Valspar Championship Odds & Favorites 2025: Thomas, Schauffele Lead Quality Field
The countdown is on for the 2025 Masters, and as such, Justin Thomas and Xander Schauffele lead a strong PGA Tour field to Innisbrook Resort's Copperhead Course as betting favorites by the 2025 Valspar Championship odds.
It was an up-and-down week for Thomas and Schauffele at TPC Sawgrass last week. They now lead a quality 156-man field to Innisbrook in Palm Harbor, Fla., with Thomas as a +1400 betting favorite to win the Valspar Championship. Those odds represent an implied win probability of 6.67%.
Below, we'll track the live Valspar Championship odds through Sunday's final round, with a look at the betting favorite, and our early AI pick to win this week's PGA Tour event.
📊 PGA Tour odds this week: 2025 Valspar Championship
Our live Valspar Championship odds from our best golf betting sites update in real time.
🏌️ Who's favored to win the Valspar Championship?
🇺🇸 Justin Thomas
Best odds: +1400 via DraftKings | Implied win probability: 6.67%
Terms and conditions apply.
Thomas finished T-33 in last week's Players Championship despite matching the tournament record with 11 birdies during a Friday round of 10-under 62. That helped to offset his plus-6 opening round before shooting 73 on both Saturday and Sunday.
Thomas now enters this week at No. 10 in the Official World Golf Ranking (OWGR), down one spot from a week ago. He's the third-best golfer in the field by that measure — behind Schauffele and Tommy Fleetwood — but is the outright betting favorite across our best golf betting sites.
Thomas played in this event for the past four years, with his best showing a T-3 in 2022. He tied for 64th last year but has averaged 1.33 true strokes gained per round over 26 career rounds on the Copperhead Course.
I won't be paying for a bet on Thomas as the tournament favorite after last week's wildly inconsistent play. Copperhead can penalize bad shots as much as any course outside of TPC Sawgrass, and I'm not ready to trust Thomas as an outright bet after what we saw last week.
🤖 AI Valspar Championship prediction
Our AI Valspar Championship is via ChatGPT, an AI chatbot that uses natural language processing to understand and respond to user prompts. This pick is for entertainment purposes only, and we don't advise wagering large amounts on the below advice.
🏴 Tommy Fleetwood to win
Best odds: +1400 via DraftKings | Implied win probability: 6.67%
- Recent form: Fleetwood has been in impressive form this season, securing a T-5 in The Genesis Invitational, and a T-11 in the Arnold Palmer Invitational; he tied for 14th last week
- Course compatibility: The Copperhead Course demands precision and strategic play, aligning well with Fleetwood's strengths in ball-striking and course management
- Motivation: Fleetwood is seeking his first PGA TOUR victory, and his current form suggests he's on the cusp of achieving this milestone
⛳ 2025 Valspar Championship tournament info
- Where: Innisbrook Resort (Copperhead Course), Palm Harbor, Fla.
- When: Thursday, March 20 - Sunday, March 23
- Field: 156
- Favorite: Justin Thomas (+1400 via DraftKings)
- Purse: $8.7 million
- FedEx Cup points: 500
💰 Valspar Championship betting history
| Year | Winner | Score to par | Odds (prior to Round 1) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Peter Malnati | -12 | +30000 |
| 2023 | Taylor Moore | -10 | +5000 |
| 2022 | Sam Burns | -17 (playoff) | +2000 |
| 2021 | Sam Burns | -17 | +6000 |
| 2020 | Canceled | ||
| 2019 | Paul Casey | -8 | +2000 |
| 2018 | Paul Casey | -10 | +2000 |
| 2017 | Adam Hadwin | -14 | +8000 |
| 2016 | Charl Schwartzel | -7 (playoff) | +3000 |
| 2015 | Jordan Spieth | -10 (playoff) | +1200 |
Historical odds via GolfOdds.com.
❓ How to bet on golf
When it comes to golf betting, it's essential to understand the various types of wagers available and how to assess player performance effectively.
- Outright winners
- Each-way bets (which encompass both a win and a top finish)
- Head-to-head matchups
- Proposition bets tailored to specific tournament events, like hole-in-one occurrences or player performances on designated holes
Once you've determined your preferred bet types, conduct thorough research on players, course conditions, recent form, and other pertinent factors that could influence outcomes.
Delve into player statistics, recent tournament performances, course history, and any injuries or changes in form that may impact a player's chances of success.
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