Wimbledon Odds & Favorites: Favorites Alcaraz, Sabalenka Into the Semis

Last Updated: July 10, 2025 3:20 AM EDT • 5 minute read X Social Google News Link

Wimbledon odds favorites since the start of the tournament continue rolling as Carlos Alcaraz and Aryna Sabalenka enter the semifinals in pole position at our best sports betting sites.
Alcaraz will face Taylor Fritz in the semifinal, with Jannik Sinner and Novak Djokovic squaring off on the other side of the draw.
Sabalenka survived a three-set scare against Laura Siegemund in the quarterfinals, but she and Iga Swiatek are expected to meet in the final.
Find the updated odds below, along with AI predictions.
📊 Wimbledon men's odds 2025
Men's Wimbledon odds via FanDuel, one of our best sports betting apps.
Name | Odds (FanDuel) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
---|---|---|---|
Carlos Alcaraz | -140 | 58.33% | $7.14 |
Jannik Sinner | +220 | 31.25% | $22 |
Novak Djokovic | +480 | 17.24% | $48 |
Taylor Fritz | +1700 | 5.56% | $170 |
🤖 Wimbledon men's AI prediction: Carlos Alcaraz
We asked ChatGPT, a large language model chatbot from OpenAI, for its best prediction to win Wimbledon. Please note that ChatGPT is not an experienced bettor but can provide additional information and insights into the tournament and betting markets. This is for entertainment purposes only.
🧠 Why Alcaraz will win
✅ 1. Elite grass game
Alcaraz has evolved into a grass court natural. His combination of power, touch, and movement allows him to dictate points and exploit angles — a lethal blend on this surface. Since winning Wimbledon in 2023, he has gone 19–2 on grass and hasn’t lost a Wimbledon match in two years.
He dismantled Cameron Norrie in the quarters, and his court positioning and variety are unmatched right now.
✅ 2. Big-match pedigree
Alcaraz is a three-time Grand Slam champion and beat Djokovic in the 2023 Wimbledon final, proving he can perform on the sport’s biggest stage against the greatest. He's also handled the pressure of defending a title — a rare trait at his age (22).
✅ 3. Favorable semifinal matchup
Against Taylor Fritz, Alcaraz enters as the clear favorite:
- Leads the head-to-head 2-0
- Has more reliable movement and passing shots to counter Fritz’s net game
- Fritz has yet to beat a Top 3 player at a Slam
Expect a straight-sets or four-set win to reach his third straight Wimbledon final.
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📊 Women's Wimbledon odds 2025
Player | FanDuel | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
---|---|---|---|
Aryna Sabalenka | -120 | 54.55% | $8.33 |
Iga Swiatek | +175 | 36.36% | $17.50 |
Amanda Anisimova | +600 | 14.29% | $60 |
Belinda Bencic | +1500 | 6.25% | $150 |
🤖 Wimbledon women's AI prediction: Iga Swiatek
🧠 Why Swiatek will win
✅ 1. Adaptation to grass
Swiatek has long been seen as a clay and hard-court specialist, but she’s shown rapid evolution on grass:
- Highest first-serve win percentage (77.4%) in the women’s draw
- Improved net skills and slice use — key on grass
- Straight-set wins over Liudmila Samsonova and Madison Keys signal she's solved the surface
✅ 2. Elite mental toughness
Swiatek is unmatched mentally:
- She has won five Grand Slams, all with dominant final performances
- Rallied from a break down in multiple matches at Wimbledon 2025 without panic
- Her on-court demeanor is composed and focused — crucial in closing out tight sets
✅ 3. Favorable match path
- In the semifinals, she faces Belinda Bencic, a talented shotmaker but someone she leads in the head-to-head 3–1
- Bencic had a grueling quarterfinal vs. Andreeva and may lack stamina for extended rallies
- In the final, she’ll likely face Sabalenka, who has twice lost to Swiatek in Slam finals (2023 USO, 2025 French Open). That psychological edge matters.
