PSG vs. Arsenal Prediction: Expert Picks & Odds for Champions League Semifinals Today

Our PSG vs. Arsenal prediction analyzes which team will advance and join Inter Milan in the Champions League final ahead of their second leg clash today at 3 p.m. ET (Paramount+) from Parc des Princes in Paris.

We also analyzed this matchup in our Arsenal vs. PSG parlay picks.

💰 PSG vs. Arsenal expert picks: Champions League semifinal

Check out all of our soccer picks for the Champions League and more.

✅ Against the spread pick: Arsenal +0.5 (-135 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
✅ Moneyline pick: Draw (+260 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐
✅ Over/Under pick: Under 3 goals (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

📈 PSG vs. Arsenal line movement

Here's how the line movement is shaping up in the hours before the match.

• Arsenal opened as the +230 moneyline favorite, and their odds have shortened since then to +190
• A draw opened at +260, and it's moved slightly while now down to between +250 and +220 at our best soccer betting sites
• When looking at the total, the Over on 2.5 goals opened as the favored pick while getting -135 odds, and that's now moved further to as short as -145 at Sports Interaction

💡 PSG vs. Arsenal prediction & best bet

🎯 Score prediction: Paris Saint-Germain 1, Arsenal 1

There was little to separate these two sides in the first leg. Ousmane Dembele's strike inside five minutes proved to be the difference, which means there's everything to play for in the second leg.

The last time Les Parisiens reached a European final (2020), they did so on the back of brilliant defending under now-England manager Thomas Tuchel. They'll have to rely on their disciplined defensive shape again to keep one of the continent's most clinical sides off the scoresheet for a second straight meeting.

Luis Enrique's side was able to control the first leg by overwhelming the Gunners in the middle of the pitch with bodies. Arsenal's desperation and the reintegration of Thomas Partey into the side will make it significantly more difficult for PSG to achieve this, even at Parc des Princes.

Bukayo Saka and Co. will be looking to force the issue all night long. Although it may appear the hosts are disjointed at times with Achraf Hakimi and Nuno Mendes bombing forward in possession, PSG have a seasoned veteran (Marquinhos) and a stellar sweeper (Willian Pacho) keeping guard at the back.

Trying to predict this result is even more difficult than tending goal in a Barcelona vs. Inter Milan semifinal. However, we're confident Gianluigi Donnarumma and David Raya won't see much action with these disciplined tactical sides playing stubborn soccer in Paris.

✅ Best bet: Under 3 goals (-110 via DraftKings)

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⚽ Best PSG vs. Arsenal player prop bet

🔎 Our NEW player prop odds tool can help you find the best betting odds across legal sportsbooks in your area!

🔥 Thomas Partey to receive a booking ⭐⭐⭐

Partey returns for the second leg of this tie after missing the first leg through suspension for, you guessed it, yellow card accumulation. The Ghanaian has had his name taken down in his last three Champions League appearances - all knockout ties - a commonplace occurrence for defensive midfielders.

He'll step back into the No. 6 role, anchoring the midfield against a Paris Saint-Germain side that counters with blistering pace. Given that the French champions built up their play in possession through Dembele in the middle of the pitch last match, Partey is primed for a yellow card in a cagey contest.

A $10 wager would return $17.50 if the Arsenal midfielder has his name written down by referee Felix Zwayer.

✅ Best odds: +175 via Caesars

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📈 PSG vs. Arsenal odds

Live updated odds from our best sports betting sites.

🚑 PSG vs. Arsenal injury report

📡 How to watch PSG vs. Arsenal live  

📅 Wednesday, May 7
🕗 3 p.m. ET
📍 Parc des Princes (Paris)
 🛜 Paramount+

💵 Best soccer betting sites

Looking to bet on the UEFA Champions League? Here are the best soccer betting sites and the best sportsbook promos for today's UCL games.

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