FedEx Cup Odds & Favorites 2025: Scheffler the Betting Favorite, McIlroy Leads Standings
The first major of the 2025 golf season is right around and the FedEx Cup odds are taking shape. While Rory McIlroy leads the season-long standings with victories in the Pebble Beach Pro-Am and The Players Championship, Scottie Scheffler, the defending champion of the Tour Championship, is the betting favorite by the latest odds.
The FedEx Cup is the PGA Tour's season-long points race. The winner of the FedEx Cup will be the winner of the 2025 Tour Championship (with starting strokes), with the season-ending tournament played from Augusta 21-24 at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta, Ga. Scheffler is the defending winner of the FedEx Cup but McIlroy is a three-time champion.
The FedEx Cup standings update weekly, but we've seen Scheffler retain his position as the betting favorite in this market.
🏆 FedEx Cup odds
FedEx Cup odds listed below are from our best golf betting sites and were last update on March 26..
| Category | Odds (Caesars) | Implied probability | Profit on a $10 bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Scheffler | +280 | 26.32% | $28.00 |
| Rory McIlroy | +500 | 16.67% | $50.00 |
| Ludvig Aberg | +850 | 10.53% | $85.00 |
| Hideki Matsuyama | +1500 | 6.25% | $150.00 |
| Collin Morikawa | +1500 | 6.25% | $150.00 |
| Justin Thomas | +1800 | 5.26% | $180.00 |
| Xander Schauffele | +2000 | 4.76% | $200.00 |
| Russell Henley | +2500 | 3.85% | $250.00 |
| Patrick Cantlay | +2800 | 3.45% | $280.00 |
| Viktor Hovland | +2800 | 3.45% | $280.00 |
💰 FedEx Cup favorite
🇺🇸 Scottie Scheffler (+240)
Scheffler is "just" 15th in the FedEx Cup standings after an injury-delayed start to the 2025 golf season. He hasn't won yet this season, but the majors and Signature Events are what's most important in the season-long race, and he'll have plenty of opportunities to pile up his points ahead of the FedEx Cup Playoffs.
Still to come in 2025 will be his defense of the Masters, RBC Heritage, Memorial Tournament, and the Travelers Championship. He remains the betting favorite by the latest Masters odds, as well as the favorite for each of the other three majors.
Odds: +280 via Caesars | Implied probability: 26.32%
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⛳ Tour Championship info
- When: Thursday, August 21 - Sunday, August 24
- Where: East Lake Golf Course (Atlanta, Ga.)
- Defending champion: Scottie Scheffler
- Favorite: Scottie Scheffler (+240 via Caesars)
🔢 FedEx Cup starting strokes for Tour Championship
| Tour Championship Seed | FedEx Cup starting strokes |
|---|---|
| 1 | -10 |
| 2 | -8 |
| 3 | -7 |
| 4 | -6 |
| 5 | -5 |
| 6 | -4 |
| 7 | -4 |
| 8 | -4 |
| 9 | -4 |
| 10 | -4 |
| 11 | -3 |
| 12 | -3 |
| 13 | -3 |
| 14 | -3 |
| 15 | -3 |
| 16 | -2 |
| 17 | -2 |
| 18 | -2 |
| 19 | -2 |
| 20 | -2 |
| 21 | -1 |
| 22 | -1 |
| 23 | -1 |
| 24 | -1 |
| 25 | -1 |
| 26 | Even |
| 27 | Even |
| 28 | Even |
| 29 | Even |
| 30 | Even💰 |
💰 FedEx Cup betting history
Note: Starting strokes have been used every year since 2019. Those are shown in parentheses.
| Year | Winner | Pre-tournament odds | Score to par |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Scottie Scheffler | +120 | -30 (-10) |
| 2023 | Viktor Hovland | +500 | -27 (-8) |
| 2022 | Rory McIlroy | +800 | -21 (-4) |
| 2021 | Patrick Cantlay | +325 | -21 (-10) |
| 2020 | Dustin Johnson | +175 | -21 (-10) |
| 2019 | Rory McIlroy | +800 | -18 (-5) |
| 2018 | Tiger Woods | +1200 | -11 |
| 2017 | Xander Schauffele | +8000 | -12 |
| 2016 | Rory McIlroy | +600 | -12 (playoff) |
| 2015 | Jordan Spieth | +800 | -9 |
| 2014 | Billy Horschel | +2000 | -11 |
Historical odds via golfodds.com
🎟️ How to bet on the FedEx Cup
Betting on the FedEx Cup can be exciting, especially with everything on the line at East Lake Golf Course. Let's break down the basics for you.
