Arnold Palmer Invitational Live Odds 2025: AI Prediction Backs Aberg
Scottie Scheffler (+350) closed as the heavy betting pre-tournament favorite by the Arnold Palmer Invitational odds for this week's PGA Tour Signature Event.
Scheffler won this event last year and in 2022, with a T-4 finish in 2023 sandwiched in between. The No. 1 golfer in the Official World Golf Ranking (OWGR) has an implied win probability of 22.22% in the 72-man Arnold Palmer Invitational field. Meanwhile, Wyndham Clark - the No. 7 golfer in the OWGR - has outright odds as high as +5500 to return a profit of $550 on a winning $10 bet.
Our live odds widget will track the Arnold Palmer Invitational odds throughout the weekend until the winner is crowned at Bay Hill Club and Lodge on Sunday afternoon.
📊 Live Arnold Palmer Invitational odds
Our live Arnold Palmer Invitational odds from our best golf betting sites update in real time.
🏌️ My pick to win the Arnold Palmer Invitational
🇺🇸 Wyndham Clark
Best odds: +5500 via FanDuel | Implied win probability: 1.79%
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There's no FanDuel promo code needed to turn a $10 bet on Clark to win the Arnold Palmer Invitational into a $550 profit on Sunday evening.
The seventh-ranked golfer in the world is without a victory since last year's Pebble Beach Pro-Am, but I'm going to jump on odds like this for him every time we see them. Clark was the runner-up to Scheffler in this event last year as he built on a previous top finish of T-34 at Bay Hill.
Clark's best result to start the 2025 season was a T-15 in The Sentry Signature Event. He followed that with a T-16 in the Phoenix Open about a month later and most recently tied for 31st against essentially this same field in The Genesis Invitational.
Despite not showing his best form yet this season, we know Clark has a penchant for this course setup. He's also among the best putters and longest drivers in any field when near his best.
🏌️ Who's favored to win the Arnold Palmer Invitational?
🇺🇸 Scottie Scheffler
Best odds: +350 via BetMGM | Implied win probability: 22.22%
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After missing the season-opening Sentry in Hawaii due to injury, Scheffler finished T-9 in the Pebble Beach Pro-Am and T-3 in The Genesis Invitational (both Signature Events), with a T-25 in the WM Phoenix Open.
It makes for a relatively quiet start to the season for Scheffler, but he won this event and The Players Championship back-to-back last year, a month ahead of winning the Masters.
Scheffler's played this event just four times, with two victories and an average of 3.35 true strokes gained on the field per round. That's the highest strokes gained average of anyone who's played this event, and his worst finish in four trips to Bay Hill was a T-15 in his 2020 debut.
A winning $10 bet on Scheffler in the outright market would return a profit of $35 at BetMGM. I don't mind sprinkling on Scheffler in tournaments like this to hedge against any other outright bets.
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🔢 Scottie Scheffler's Arnold Palmer Invitational odds
Here are the best odds for Scheffler in every major Arnold Palmer Invitational betting market.
🤖 AI Arnold Palmer Invitational prediction
Our AI Arnold Palmer Invitational prediction is via ChatGPT, an AI chatbot that uses natural language processing to understand and respond to user prompts. This pick is for entertainment purposes only, and we don't advise wagering large amounts based on the advice below.
🇸🇪 Ludvig Aberg to win
Best odds: +1600 via DraftKings | Implied win probability: 5.88%
Terms and conditions apply.
- Recent performance: Aberg secured a victory at The Genesis Invitational earlier this season, showcasing his ability to excel in Signature Events
- Course compatibility: Bay Hill's demanding layout aligns well with Aberg's strengths, particularly his ball-striking prowess; his previous appearances at Bay Hill resulted in commendable finishes of 24th and 25th, indicating a growing familiarity with the course's challenges
- Betting value: With odds of +1600, Åberg offers substantial value for bettors seeking a balance between risk and potential return; a winning $10 bet would return a profit of $160
Given these factors, Aberg stands out as a value pick for this year's Arnold Palmer Invitational.
👀 Arnold Palmer Invitational betting insights
The following Arnold Palmer Invitational betting info is courtesy of BetMGM as of Wednesday:
Tournament winner
Here are the most popular bets at BetMGM for the winner of the Arnold Palmer Invitational:
| Tickets | Handle | Liability |
|---|---|---|
| Scottie Scheffler (14.8%) | Scottie Scheffler (26.4%) | Scottie Scheffler |
| Rory McIlroy (10.0%) | Rory McIlroy (17.9%) | Rory McIlroy |
| Ludvig Aberg (7.8%) | Ludvig Aberg (8.9%) | Ludvig Aberg |
⛳ 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational tournament info
- Where: Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge (Orlando)
- When: Thursday, March 6 - Sunday, March 9
- Field: 72
- Favorite: Scottie Scheffler (+320 via DraftKings)
- Purse: $20 million
- FedEx Cup points: 700
💰 Arnold Palmer Invitational betting history
| Year | Winner | Score to par | Odds (prior to Round 1) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Scottie Scheffler | -15 | +650 |
| 2023 | Kurt Kitayama | -9 | +20000 |
| 2022 | Scottie Scheffler | -5 | +2000 |
| 2021 | Bryson DeChambeau | -11 | +1200 |
| 2020 | Tyrrell Hatton | -4 | +5000 |
| 2019 | Francesco Molinari | -12 | +2500 |
| 2018 | Rory McIlroy | -18 | +1600 |
| 2017 | Marc Leishman | -11 | +8000 |
| 2016 | Jason Day | -17 | +1200 |
| 2015 | Matt Every | -19 | +15000 |
Historical odds via GolfOdds.com.
❓ How to bet on golf
When it comes to golf betting, it's essential to understand the various types of wagers available and how to assess player performance effectively.
- Outright winners
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Once you've determined your preferred bet types, conduct thorough research on players, course conditions, recent form, and other pertinent factors that could influence outcomes.
Delve into player statistics, recent tournament performances, course history, and any injuries or changes in form that may impact a player's chances of success.
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