Sun vs. Mercury Prediction, Odds & WNBA Best Bets: Aug. 5
The Phoenix Mercury (17-11) are hoping a soft schedule will help them get back on track when they host the Connecticut Sun (5-22) tonight at 10 p.m. ET from PHX Arena.
Phoenix snapped a two-game skid with a 16-point win over the Chicago Sky on Sunday, covering as a 12.5-point road favorite. Now, the Mercury are 15-point favorites to beat the Sun as they look to boost their WNBA championship odds with another comfortable win.
Our Sun vs. Mercury odds and prediction suggests believing in the superior team. We're also backing Kahleah Copper with our best player prop for Sun vs. Mercury, which we break down near the end of the article.
๐ฎ Sun vs. Mercury prediction: WNBA expert picks
๐ Our NEW player props odds tool can help you find the best WNBA odds across legal sportsbooks in your area to help with your WNBA picks!
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Moneyline pick: Mercury ML (-1099 via Caesars) โญ
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Against the spread pick: Mercury -15 (-110 via Caesars) โญโญโญ
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Over/Under pick: Over 168.5 (-110 via BetMGM) โญโญ
๐ Who will win Sun vs. Mercury?
โ Moneyline pick: Mercury will win (-1099 via Caesars)
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The Sun have picked up a couple surprising wins since the All-Star break, but they remain the worst team in the league with the worst net rating. This is an opportunity for the Mercury to flex their muscles, as they continue to figure out their identity with a healthy roster.
๐ฐ Sun vs. Mercury best bet & WNBA predictions
๐ฅ Mercury -8.5 1H spread โญโญโญโญ
๐ Best odds: -108 via DraftKings ($10 to win $9.26)
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As long as the first-half spread is -8.5 or better, I prefer that path to back the Mercury in this matchup. Their full-game line is playable at -15 or better as a three-star prediction.
The Sun have been dreadful in the first half of games this year. They rank last in the league with a first-half net rating of -17, which is nearly seven points worse than the Chicago Sky. That mark dwindles to -24.9 on the road.
Phoenix ranks fifth in the league with a net rating of plus-7.5 in the first half of home contests this year. The Mercury scored 29 points in the second quarter against the Sky, racing out to a 42-34 advantage at the break.
I like the Mercury to lead by three possessions (or more) at the intermission.
๐ Best player prop for Sun vs. Mercury
โฌ๏ธ Kahleah Copper Over 1.5 3-pointers โญโญโญ
๐ Best odds: +100 via DraftKings ($10 to win $10)
Kahleah Copper went 4-for-6 from long range in Sundayโs win over Chicago. She has hit multiple 3-pointers in nine of her past 11 games since she last faced the Sun and went 2-for-4 from distance.
With most of the best sportsbooks offering this Over at minus odds, I like the discount at DraftKings.
๐ Sun vs. Mercury odds today
Live updated WNBA odds from our best sports betting sites.
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โ WNBA betting FAQs
How do WNBA betting odds work?
WNBA betting odds show the potential payout and implied probability of a bet. Favorites have minus odds (e.g., -120), while underdogs have plus odds (e.g., +150).
What does betting against the spread mean?
Betting against the spread in the WNBA means picking a team to win by a certain number of points (the spread) or to lose by fewer than that number.
What is moneyline betting?
Moneyline betting is picking which WNBA team will win the game outright, with no point spread involved. Odds show how much you win based on your bet.
๐ต Best WNBA betting sites
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