Popular betting markets:
1. Outright winner (to win):
- This is the simplest and most popular bet. You're picking who you think will win the tournament overall.
- Example: If you bet on Rory McIlroy to win the FedEx Cup at odds of +800, a $10 bet would win you $80 if he wins.
2. Top finish (Top 5, Top 10, Top 20):
- Instead of picking the winner, you can bet on a player to finish within the top ranks of the leaderboard.
- Example: Betting on McIlroy to finish in the Top 10 means you win if he places 1st to 10th.
3. Matchups:
- This involves betting on one golfer to finish with a better score than another specific golfer.
- Example: Betting on Bryson DeChambeau to have a lower score than Jordan Spieth over the tournament.
4. Prop bets:
- These are fun and specific bets on events within the tournament, like whether a hole-in-one will be scored or the nationality of the winner.
Why golf futures odds move:
Futures odds, which are the odds offered well in advance of the tournament, can change for several reasons:
- Player form and performance: If a golfer is performing exceptionally well in preceding tournaments, their odds may shorten (decrease) as more people bet on them.
- Injuries or withdrawals: If a key player gets injured or withdraws from other tournaments leading up to the FedEx Cup, their odds might lengthen (increase).
- Course conditions: Augusta National has its own unique challenges. If there are reports of the course being set up particularly tough or favoring certain types of players (like long hitters or accurate putters), odds can adjust accordingly.
- Public betting and perception: Sometimes odds move based on public perception and betting patterns rather than actual performance changes.
Tips for beginners:
- Research players and the course: Learn about the strengths and weaknesses of different golfers and how Augusta National typically plays.
- Shop for the best odds: Compare odds at different sportsbooks to get the best possible value for your bets.
- Start with simple bets: Begin with straightforward bets like outright winners before moving to more complex markets.
- Set a budget: Decide how much you're willing to bet and stick to it. Golf betting can be unpredictable, so it's essential to gamble responsibly.
- Enjoy the experience: Betting on the FedEx Cup can add excitement to watching the tournament, but remember it's for fun. Stay informed and enjoy the golf!
➕ How to read golf odds
Here's how to read golf betting odds using American odds format:
- Positive odds: Positive odds indicate the potential profit on a $100 wager. For example, if a golfer has odds of +300, it means that a $100 bet would yield a profit of $300 if the golfer wins the tournament. So, your total payout would be $400 ($300 profit + $100 original stake).
- Negative odds: Negative odds represent the amount you need to wager to win $100 in profit. For instance, if a golfer has odds of -200, it means that you would need to bet $200 to win $100 in profit if the golfer wins. Your total payout would be $300 ($100 profit + $200 original stake). In a season-long event like the FedEx Cup, it's unlikely to see negative odds on any golfer until very late in the season—if at all.
Understanding these American odds allows you to quickly assess the potential payout and implied probability of a golfer winning a tournament. Positive odds indicate an underdog, while negative odds signify a favorite.
Odds will move leading up to a tournament's start and throughout the event. Live odds will be reflective of the current leaderboard, golfer performance, and the position of the pre-tournament favorites. The odds also factor in the popularity of certain golfers and how much money the sportsbooks have taken on those golfers to win the tournament.
❓FedEx Cup FAQs
Who is the favorite for the FedEx Cup?
Scottie Scheffler is the favorite for the 2025 FedEx Cup with odds of +280 representing an implied win probability of 26.32%.
Who won last year's FedEx Cup?
Scottie Scheffler won last year's FedEx Cup for his first career win of the season-long race. He began the Tour Championship as the favorite at 10-under par.
How is the FedEx Cup decided?
PGA Tour members earn FedEx Cup points based on their results at each tournament, with an emphasis placed on wins and high finishes.
The top 70 finishers on the Tour's season-long eligibility points list are able to compete in the FedEx St. Jude Championship as the first event of the playoffs. The top 50 from there will move on to the BMW Championship, and the top 30 thereafter will qualify for the Tour Championship at East Lake Golf Club.
When is the FedEx Cup decided?
The FedEx Cup champion is decided at the Tour Championship, which is played from Aug. 21-24, 2025.
Where is the FedEx Cup decided?
The FedEx Cup champion is determined at the Tour Championship, which is played at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta, Ga.
What is the prize for the FedEx Cup?
The winner of the Tour Championship - and the FedEx Cup - takes home $25 million in prize money.
🏌️ Golf betting odds pages
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