✅ 4. Sabalenka’s slam final wobbles
Sabalenka is a dangerous opponent, but in Wimbledon semifinals/finals, she has historically struggled with:
- Double faults in key moments
- Nerves when closing out sets (as seen in 2021 and 2023 losses)
🔢 Wimbledon 2025 opening odds
Men
Odds via DraftKings.
- Carlos Alcaraz: +120
- Jannik Sinner: +225
- Novak Djokovic: +300
- Danii Medvedev: +1100
- Alexander Zverev: +1600
- Jack Draper: +1700
- Matteo Berrettini: +2000
- Hubert Hurkacz: +2000
- Alex De Minaur: +2000
- Taylor Fritz: +3000
Women
- Aryna Sabalenka: +350
- Iga Swiatek: +350
- Elena Rybakina: +450
- Coco Gauff: +900
- Barbora Krejcikova: +1200
- Ons Jabeur: +1400
- Naomi Osaka: +1400
- Jasmine Paolini: +1400
- Mirra Andreeva: +2200
- Jessica Pegula: +2500
🏴 Past Wimbledon winners
Year | Men's winner (odds) | Women's winner (odds) |
---|---|---|
2024 | Carlos Alcaraz (+150) | Barbora Krejčíková (+2500) |
2023 | Carlos Alcaraz (+340) | Marketa Vondrousova (+10000) |
2022 | Novak Djokovic (-120) | Elena Rybakina (+10000) |
2021 | Novak Djokovic (-135) | Ashleigh Barty (+650) |
2020 | Canceled | Canceled |
2019 | Novak Djokovic (+145) | Simona Halep (+1800) |
2018 | Novak Djokovic (+600) | Angelique Kerber (+1200) |
2017 | Roger Federer (+225) | Garbine Muguruza (+1600) |
2016 | Andy Murray (+330) | Serena Williams (+160) |
🎾 Wimbledon 2025 info
🗓️ Monday, June 30 to Sunday, July 13
📍All England Club, Wimbledon, London
🏆 Sunday, July 13 (Exact time TBD)
📈 Carlos Alcaraz, Aryna Sabalenka
❓ Wimbledon FAQs
Who are the Wimbledon favorites?
Carlos Alcaraz is the favorite on the men's side at FanDuel (-140), while Aryna Sabalenka is receiving the shortest odds among the women (-120). Those odds represent an implied probability of 58.33% and 54.55%, respectively.
Who won last year's Wimbledon?
Carlos Alcaraz won Wimbledon in 2024 on the men's side while beating Novak Djokovic, and Barbora Krejcikova bested Jasmine Paolini to claim the women's title.
When will Wimbledon be decided?
Wimbledon will be held from Monday, June 30 to Sunday, July 13.
Where will Wimbledon be played?
Wimbledon will be played at the All England Club in London.
Who has won the most Wimbledon titles?
On the men's side, Roger Federer holds the record with eight Wimbledon titles. Djokovic is hot on his heels at seven, tied with former great Pete Sampras. Djokovic will be hellbent on beating Federer's record before permanently hanging up his shoes.
Martina Navratilova won nine Wimbledon titles, the most on the women's side. Steffi Graf and Serena Williams both won seven titles, while Venus Williams won four.
How many Grand Slams are held on grass courts?
Wimbledon is the only grass-court major tournament of the tennis season. Two Grand Slams are played on hard court (Australian Open, US Open), one on clay (French Open), and one on grass (Wimbledon).
The grass-court season is the shortest on tour, starting after the French Open and culminating at Wimbledon. It's under six weeks long.
💡Tennis betting odds pages
Australian Open Odds | Wimbledon Odds |
French Open Odds | US Open Odds |
💵 Best tennis betting sites
Ready to bet on Wimbledon? Check out more sports picks and best sportsbook promos for the season's summer major:
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
- Hard Rock Bet Promo Code | Read our Hard Rock Bet Review
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