Celtics vs. Heat Predictions Tonight: Best NBA Odds & Player Props for March 14

There will be no love lost tonight when the Boston Celtics and Miami Heat square off in a storied Eastern Conference contest. Tipoff is slated for 7 p.m. ET (NBA TV) from the Kaseya Center in Miami.  

Our Celtics vs. Heat predictions expect Miami's top scorers and playmakers to step up and upset a short-handed Boston side. The Celtics are 7.5-point favorites at our best sports betting sites, despite a few key players potentially not suiting up.

Boston has won five of its last six, but four of its five starters are listed as questionable for the first leg of the Celtics' back-to-back set. Miami will look to snap a five-game skid in front of the home crowd with a mostly-healthy squad. Which side will come out on top?

💰 Best Celtics vs. Heat predictions & NBA player props tonight: March 14

Here are my best Celtics vs. Heat predictions and player props for tonight's NBA matchup with my pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale. Be sure to check out the rest of our NBA picks along with our guide on how to bet on the NBA.

✅ Game pick: Heat to win (+270 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
✅ Bam Adebayo player prop pick: Over 32.5 points + rebounds + assists (-112 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Tyler Herro player prop pick: Over 22.5 points (-112 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐ 
✅ Andrew Wiggins player prop pick: Over 18.5 points (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

⛹️ Celtics vs. Heat player prop picks

Here are my best Celtics vs. Heat player prop bet odds and expert picks for tonight's NBA matchup. You can also check out our NBA player prop odds tool for the latest NBA odds at the best legal sportsbooks in your region.

🏀 Bam Adebayo Over 32.5 points + rebounds + assists (-112) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -112 via FanDuel ($10 to win $8.93)

Adebayo has posted solid numbers since the All-Star break, averaging 21.5 points, 9.5 boards and four dimes. That’s good for 35 PRA, easily clearing his modest 32.5 line tonight. Bam has cleared this line five times in 12 games since the break and posted exactly 32 PRA four more times.

The Heat big man hit the Over on this line twice against Boston this season after doing it in six games against the Celtics in 2023-24. He’s averaged 34 PRA against the Celtics over his last 10 games and hit the Over eight times.

Boston has allowed opposing centers to average 37.3 PRA this season, and I’ll hammer the Over on this line.

📊 Best Bam Adebayo prop bet odds

🏀 Tyler Herro Over 22.5 points (-112) ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -112 via FanDuel ($10 to win $8.93)

Herro has averaged 24.1 points in 11 games since the All-Star break, scoring at least 23 points five times and dropping exactly 22 in two more. He’s hit the Over on this line in 33 of 62 games overall this season and scored 22 in six more.

As Miami’s leading scorer, Herro should continue to be heavily involved on offense against a Celtics team that has allowed opposing guards to average 25.5 points across the last seven. Herro is shooting just 44.3% since the break, but he’s letting it fly nearly 20 times per game, giving him ample opportunity to cash this prop.

📊 Best Tyler Herro prop bet odds

🏀 Andrew Wiggins Over 18.5 points (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -114 via FanDuel ($10 to win $8.77)

Wiggins has been stellar since joining the Heat, averaging 18.9 points across nine appearances for his new team. He failed to hit the Over in each of his first two games with Miami, but Wiggins has done so in six of his last seven and three straight heading into Friday’s clash with Boston.

Wiggins is handling more responsibility as a scorer, and his 15.2 shot attempts per game are his most in five seasons. Over his last three, he’s averaged 21 points on 51% shooting and leads his team in usage rate at 28.6.

📊 Best Andrew Wiggins prop bet odds

🎯 Expert Celtics vs. Heat score prediction & AI projections

🔮 Expert score prediction: Heat 112, Celtics 110
🤖 AI score prediction: Celtics 113, Heat 106

🔮 Expert score prediction: Heat 112, Celtics 110

The Celtics have owned the head-to-head series against the Heat as of late, winning five straight and eight of the last nine. But, Miami has a real chance to snap that win streak tonight. Boston lists Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, and Kristaps Porzingis as questionable, The C’s play a Friday-Saturday back-to-back set, which means all four starters are in danger of sitting.

