Who is Favored to Win MLB MVP, Cy Young & Rookie of the Year Awards After Opening Weekend?
We're barely one turn through the rotation for all 30 MLB teams, but we've already seen some notable shifts in the odds for some of baseball's top awards after the first weekend.
Here's a look at every major award and how the markets have shifted since Opening Day. All odds are courtesy of BetMGM entering Monday's MLB slate with odds movement listed since last week.
🏆 2025 MLB awards odds & favorites after opening weekend
Here's a look at the latest MLB futures odds for every major award via BetMGM. You can also check out our MLB player prop odds tool for the latest MLB odds at the best legal sportsbooks in your region.
| 🏅 Award | 1️⃣ Favorite | 📊 Odds |
|---|---|---|
| AL MVP | Aaron Judge | -110 |
| NL MVP | Shohei Ohtani | +135 |
| AL Cy Young | Tarik Skubal / Garrett Crochet | +350 |
| NL Cy Young | Paul Skenes | +200 |
| AL Rookie of the Year | Kristian Campbell | +275 |
| NL Rookie of the Year | Dylan Crews | +325 |
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💪 Who is favored to win AL MVP in 2025?
After winning the award last year, Aaron Judge is the favorite to win AL MVP. He entered Monday with -110 odds to win the award - the only prohibitive favorite in the field.
📊 AL MVP odds
👉 Check out our full breakdown of the MLB MVP odds.
📈 AL MVP betting favorite
Aaron Judge (+300 ➡️ -110)
Ahead of Opening Day, Judge was tied with Kansas City Royals star Bobby Witt Jr. for the shortest odds to repeat as AL MVP. Then the New York Yankees slugger hit four home runs in his first three games to surge to the top spot all on his own.
Judge is now dealing at better than even money to win the award for the third time in four years. He probably won't maintain a 216-homer pace (right?), but he was the unanimous winner last year and will be tough to beat this year ... if he can stay healthy.
💰 Biggest AL MVP liability
Julio Rodriguez (+1800 ➡️ +1800)
While Witt had drawn the highest percentage of tickets (21.1%) and overall betting handle (25.9%) entering the week, Rodriguez remains the biggest liability for BetMGM if he wins the award for the first time.
That's largely because he opened at +4000 odds before that number was slashed by more than half before the season. Rodriguez got off to a blistering start in spring training but featured a .167 batting average through his first four games entering Monday's action.
💪 Who is favored to win NL MVP in 2025?
After winning MVP in three of the last four seasons across both leagues, Shohei Ohtani is the favorite to win NL MVP. He won the award last year in his debut for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and he's expected to win it again for the runaway World Series odds favorites.
📊 NL MVP odds
📈 AL MVP betting favorite
Shohei Ohtani (+150 ➡️ +135)
Ohtani opened as the +175 favorite to repeat as NL MVP and was priced at +150 entering Opening Day. He's dealing at even shorter odds now after hitting two homers with a 1.200 OPS through his first five games.
Assuming his bat is still MVP-caliber, it'll be tough to compete with the two-way star once he starts producing on the mound, which was expected to be May before the Dodgers paused his pitching rehab this week. Even if he doesn't come back as a pitcher, he'll be tough to outlast as a hitter alone this season.
💰 Biggest NL MVP liability
Elly De La Cruz (+1800 ➡️ +1200)
Is there a more exciting player in baseball than De La Cruz? More than 20% of all NL MVP bets at BetMGM have come on the Reds superstar, who opened at +2000 and was dealing at +1800 last week before seeing those odds slashed in the last few days.
That isn't necessary the result of a hot start - he's hitting .273 without any extra-base hits entering Monday - but one of the most popular stars in the sport has all of the tools to put together an MVP-like season if he can cut down the strikeouts.
⚾ Who is favored to win AL Cy Young in 2025?
Entering Monday's action, Tarik Skubal and Garrett Crochet are co-favorites to win AL Cy Young. Skubal opened as the +300 favorite but is now the joint-favorite with Crochet after the latter drew heavy action entering the season.
📊 AL Cy Young odds
👉 Check out our full breakdown of the MLB Cy Young odds.
📈 AL Cy Young betting favorite
Tarik Skubal (+300 ➡️ +350)
Skubal won this award last year as a breakout candidate, so we'll give him the nod here over Crochet even with the two featuring the same odds.
The Detroit Tigers ace is losing his grip on this market, though, after giving up four earned runs and six hits - including two home runs - through five innings against the Dodgers on Opening Day. That could easily be his worst outing of the season opposite the title favorites, but it's not the ideal start to his repeat bid.
