F1 Odds & Predictions: Emilia Romagna Grand Prix Expert Picks Today
Oscar Piastri took pole position ahead of Max Verstappen, George Russell, and Lando Norris as we offer our Emilia Romagna Grand Prix odds and predictions for today's race at Imola in Italy (9 a.m. ET, ESPN).
F1 Championship odds favorite Piastri, the race front-runner across our best sports betting sites, is looking for his fourth straight victory, while Verstappen, who has won the last three races at Imola, is after his second victory of the season.
Norris struggled in the last lap of qualifying, finishing fourth.
🥇2025 Emilia Romagna Grand Prix odds & favorites🥇
Emilia Romagna Grand Prix odds via FanDuel as of Sunday, May 18.
| Driver | Odds | Implied probability | Profit on a $10 bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar Piastri | -250 | 71.43% | $4 |
| Max Verstappen | +330 | 23.26% | $33 |
| Lando Norris | +650 | 13.33% | $65 |
| George Russell | +1600 | 5.88% | $160 |
| Charles Leclerc | +11000 | 0.90% | $1,100 |
| Lewis Hamilton | +11000 | 0.90% | $1,100 |
| Fernando Alonso | +14000 | 0.71% | $1,400 |
| Kimi Antonelli | +14000 | 0.71% | $1,400 |
| Carlos Sainz | +14000 | 0.71% | $1,400 |
| Alex Albon | +14000 | 0.71% | $1,400 |
| Isaak Hadjar | +42000 | 0.24% | $4,200 |
| Yuki Tsunoda | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Liam Lawson | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Esteban Ocon | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Pierre Gasly | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Oliver Bearman | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Esteban Ocon | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Lance Stroll | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Jack Doohan | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Nick Hulkenberg | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Isaak Hadjar | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
📈 Emilia Romagna Grand Prix odds movement
Updated betting info via FanDuel as of Sunday, May 18
- Piastri moved from +130 to -250 after taking pole position
- Verstappen's odds shortened from +650 to 330 after finishing second in qualifying
- Norris' odds lengthened from +130 to +650 after finishing fourth in qualifying
- Russell's odds remained unchanged at +1600
💰 Emilia Romagna Grand Prix predictions, expert picks & best bets to win
Editor's note: Here are my best Emilia Romagna Grand Prix predictions for Sunday's race in Italy. Picks were made on Monday, May 12 and are based on odds from our best F1 betting sites.
🏆 Pick to win Emilia Romagna Grand Prix: Lando Norris ⭐⭐⭐⭐
👉 Best odds: +150 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 40%
Norris hasn't won a race since the Australian Grand Prix on opening weekend. However, of the six races, he finished in second three times, third and fourth once.
He came close to ending Piastri's win streak at the Miami Grand Prix, taking second after crossing the line just over four seconds behind his Aussie teammate.
Norris finished second at last year's Emilia Romagna Grand Prix behind Verstappen. I'm giving Norris a minuscule advantage over his teammate because of the track's high degree of difficulty.
Norris' experience advantage might facilitate a slightly smoother run, utilizing the kerbs while not pushing the envelope too much. That delicate balance is fit for someone with more races under his belt.
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💎 Best value bet to win Emilia Romagna Grand Prix: Max Verstappen ⭐⭐⭐⭐
👉 Best odds: +650 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 13.33%
Verstappen is clearly operating an inferior car, which he's made everyone repeatedly aware of. One of the main issues with the Red Bull car is its propensity for thermal degradation on its tires. Basically, the tires overheat too quickly. With the searing heat in Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, and Miami, that issue was more pronounced in recent races.
It shouldn't be as problematic at Imola, where the high temperature shouldn't eclipse 76 degrees. If there is a race he can make up for his car's performance issues, this might be it. The more difficult Imola track should benefit Verstappen's wealth of experience and overall skill superiority.
There's also the tidbit that he's won the last three races at Imola. Of our best sports betting apps, FanDuel is offering the outlier +650. So, if you're inclined to back Verstappen, do it there.
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🎯 Best long shot to win Emilia Romagna Grand Prix: George Russell ⭐⭐⭐
👉 Best odds: +1600 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 5.88%
How many times can a driver knock on the door of first place without winning? You'll have to pose that question to Russell, who has been a beacon of consistency despite not capturing that elusive win. Maybe, Imola will provide the Brit the platform to get over the hump finally.
