Liberty vs. Sun Prediction, Odds & WNBA Best Bets Today: Aug. 1

Can the Liberty cover as double-digit betting favorites against one of the league's worst teams?

Shane Jackson

Last Updated: August 1, 2025 9:11 AM EDT • 5 minute read

Liberty vs. Sun Prediction, Odds & WNBA Best Bets: Aug. 1 — Pictured: New York Liberty guard Jaylyn Sherrod (0) brings the ball up court while being defended by Connecticut Sun guard Jacy Sheldon (4) as we make our Liberty vs. Sun prediction. Photo by John Jones via Imagn Images.

The New York Liberty (17-9) have lost three in a row despite being one of the favorites by the WNBA championship odds. They'll look to right the ship on the road against the Connecticut Sun (4-21) tonight, and my Liberty vs. Sun odds and prediction expect the visitors to win by margin.

Tipoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (ION) from Mohegan Sun Arena in Montville, Conn.

The best sports betting sites list the Liberty as 11-point betting favorites. If you want to dig into what might be a closer game, my Mercury vs. Dream prediction has you covered.

🔮 Liberty vs. Sun prediction: WNBA expert picks

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✅ Moneyline pick: Liberty ML (-649 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐
✅ Against the spread pick: Liberty -11 (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
✅ Over/Under pick: Over 167 (-110 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐

🆚 Who will win Liberty vs. Sun?

✅ Moneyline pick: Liberty will win (-649 via DraftKings)

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The Sun have been playing better of late, highlighted by a 31-point win over the Golden State Valkyries. The Liberty have lost three in a row for the first time since 2022. Nevertheless, I’m sorry, I can’t convince myself - or you - that New York is losing this game.

💰 Liberty vs. Sun prediction & WNBA best bet

🗽 Liberty -11 ⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: -110 via DraftKings ($10 to win $9.09)

These two teams have met just once this year, but let me remind you what happened during that June 1 matchup in Barclays Center. The Liberty crushed the Sun by 48 points - you read that right - in a 100-52 victory, covering the 18-point spread by nearly three times. With Brenna Stewart sidelined with a bone bruise, all eyes will turn to 2019 WNBA Finals MVP Emma Meesseman if she's available to make her debut tonight.

Again, things have changed for both teams in their recent outings, and this game is being played in Connecticut.

But come on, there is no way I’m passing up the chance to lay -11 with New York against the worst team in the league. The Liberty will be highly motivated after losing three in a row, taking it all out on the poor Sun. I expect this spread to climb ahead of tipoff, so I’d make sure to scoop up this deal at the best sports betting apps now.

👀 Best player prop for Liberty vs. Sun

⬇️ Jonquel Jones Under 10.5 rebounds ⭐⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: -154 via FanDuel ($10 to win $6.49)

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When Jonquel Jones first returned last week, I advised readers to take advantage of her low rebound line of 6.5. Well, it’s now up to 10.5, meaning the value is on the Under for a player who is averaging 9.1 boards per game.

Jones has only cleared this line once in her past eight games, speaking to the inflated total.

🏀 Liberty vs. Sun odds

Live updated WNBA odds from our best sportsbooks.

Liberty vs. Sun odds analysis

I'm not alone in my belief that the visitors will get it done by margin. Our WNBA odds show 70% of the wagers on the road side, with the spread growing to as much as 11 points after opening with a 9.5-point line.

The total has also shot up from the opener of 164.5, with 59% of the tickets coming in on the Over and a industry high of 171 as of Friday morning.

❓ WNBA betting FAQs

How do WNBA betting odds work?

WNBA betting odds show the potential payout and implied probability of a bet. Favorites have minus odds (e.g., -120), while underdogs have plus odds (e.g., +150).

What does betting against the spread mean?

Betting against the spread in the WNBA means picking a team to win by a certain number of points (the spread) or to lose by fewer than that number.

What is moneyline betting?

Moneyline betting is picking which WNBA team will win the game outright, with no point spread involved. Odds show how much you win based on your bet.

💵 Best WNBA betting sites

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Written by:
Shane Jackson

Shane Jackson has been writing for Sportsbook Review since 2022, though his passion for sports, writing, and betting runs much longer than that. He graduated from the University of Kansas with a journalism degree in 2017 and has been covering sports ever since, working for MLB.com, Manhattan Mercury, Lawrence Journal-World, WynnBET, Bet Chicago Sports, BetNOLA, and BetMGM. Jackson cares about creating quality sports betting content above all else. He uses a mixture of models, information, film, analysis, and a top-down approach to locate every best bet shared for SBR. He never gives out a pick that he wouldn’t be willing to spend his own money on. Jackson is focused on finding +EV bets on a daily basis for a variety of sports such as NCAAF, NCAAB, NFL, NBA, WNBA, and MLB. He usually bets on props but is willing to wager on a spread or total when there is an edge. Don’t ask him how many bets he has placed on a typical college football Saturday. Jackson doesn’t care if you follow him on social media, but his Twitter account has info on how you can follow his bets through multiple third-party platforms. He just wants you to read all the great work from the SBR team.