience is crucial—especially when compared to other emerging stars still chasing their first hard-court Slam.

2. Elite hard-court form

  • His baseline game thrives on fast surfaces like Flushing Meadows.
  • Sinner’s ability to redirect pace, flatten out groundstrokes, and hold serve efficiently makes him a nightmare matchup for most players.
  • He's improved his fitness significantly over the past two years, reducing Sinner's vulnerability in long matches.

3. Mental growth

  • Once known for faltering under pressure, Sinner has matured into one of the most mentally composed players on tour.
  • He’s shown resilience in big moments—most recently in Grand Slam semis and finals—demonstrating poise under the spotlight.

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🏆 Women's US Open odds 2025

Name FanDuel Implied probability Profit ($10 bet)
Aryna Sabalenka +250 28.57% $25
Coco Gauff +550 15.38% $55
Elena  Rybakina +550 15.38% $55
Iga Swiatek +900 10% $90
Mirra Andreeva +950 9.52% $95
Madison Keys +1700 5.56% $170
Zheng Qinwen +2200 4.35% $220
Jasmine Paolini +2600 3.70% $260
Jessica Pegula +3400 2.86% $340
Emma Navarro +3400 2.86% $340

🤖 2025 US Open women's AI prediction: Coco Gauff

🔍 Why Gauff?

1. Proven slam champion with newfound confidence

  • Gauff won the 2023 US Open, and she just captured the 2025 French Open, proving she can win on both hard courts and clay.
  • Her composure, mental strength, and movement are elite, and she's now adding more aggressive baseline power and reliable serving.

2. Elite hard-court resume

  • Her game thrives on the medium-fast surface at Flushing Meadows:
    • Defensive speed neutralizes big hitters
    • Topspin-heavy backhand handles pace
    • Improved forehand holds under pressure
  • With a loud NYC crowd behind her, she plays freer and more confident at home.

3. Physical & mental peak

  • Gauff is healthy, match-fit, and mentally dialed in. She has matured tactically and now controls rallies with strategic discipline, not just athleticism.
  • She handles three-set grinds better than any woman on tour outside Swiątek.

🇺🇸 US Open betting odds history

Odds prior to the start of Round 1.

Year Men's winner (odds) Women's winner (odds)
2024 Jannik Sinner  Aryna Sabalenka
2023 Novak Djokovic (+110) Coco Gauff (+700)
2022 Carlos Alcaraz (+550) Iga Swiatek (+425)
2021 Daniil Medvedev (+400) Emma Raducanu (+15000)
2020 Dominic Thiem (+1150) Naomi Osaka (+500)
2019 Rafael Nadal (+290) Bianca Andreescu (+1325)
2018 Novak Djokovic (+230) Naomi Osaka (+6600)
2017 Rafael Nadal (+375) Sloane Stephens (+4000)
2016 Stansilas Wawrinka (+3300) Angelique Kerber (+750)
2015 Novak Djokovic (+110) Flavia Pennetta (+15000)
2014 Marin Cilic (+7500) Serena Williams (+150)

🎾 US Open 2025 info

🗓️ Sun, 24 Aug 2025 – Sun, 7 Sept 2025
📍 Flushing Meadows (New York)
🏆 Sunday, Sept. 7 (Exact time TBD)
📈 Favorites; Jannik Sinner, Aryna Sabalenka 

US Open FAQs

Who are the 2025 US Open favorites?

Jannik Sinner and Aryna Sabalenka are the men's and women's 2025 US Open favorites. Sinner has +145 odds while Sabalenka is pegged at +250, representing 40.82% and 28.57% win probabilities, respectively. 

Who won the US Open last year?

Jannik Sinner won the last year's US Open on the men's side, and Aryna Sabalenka was the women's champion. Both are first-time winners. 

When does the US Open start? 

The first round of the 2025 US Open starts on Aug. 24, 2025 

When will the US Open be decided?

The 2025 US Open 2025 runs from Aug. 26 through Sept. 7.

Where will the US Open be played?

The US Open will be played at the USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center in Queens, N.Y.

Tennis betting odds pages

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