💰 Biggest AL Cy Young liability
Gavin Williams (+4000 ➡️ +2500)
While Crochet has garnered more support in terms of total tickets (9.5%) and betting handle (12.5%), Williams would pose the biggest risk to BetMGM's balance sheet if he can put together a breakout campaign a la Skubal last season.
The young Cleveland Guardians pitcher turned heads with a strong spring training in which he struck out 26 batters in 17 1/3 innings, though he couldn't find the same success against the Royals on Saturday, tossing five innings of two-run ball with two punchouts.
⚾ Who is favored to win NL Cy Young in 2025?
After a scintillating rookie season last year, Paul Skenes is the favorite to win NL Cy Young. He opened as the favorite with +400 odds and has already seen that price cut in half.
📊 NL Cy Young odds
📈 NL Cy Young betting favorite
Paul Skenes (+210 ➡️ +200)
What more is there to say about Skenes? After tormenting batters as a rookie last year, the Pittsburgh Pirates ace is already the clear front-runner to win NL Cy Young ahead of Zack Wheeler and Blake Snell.
He didn't look especially sharp on Opening Day against the Marlins, allowing two runs with two walks in 5 1/3 innings, but he did strike out seven batters and looks like a clear contender to lead MLB in strikeouts in his age-22 season.
💰 Biggest NL Cy Young liability
Roki Sasaki (+3000 ➡️ +6600)
Skenes might already be the most recognizable pitcher in baseball (besides Ohtani), so it's no surprise that he's drawn more tickets (10.2%) and overall handle (16.3%) than any other hurler in the NL.
Yet Sasaki, who is dealing at +6600 odds, is the biggest liability for BetMGM after opening at +8000. He was dealing at +3000 last week before getting shelled in his second start, giving up two runs with four walks in just 1 2/3 frames against the Tigers.
🚀 Who is favored to win AL Rookie of the Year in 2025?
After a sizzling start to his MLB career, Kristian Campbell is the favorite to win AL Rookie of the Year. He's already picked up six hits through his first four career games.
📊 AL Rookie of the Year odds
👉 Check out our full breakdown of the MLB Rookie of the Year odds.
📈 AL Rookie of the Year betting favorite
Kristian Campbell (+650 ➡️ +275)
It feels like the hype is growing daily for Campbell, who wasn't even the favorite in this market last week despite making the Opening Day roster for the Red Sox.
He then proceeded to flash .429/.500/.786 with a 1.286 OPS through his first four starts, and he's already in talks with Boston on a potentially lucrative contract extension. He could net a big payday for anyone who bet him at an opening price of +1100.
💰 Biggest AL Rookie of the Year liability
Jacob Wilson (+1000 ➡️ +1100)
While Campbell is the rookie making headlines in the AL, Wilson is quietly the most popular bet in this market with the most tickets (13.3%) and by far the biggest handle (23.8%) on the A's shortstop.
Just one year remove from going No. 6 overall in the draft, Wilson has hit .267 in his first four career games but lacks the obvious power to make waves in this race. Still, the market is clearly bullish on the 6-2 infielder as a dark-horse ROY contender.
🚀 Who is favored to win NL Rookie of the Year in 2025?
While he's yet to record a hit this season, Dylan Crews is the favorite to win NL Rookie of the Year. The Washington Nationals outfielder has drawn the highest percentage of bets (14.2%) at BetMGM to win the award.
📊 NL Rookie of the Year odds
📈 NL Rookie of the Year betting favorite
Dylan Crews (+300 ➡️ +325)
The second pick in last year's draft behind Skenes, his teammate at LSU, Crews has been somewhat overlooked despite his immense potential at the plate.
He hit just .218 last year in his debut campaign and is yet to record a hit through 12 plate appearances this year, though in a relatively weak class of rookie hitters, Crews only saw a marginal dip in his odds after a cold start to the season.
💰 Biggest AL Rookie of the Year liability
Quinn Mathews (+2500 ➡️ +2500)
Mathews was a relatively unheralded prospect two years ago before tearing up the minor leagues - he threw 200 strikeouts last year, which hadn't been done since 2011.
He didn't crack the opening rotation for the Cardinals, but given the lack of quality arms on St. Louis' MLB roster, it feels like a matter of time before the 6-5 lefty gets his shot in the big leagues. After opening at +3500, he could still be a nice bet at this price.
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