He'll require a few mistakes from Norris and Piastri to get the job done. If those occur, Russell will be in the running to win his first race of the season.
The Mercedes driver has four podium finishes in six races, snatching second at the Bahrain Grand Prix. He struggled a bit at Emilia Romagna last year, finishing seventh.
However, he's been a step above last season's performances and has the best chance of anyone outside the big three this week.
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🏎️ Emilia Romagna Grand Prix FP1 results
- Oscar Piastri (McLaren)
- Lando Norris (McLaren)
- Carlos Sainz (Williams Mercedes)
- George Russell (Mercedes)
- Lewis Hamilton (Ferrari)
- Pierre Gasly (Alpine Renault)
- Max Verstappen (Red Bull Racing Honda RBPT)
- Alexander Albon (Williams Mercedes)
- Gabriel Bortoleto (Kick Sauber Ferrari)
- Nico Hulkenberg (Kick Sauber Ferrari)
🏎️ Emilia Romagna Grand Prix FP2 results
- Oscar Piastri (McLaren)
- Lando Norris (McLaren)
- Pierre Gasly (Alpine Renault)
- George Russell (Mercedes)
- Max Verstappen (Red Bull Racing Honda RBPT)
- Charles Leclerc (Ferrari)
- Isack Hadjar (Racing Bulls Honda RBPT)
- Yuki Tsunoda (Red Bull Racing Honda RBPT)
- Alexander Albon (Williams Mercedes)
- Carlos Sainz (Williams Mercedes)
🏆 Past Emilia Romagna Grand Prix winners
Here is a look at the Emilia Romagna Grand Prix winners since it returned to the F1 circuit in 2020.
| Year | Driver | Team |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 🇳🇱 Max Verstappen | Red Bull-Honda RBPT |
| 2023 | Not held due to the floods in Emilia-Romagna | Not held due to the floods in Emilia-Romagna |
| 2022 | 🇳🇱 Max Verstappen | Red Bull-Honda RBPT |
| 2021 | 🇳🇱 Max Verstappen | Red Bull-Honda RBPT |
| 2020 | 🇬🇧 Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes (Now Ferrari) |
📈 Emilia Romagna Grand Prix trends & history
🏎️ The venue previously hosted the Italian Grand Prix in 1980, and the San Marino Grand Prix from 1981 to 2006
🏎️ Formula One returned to the venue and location (Imola) in 2020 when it became referred to as Emilia Romagna, named after the region where the event takes place
🏎️ Hamilton holds the fastest lap (1m 15.484s), which he accomplished with Mercedes in 2020
🏎️ Ayrton Senna has the record for most pole positions (8)
🏎️ Michael Schumacher holds the record for most wins (7)
🏎️ Verstappen won the last three races at Imola
🏎️ Pole-sitter won the last two races but not the preceding two
📺 How to watch the 2025 Emilia Romagna Grand Prix
📅 Race date: Sunday, May 18
🕒 Start time: 9 a.m. ET
📍 Track: Autodromo Internazionale Enzo e Dino Ferrari (Emilia Romagna, Italy)
📺 TV: ESPN
💻 Streaming: ESPN+
☀️ Weather: 72 degrees, 10 mph to 12 mph winds, 14% chance of precipitation (less than 1mm)
❓ Emilia Romagna Grand Prix FAQs
Who is favored to win the Emilia Romagna Grand Prix?
Oscar Piastri is the favorite at our best sports betting apps, with his -225 odds implying a 69.23% win probability.
What are the odds for the Emilia Romagna Grand Prix?
Piastri (-225), Max Verstappen (+300), and Lando Norris (+600) are getting the shortest odds at BetMGM to win the Emilia Romagna Grand Prix.
What time is the 2025 Emilia Romagna Grand Prix?
The Emilia Romagna Grand Prix starts at 9 a.m. ET on Sunday, May 18.
How to watch the 2025 Emilia Romagna Grand Prix
You can watch the Emilia Romagna Grand Prix on ESPN or ESPN+.
Who has won the most Emilia Romagna Grand Prix races?
Michael Schumacher won the most races at Autodromo Internazionale Enzo e Dino Ferrari (7).
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