Timberwolves vs. Warriors Prediction Tonight: Game 4 Odds & Expert Picks

The Golden State Warriors look to pull off the improbable without Steph Curry in tonight's Game 4 from Chase Center (10 p.m. ET, ESPN) against the underdog favorite Minnesota Timberwolves as we offer our Timberwolves vs. Warriors prediction, part of our NBA picks.

💰 Timberwolves vs. Warriors expert picks for Game 4

🔎 Our NEW NBA player prop odds tool can help you find the best NBA odds across legal sportsbooks in your area!

✅ Against the spread pick: Warriors +5.5 (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
✅ Moneyline pick: Warriors (+184 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐
✅ Over/Under pick: Over 199.5 (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

🏀 Game 4 prediction & best bet

🎯 Score prediction: Warriors 104, Timberwolves 102

While it feels like the Warriors are cooked without Curry, their 5-point Game 3 loss had Golden State in a solid spot until it ran out of steam.

They have enough talent to steal a game, especially at home. The size of the spread makes it a GSW lean, as the T-Wolves are underwhelming as a road favorite, going 13-15 ATS.

Generally, I have more trust in this game going Over than the Warriors to win it. This series has seen only one game eclipse this total, but the overall season numbers suggest plenty of room for regression toward the mean as Jimmy Butler - who we covered in our Timberwolves vs. Warriors player props - looks to galvanize his group with its back against the wall.

The Timberwolves and Warriors rank among the league’s best scoring defenses. Still, even those stingy averages combine for Over 216 points per game, and the combined averages for the offenses reach 226.1 PPG.

After a rare total falling short of 200 points in Game 3, it feels like 199.5 points won't be enough as the series ebbs back toward a higher-scoring pace.

✅ Best bet: Over 199.5 (-110 via DraftKings)

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📈 Timberwolves vs. Warriors odds

Live updated odds from our best sports betting sites.

🔢 Timberwolves vs. Warriors betting insights

Updated betting info via BetMGM

• The Timberwolves moved from 6.5-point betting favorites to 5.5
• The total has remained at 199.5 (juiced at -115 for the Over)
• The Timberwolves' moneyline odds lengthened from -235 to -220. The -220 odds imply a 68.75% probability

🪧 Game 4 opening odds

Opening odds via BetMGM.

• Spread: Timberwolves -6.5 (-105) | Warriors +6.5 (-115)
• Moneyline: Timberwolves -235 | Warriors +195
• Over/Under: Over 199.5 (-110) | Under 199.5 (-110)

🚑 Timberwolves vs. Warriors injury report

Follow the official NBA injury report for more injury news.

📡 How to watch Timberwolves vs. Warriors live (Game 4)

📅 Monday, May 12
🕗 10 p.m. ET
📍 Chase Center (San Francisco)
📺 ESPN | 🛜 ESPN App

🔮 Today's NBA Expert picks

• Celtics vs. Knicks prediction
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• Timberwolves vs. Warriors prediction
• Timberwolves vs. Warriors player props

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