The Heat have dropped five straight, and what better time to deliver a win than down in South Beach against a heated rival? Jrue Holiday and Al Horford are expected to play, but Boston will be lacking some serious size if Tatum and Porzingis sit. Miami’s jumbo lineup featuring Adebayo, Kel’el Ware and Wiggins could cause problems.

This pick assumes Boston will be without Tatum, Brown, White, and Porzingis tonight. If they play, I’ll take Boston to win, but I still lean Miami to cover at home.

📊 Best odds: +19000 via DraftKings (bet $10 to win $1,900)

🤖 AI score prediction: Heat 113, Celtics 106

(Score prediction and analysis via ChatGPT - a large language model from OpenAI. While ChatGPT is not specifically designed for predicting sporting events, it can spot trends or insights that bettors might overlook.)

🖥️ AI predictions for Celtics vs. Heat

The projected final score is Celtics 113, Heat 106

• Win probability: Celtics 74% | Heat 26%
• Projected total points: 213
• Key takeaways:
• Celtics' Dominance: Boston has won five straight against Miami and holds a +8.5 point differential this season. Even with key players questionable, their depth gives them an edge.
• Heat’s Struggles: Miami is on a five-game losing streak and struggling offensively, averaging just 109.9 PPG. Without Nikola Jovic and Alec Burks, their depth is weakened.
• Betting Edge: The Celtics are favored by 8 points, and their defensive efficiency (allowing 108.3 PPG) makes them a strong play to cover the spread.

🤔 Betting takeaway: ChatGPT's AI score prediction leans toward Miami covering the spread (+8.5) and a total of Under 216.5 points.

📊 Live Celtics vs. Heat odds & NBA betting splits tonight

Here are the latest Celtics vs. Heats odds and betting splits from our best live betting sites.

🔢 Celtics vs. Heat latest odds & betting lines

The uncertainty surrounding the playing status of multiple key players in Boston's ranks tonight has led to a couple of changes in the game lines. The Celtics have dropped from 8.5-point favorites to 7.5-point favorites at our best live betting sites, and the total has gone down two points (O/U 216.5 to 214.5).

🏆 Who will win Celtics vs. Heat?

As of Friday evening, Boston is favored by 8.5 points to beat Miami with moneyline odds of -325 at BetMGM, which suggests a 76.47% win probability for the Celtics. We're predicting a 112-110 win for Miami as our final score projection.

So far, 73% of bettors have wagered against the spread on Boston -8.5, while 91% of bettors expect the game to finish Over the projected total of 214.5 points.

🚑 Celtics vs. Heat injuries

Here are the latest injuries for tonight's Celtics vs. Heat matchup, which will update in real time.

📺 How to watch Celtics vs. Heat tonight

📅 Date: March 14, 2025
🕗 Time: 7 p.m. ET
📍 Location: Kaseya Center (Miami)
📺 TV: NBA TV
💻 Streaming: NBA League Pass

❓Celtics vs. Heat FAQs

Who is favored to win Celtics vs. Heat?

The Celtics are favored to beat the Heat with -325 moneyline odds, which carried an implied win probability of 76.47%.

What are the odds for Celtics vs. Heat?

The Celtics are favored by as many as 8.5 points, and the point total is set as high as 214.5.

What time is Celtics vs. Heat tonight?

The Celtics and Heat tip off at 7 p.m. ET from Kaseya Center in Miami.

How to watch Celtics vs. Heat

The Celtics and Heat can be viewed on NBA TV.

🏀 Best NBA betting sites

Looking to bet on the NBA tonight? Here are our best NBA betting sites as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with our best sportsbook promos available for tonight's NBA games.

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