F1 Championship Odds 2025: Piastri the Favorite, Verstappen Closes Gap

Oscar Piastri remains the minus-money F1 Championship odds favorite ahead of Lando Norris and Max Verstappen, the latter of whom closed the gap after winning at Imola.
F1 Championship Odds 2025: Piastri the Favorite; Verstappen Closes Gap
Pictured: Max Verstappen after winning the Emilia Romagna Grand Prix at Imola. Photo by Hoch Zwei via Imagn Images.

Four-time defending champion Max Verstappen has injected new life into the F1 Championship odds race after winning the Emilia Romagna Grand Prix. 

While McLaren driver Oscar Piastri is still the clear favorite, Verstappen took a big chunk out of the deficit and is now standing alongside Lando Norris at our best F1 betting sites. Along with the F1 Championship odds, we also asked AI to provide its prediction.

๐Ÿ“Š F1 Championship odds 2025

The 2025 F1 championship odds are from BetMGM.

Driver Odds (BetMGM) Implied probability Profit ($10 bet)
Oscar Piastri -110 52.38% $9.09
Lando Norris +250 28.57% $25
Max Verstappen +250 28.57% $25
George Russell +4000 2.44% $400
Charles Leclerc +15000 0.66% $1,500
Lewis Hamilton +15000 0.66% $1,500
Kimi Antonelli +20000 0.50% $2,000
Yuki Tsunoda +100000 0.10% $10,000

๐Ÿค– F1 championship AI prediction

We asked ChatGPT to analyze historical trends and F1 stats before predicting the winner of this year's F1 Driver's Championship. Our AI prediction projects Oscar Piastri to win the F1 Championship. 

๐Ÿ–ฅ๏ธ AI F1 Championship prediction: Oscar Piastri (-110)

Based on the current standings, form trends, and team performance through seven rounds of the 2025 F1 season, Oscar Piastri is the most likely candidate to win the Driversโ€™ Championship โ€” but itโ€™s far from a lock. Here's why:

Key threats to Piastri's title hopes

  • Lando Norris (McLaren teammate): Just 13 points behind and in arguably the best form of his career. If team orders remain equal, Norris could outscore Piastri in future races.
  • Max Verstappen (Red Bull): He's still Max. Heโ€™s only 22 points back, has won 2 of the last 3 races, and Red Bull has clearly improved after a sluggish start. If they continue that upward trend, Verstappen can absolutely reel in the McLarens.
  • Team Dynamics: McLaren will have to manage the internal rivalry carefully. If they allow them to race freely, thereโ€™s risk of one taking points off the other โ€” opening the door for Verstappen.

ChatGPT is a large language model and not specifically designed for predicting sporting events, so these projections should be viewed as entertainment or a supplementary data point for your F1 Championship betting research.

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๐Ÿ”ข F1 Championship 2025 opening odds

  • Lando Norris: +175
  • Max Verstappen: +300
  • Charles Leclerc: +450
  • Lewis Hamilton: +550
  • Oscar Piastri: +800
  • George Russell: +1200
  • Liam Lawson: +6600
  • Andrea Kimi Antonelli: +8000
  • Alex Albon: +10000
  • Carlos Sainz: +10000

๐Ÿ† Past drivers' championship winners

Year Driver Team
2024 Max Verstappen Red Bull
2023 Max Verstappen Red Bull
2022 Max Verstappen Red Bull
2021 Max Verstappen Red Bull
2020 Lewis Hamilton Mercedes
2019 Lewis Hamilton Mercedes
2018 Lewis Hamilton Mercedes
2017 Lewis Hamilton Mercedes
2016 Nico Rosberg Mercedes
2015 Lewis Hamilton Mercedes
2014 Lewis Hamilton Mercedes
2013 Sebastian Vettel Red Bull

๐Ÿ† Past constructors' championship winners

Year Constructor
2024 McLaren 
2023 Red Bull
2022 Red Bull
2021 Red Bull
2020 Mercedes
2019 Mercedes
2018 Mercedes
2017 Mercedes
2016 Mercedes
2015 Mercedes
2014 Mercedes
2013 Red Bull

โ“ F1 driver and constructor championship FAQs

Who is the F1 championship favorite for 2025?

Oscar Piastri is the F1 championship odds favorite, and his -110 odds lead to an implied probability of 52.38%, via our odds converter.

When will the winner be named?

The Formula 1 season features 22 races, with the first in Australia on March 16, and the last one for 2025 taking place on Dec. 7 in Abu Dhabi. The leader in both the driver and constructor standings will be declared the winner in each category after that race.

However, one or both could be clinched before that event, as was the case with Verstappen's fourth title last year.

Who won the drivers' championship in 2024?

Max Verstappen took home the title in 2024 for the fourth straight season.

When does the 2025 F1 season begin?

The 2025 F1 season starts with the Australian Grand Prix on March 16. A few weeks prior to that there's preseason testing on Feb. 26-28 in Sakhir.

๐Ÿ Motorsports betting odds pages

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