Lynx vs. Aces Prediction, Odds & WNBA Best Bets: Aug. 2
The Minnesota Lynx look to continue to pull away in the WNBA championship odds race as they take on the Las Vegas Aces on Saturday at 3 p.m. ET (ABC) from Michelob Ultra Arena in Paradise, Nev. Given Las Vegas' struggles, my Lynx vs. Aces prediction is backing Minnesota as a 6-point road favorite.
🔮 Lynx vs. Aces prediction: WNBA expert picks
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✅ Moneyline pick: Lynx (-240 via bet365) ⭐
✅ Against the spread pick: Lynx -6 (-105 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Over/Under pick: Under 165.5 (-110 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
🆚 Who will win Lynx vs. Aces?
✅ Moneyline pick: Lynx will win (-240 via bet365)
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The Aces are a far cry from the team that won back-to-back titles just two seasons ago.
Becky Hammon's team is barely keeping its head above water at 14-13 and just got blown out by the Lynx last week. Despite A'ja Wilson still being one of the best players in the W, pulling off an upset of Minnesota is a big ask.
Napheesa Collier and Co. have already beaten Vegas twice this season, winning by double digits in both outings. I have Minnesota winning again in my Lynx vs. Aces prediction, this time by a score of 85-75.
💰 Lynx vs. Aces best bet & WNBA predictions
🐾 Lynx -6 ⭐⭐⭐⭐
📊 Best odds: -105 via Caesars ($10 to win $9.52)
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While the Aces have shown some life recently with double-digit wins over the Dallas Wings and Los Angeles Sparks, those are two of the worst teams in the WNBA. The Wings and Sparks have a combined 19-35 record, with fewer wins than the Lynx's league-leading 23. Those two also have losing records against the spread, as does Las Vegas (11-16), while Minnesota has the second-best ATS record in the W at 16-11-1.
The Lynx have covered in both their outings against the Aces this season, as 9.5 and 13-point favorites, behind the most well-rounded roster in the league. Minnesota tops the W in average point differential (plus-10.4), net rating (plus-13.4), offensive rating (111.8), and defensive rating (98.4). The Aces just don't have the talent to slow Napheesa Collier, Kayla McBride, and Courtney Williams down.
With a defense that's in the back half of the league in rating (105.0) and an offense that isn't much better (104.2), Vegas could find itself in trouble yet again. The Lynx have outscored the Aces 185-140 this season.
👀 Best player prop for Lynx vs. Aces
🚀 Napheesa Collier Over 22.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐
📊 Best odds: -114 via FanDuel ($10 to win $8.77)
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There's an obvious reason the Lynx vs. Aces odds heavily favor Minnesota: Collier. The All-Star is the runaway MVP favorite (-1000) and leads the league in points per game (23.8), offensive win shares (4.5), and offensive rating (122.8).
Collier has gone Over 22.5 points in 16 of 25 games this season (64%), including three straight. The last time she played the Aces, the UConn product put up 25 points in just 26 minutes while shooting 58.3% from the floor.
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❓ WNBA betting FAQs
How do WNBA betting odds work?
WNBA betting odds show the potential payout and implied probability of a bet. Favorites have minus odds (e.g., -120), while underdogs have plus odds (e.g., +150).
What does betting against the spread mean?
Betting against the spread in the WNBA means picking a team to win by a certain number of points (the spread) or to lose by fewer than that number.
What is moneyline betting?
Moneyline betting is picking which WNBA team will win the game outright, with no point spread involved. Odds show how much you win based on your bet.
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