WNBA Championship Odds After Caitlin Clark Injury Shakes Up Title Hunt, MVP Race

After leading the WNBA MVP odds race and having the Indiana Fever sitting second in the WNBA championship odds, Caitlin Clark's injury has completely shaken up the W.

With Clark out at least two weeks due to a left quadriceps injury, according to the latest Caitlin Clark injury update, the Fever have slipped down the WNBA championship oddsboard at our best sports betting sites with the reigning WNBA Rookie of the Year no longer the MVP favorite. 

📊 Live WNBA championship odds 

Our 2025 WNBA championship odds update in real time based on the odds from our best sports betting apps.

🏆 WNBA championship odds movement following Clark's injury

Odds and line movement according to BetMGM:

• Following Clark's injury the Fever's championship odds moved from +300 to +400
• The New York Liberty have seen their odds cut to as short as +175 at some of our best live betting sites, with the uncertainty around Indiana
• The Minnesota Lynx's odds have also shortened to between +300 and +360, with them surpassing the Fever as the second biggest favorite to win the championship
• The Fever accounted for 80% of the handle pre-Clark injury with that number dropping to 75.8% after her quad injury
• Indiana also saw its ticket percentage drop from 55.4% to 52.3% following Clark's injury, but remain the biggest liability for our best sportsbooks
• The Lynx have seen the most upward movement, going from less than 6.2% of the ticket percentage to 9.9% and from less than 3.3% of the handle percentage to 8.3%

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🩼 How Caitlin Clark’s injury affects WNBA championship hunt

The Fever came into the season as the popular team to back to win the WNBA championship. Between Clark's projected step up in her second season, the hiring of Stephanie White as head coach, and several offseason additions, Indiana looked poised to make a run at the New York Liberty, Las Vegas Aces, and Minnesota Lynx.

However, a middling start to the season and with Clark now out at least two weeks, Indiana looks to be at least a year away from competing with the top dogs of the W. While the team has shown early signs of an improved defense led by former No. 1 pick Aliyah Boston, the offense is losing the league's best passer and most lethal 3-point shooter in Clark.

Through the team's first four games of the season, Clark led the Fever in usage rate (27%), defensive win shares (0.3), points per game (19), assists per game (9.3), and 3-pointers per game (2.8). Taking that impact out of the equation and asking Kelsey Mitchell, Lexie Hull, and Sophie Cunningham to make up the difference seems impossible.

Even with Indiana's lengthened WNBA championship odds, it's hard to justify believing in the Fever with how dominant the Liberty, Lynx, and Phoenix Mercury have looked early.

🤖 AI WNBA champion prediction

🗽 New York Liberty

• The Liberty have a star-studded trio of Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu, and Jonquel Jones, providing unmatched experience and chemistry on both ends of the court that's already won a title
• New York leads the WNBA in points per game (94) and offensive rating (114.6), fueled by Ionescu’s perimeter shooting and Jones’ dominant presence inside
• The Liberty can win in multiple ways - whether through Stewart’s all-around excellence, Ionescu’s shooting, Jones' physicality, or Natasha Cloud's passing - making them one of the league’s most adaptable and resilient rosters

🏀 Best odds: +230 via FanDuel (bet $10 to win $23 profit)

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🔮 My expert prediction

🐾 Minnesota Lynx

• Behind Collier's dominant play, the Lynx are top four in the league in both points per game (86.2) and points allowed per game (77.4) as they look to return to the WNBA Finals for the second straight season
• Collier is the league's best two-way player, she's coming off winning WNBA Defensive Player of the Year and leads the league in points per game this season (26.8), and she's led Minnesota to a 5-0 start
• Cheryl Reeve's roster doesn't just rely on Collier, the team has several trusted veterans in Bridget Carleton, Courtney Williams, Kayla McBride, Jessica Shepard, and Alanna Smith - they have the chemistry and experience to take the Liberty down

🏀 Best odds: +360 via FanDuel (bet $10 to win $36 profit)

📊 Live WNBA MVP odds 

Our 2025 WNBA MVP odds update in real time based on the odds from our best sports betting apps.

📉 WNBA MVP odds movement with Clark injured

WNBA MVP odds and line movement according to BetMGM:

• Prior to Clark's injury, she was -115 to win WNBA MVP, but has since seen her odds shift to as long as +500
• Collier has been the beneficiary of Clark's injury, with her odds moving from +250 to as short as -170 to win her first WNBA MVP
• Reigning MVP A'ja Wilson has seen her odds movement lengthen significantly since the start of the season, from +195 to +700, with her odds seeing little impact from Clark's injury
• Clark accounted for 62.5% of the handle prior to her injury and that number hasn't seen much of a drop with it at 62.1%
• Clark's ticket percentage has actually seen an increase since her injury, going from 49.5% to 51.9%
• With bettors still backing Clark for WNBA MVP, despite the injury, she remains the biggest liability for books, followed by Collier

🔍 How Clark’s injury impacts WNBA MVP race

Unlike the WNBA championship odds, I'm not so sure Clark's injury should be shaking up the MVP race as much as it has thus far. Prior to the injury being announced by Indiana on Monday, Clark was minus money to win the award after coning into the season between +140 and +200 to win it.

While missing two weeks certainly hurts her case, that could mean missing as few as four games. In the grand scheme of things that shouldn't hurt her if she returns to form immediately and continues to put up video game numbers down the stretch to lead the Fever to the playoffs.

Clark is third in the WNBA 3-pointers per game (2.8), eighth in points per game (19), and leads the league in assists per game (9.3). She's the only player in the W averaging over 16 points, eight assists, and six rebounds per game - she also has two double doubles and one triple-double in four games.

So while it will take a lot for her to catch Collier, she's still firmly in the WNBA race alongside the Lynx's star, Wilson, Kelsey Plum, and Breanna Stewart. And now her odds are a way better bet than they were when she was minus money, while Collier's are a lot less palatable. 

🧠 AI WNBA MVP prediction

♠️ A'ja Wilson, Las Vegas Aces

• Wilson continues to be a dominant force, leading the league with 2.3 blocks per game and contributing significantly on both ends of the court as a double-double machine
• Despite roster changes and injuries, Wilson's leadership keeps the Aces competitive, highlighting her value to the team
• With multiple MVP and Defensive Player of the Year awards, Wilson's sustained high-level performance positions her as a strong MVP candidate

🏀 Best odds: +750 via FanDuel (bet $10 to win $75 profit)

📝 My expert WNBA MVP prediction

🌡️ Caitlin Clark, Indiana Fever

• Narrative often has an impact on MVP races, and Clark's the biggest name in the WNBA, so if she returns to form coming off her injury it will only bolster her chances of winning - plus, she's now the best value with these longer odds
• Clark leads the WNBA in assists, and ranks top 10 in both defensive win shares and made 3-pointers per game - showing her all-around impact on the court
• Wilson will likely be hurt by voter fatigue while Collier's minus-money odds aren't a very good value, making Clark the best bet - and these odds could be even longer a week from now

🏀 Best odds: +500 via FanDuel (bet $10 to win $50 profit)

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