Braves vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Expert Picks Tonight: Saturday, May 17

The Braves will look to make it two-for-two against the Red Sox on Saturday, and we have predictions on the winner and first-inning scoring.

Mike Spector

Last updated: May 17, 2025 11:24 AM EDT • 3 min read

Braves vs. Red Sox Prediction & Picks: Best MLB Odds for Today, May 17 — Pictured: Boston Red Sox first baseman Nick Sogard makes an out during the ninth inning against the Atlanta Braves at Fenway Park. Photo by Eric Canha via Imagn Images.

The Atlanta Braves (23-22) look for a second straight road win tonight against the Boston Red Sox (22-24) after taking the series opener. First pitch from Fenway Park is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX).

Our Braves vs. Red Sox prediction finds value with the short home favorites at -118 moneyline odds.

💰 Best Braves vs. Red Sox predictions tonight

🔢 Braves vs. Red Sox odds & betting lines

Here are the latest Braves vs. Red Sox odds and betting lines from our best live betting sites.

📊 Who will win tonight's MLB matchup?

As of Saturday morning, the Red Sox are favored to beat the Braves in today's MLB matchup at 7:15 p.m. ET from Fenway Park in Boston. I’m predicting the Red Sox will beat the Braves as -118 moneyline favorites.

🎯 Braves vs. Red Sox score prediction: Red Sox 7, Braves 4

Tonight’s second game of this three-game series should play out nothing like the pitcher’s duel that the series opener was, as two of the best southpaws in the league (Chris Sale and Garrett Crochet) matched pitch for pitch. I expect more runs to be scored with the starting pitching matchup featuring two hurlers (Grant Holmes and Lucas Giolito) who own ERAs north of four.

There is value on the Red Sox to end their four-game losing streak, given that their offense has been more consistent than Atlanta’s. The Braves entered this series with the 25th-ranked wRC+ and only two hitters with a wRC+ above 100 (and three regular starters worse than 25 in that same metric) in May.

The Braves have done well to claw back over .500 for the first time this season after starting 0-7. But the Red Sox have the ability to put up big numbers as they have just a -4 run differential despite going 4-6 over the last 10 games. I predict Boston will beat Atlanta by a final score of Red Sox 7, Braves 4.

Best bet: Red Sox ML (-118 via DraftKings)

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1️⃣ First-inning prediction: YRFI (-115 via FanDuel)

The Under is 7-0 in Atlanta’s last seven road games, with no runs being scored in the first inning in each of the previous six. However, I am fading those trends tonight as there is value on the YRFI bet with Braves righty Grant Holmes pitching to a 4.50 ERA in the first inning this year.

🚑 Braves vs. Red Sox injuries

Here are the latest injuries for tonight's Braves vs. Red Sox matchup, which will update in real time.

📺 How to watch Braves vs. Red Sox

⚔️ Matchup: Braves vs. Red Sox
📅 Date: Saturday, May 17
🕗 Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
📍 Location: Fenway Park (Boston)
📺 TV: FOX
💻 Streaming: MLB TV, YouTube

❓ Braves vs. Red Sox FAQs

Who is favored to win Braves vs. Red Sox?

The Red Sox are trading as -118 moneyline favorites at our best sports betting apps, which gives them a 54.13% implied probability.

What are the odds for Braves vs. Red Sox?

The Red Sox are as high as +170 to lay the -1.5 runs with the run line, while Atlanta’s +1.5 odds are at -205. Our best sportsbooks are split between a total of 9 and 9.5 (+102/-124) runs.

What time is Braves vs. Red Sox tonight?

First pitch from Fenway Park is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET.

How to watch Braves vs. Red Sox

The Braves vs. Red Sox MLB matchup airs on FOX and can be streamed on the MLB TV app and YouTube.

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Written By:
Mike Spector

Mike started in the sports writing industry in July 2019, and gained a lot of followers in his first year after finishing with the No. 2 overall record in an annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an Over/Under and moneyline perspective. Mike is an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, tennis, and all college sports. In his opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and he's especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. Mike's a big advocate of "fading the public" and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that "there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas." When making wagers, Mike always scours the best odds at all of the major sports betting sites, where he mostly sifts through DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and bet365. He's tried several others and is of the firm belief that bettors should not just stick to one sportsbook, as there is always likely better value to be had with the same wager. In addition, while Mike received his undergraduate degree from Villanova University, he has no issue betting against the Wildcats when it comes to college basketball wagering, and suggests other bettors should always put their “head” before their “hearts.”