Miami Grand Prix AI Predictions: ChatGPT's F1 Picks & Best Bets for Today's Race

Last updated: May 4, 2025 2:16 PM EDT β’ 7 min read X Social Google News Link

The Miami International Autodrome is home today to the sixth race of a competitive Formula 1 season, with Oscar Piastri narrowly atop both the drivers' standings and the F1 championship odds. We've analyzed today's event with our Miami Grand Prix predictions, so now let's see what ChatGPT thinks for our Miami Grand Prix AI predictions.
The fourth edition of the Miami Grand Prix is set to take place today at 4 p.m. ET. Max Verstappen won two of the first three races in the Sunshine State. However, Lando Norris enters the weekend as the defending race-winner after securing his first Formula 1 victory in Miami last year.
Piastri and Norris lead a behemoth McLaren team. The latter sits slightly behind Piastri by the odds coming into Miami, and ChatGPT is favoring the Australian.
π€ F1 AI picks & predictions for 2025 Miami Grand Prix
We recently asked ChatGPT to make predictions for the Japanese Grand Prix, and everyone's favorite robot was only narrowly off while predicting Norris would claim victory (he finished second, and 1.423 seconds behind Verstappen).
Of note before we dive in too: Verstappen enters the weekend getting the highest ticket percentage at BetMGM (22.8%), with Piastri second (13.2%), and Norris third (11.4%). However, Norris is getting the highest handle percentage (35.8%), with Verstappen (25.6%) and Piastri (11.1%) following.
Now it's time for the standard warning that although there can be valuable insights and information gleaned from this exercise, ChatGPT should not be your primary tool when making Miami Grand Prix picks.
Here's my lengthy conversation with the pleasant and apparently F1-loving robot about its predictions ahead of lights out in Miami, and the 57-lap race on the 5.4 km circuit.
π ChatGPT's pick to win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix
ChatGPT predicts Oscar Piastri will win the Miami Grand Prix. Caesars features the top odds for him (+140) at our best F1 betting sites.
Piastri, who holds a mere 10-point lead in the drivers' standings over Norris, is getting an implied probability of 43.48% to win based on those odds from Caesars, with a $10 bet potentially leading to a $13 profit.

Here's ChatGPT's reasoning for picking the McLaren star, who has won three of the last four races while finishing third in Japan.
β Current form and championship lead: Oscar Piastri enters the Miami Grand Prix as the current leader of the Formula 1 world drivers' championship, having secured three victories this season, including a dominant win in Saudi Arabia. His consistent performance positions him as a strong contender for the Miami race.
β McLaren's competitive edge: McLaren has demonstrated exceptional performance this season, with both Piastri and teammate Norris achieving podium finishes. The team's strong form and technical advancements give Piastri a competitive advantage on the Miami circuit.
β Track record and adaptability: Piastri's adaptability to various circuit conditions and his ability to extract maximum performance from the car make him a formidable opponent. His recent victories and consistent podium finishes highlight his capability to perform under pressure.
β Final word: While Piastri is a strong favorite, the dynamic nature of Formula 1 racing and the presence of other competitive drivers, such as Verstappen and Norris, contribute to the uncertainty of the outcome. Therefore, an estimated 35% chance of victory reflects his current form and the competitive landscape.
π€ AI confidence level: βββ (35% chance of winning per AI simulation)
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π° ChatGPT's best prop bet for 2025 Miami Grand Prix
ChatGPT predicts Yuki Tsunoda will finish in the top six during the Miami Grand Prix.
Tsunoda is coming into just his fourth race as the second Red Bull driver after replacing Liam Lawson. His race ended quickly in Saudi Arabia after a first-lap collision with Pierre Gasly, but he scored points before that in Bahrain with a ninth-place finish.
He's getting +350 odds from bet365 to finish in the top six. That leads to an implied probability of 22.22%, with a $10 winning bet paying $35.

Here's why the AI model is calling for Tsunoda to finish in the top six:
β Improved performance and car package: Since his promotion to the main Red Bull Racing team, Tsunoda has demonstrated improved pace, especially in qualifying. The RB21 chassis has shown solid straight-line speed, which is critical on the Miami circuit with its long straights and DRS zones.
β Consistency and race craft: Despite bad luck in previous races (mechanical issues and strategy missteps), Tsunoda has consistently outpaced rival midfield drivers. Heβs showing greater composure and tire management - key to maintaining position in the latter stages of the race.
β Favorable track layout: Miamiβs layout - with overtaking opportunities and fast-flowing corners - suits Tsunodaβs aggressive yet tidy driving style. In practice sessions and simulations, he's shown strong pace at similar circuits like Jeddah and Baku.
π€ AI confidence level: βββ (45% chance of finishing in the top 6 via AI simulation)
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π― ChatGPT's best long shot to win 2025 Miami Grand Prix
ChatGPT is calling for Fernando Alonso of Aston Martin to earn a win as its long-shot pick. Alonso finished just outside the points in Saudi Arabia while ending up 11th.
He's getting deep dark-horse odds from bet365 while receiving a +15000 price. That translates to an implied probability of 0.66%, with a $10 bet leading to a $1,500 profit.

Here's why ChatGPT is tabbing Alonso as its best long shot:
β Aston Martin's progressing form: Aston Martin has been showing significant improvement this season, positioning itself as a strong contender in the midfield. The car's performance on circuits with a mix of high-speed straights and technical corners, like Miami, aligns well with Alonso's driving style.
β Alonso's experience and consistency: Alonso's vast experience in Formula 1 allows him to adapt quickly to varying track conditions and capitalize on opportunities during the race. His strategic approach and race craft make him a formidable competitor, especially in unpredictable race scenarios.
β Potential for midfield shakeup: The Miami Grand Prix has historically ended with unexpected results due to factors like weather changes, safety cars, and tire strategy variations. Alonso's ability to navigate such situations effectively could enable him to secure a top position, even if the race dynamics shift unexpectedly.
π€ AI confidence level: ββ (7% chance of winning per AI simulation)
π€ Miami Grand Prix AI projections for full finishing order
Here is our predicted Miami Grand Prix finishing order and results for every driver based on AI projections. Note that ChatGPT is a large language model and not specifically designed for predicting sporting events.
π ChatGPT's full Miami Grand Prix finishing order predictions
- Oscar Piastri (McLaren) π₯
- Max Verstappen (Red Bull) π₯
- Lando Norris (McLaren) π₯
- Charles Leclerc (Ferrari)
- Lewis Hamilton (Ferrari)
- George Russell (Mercedes)
- Yuki Tsunoda (Red Bull)
- Pierre Gasly (Alpine)
- Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin)
- Esteban Ocon (Haas)
- Jack Doohan (Alpine)
- Lance Stroll (Aston Martin)
- Andrea Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes)
- Nico Hulkenberg (Sauber)
- Gabriel Bortoleto (Sauber)
- Carlos Sainz (Williams
- Alexander Albon (Williams)
- Liam Lawson (Racing Bulls)
- Isack Hadjar (Racing Bulls)
- Oliver Bearman (Haas)
π° 2025 Miami Grand Prix best bets
Bet | Driver | Odds | Implied win probability |
---|---|---|---|
π Pick to win | Oscar Piastri | +140 | 43.48% |
π° Best prop bet | Yuki Tsunoda (top-6 finish) | +350 | 22.22% |
π― Best long shot | Fernando Alonso | +15000 | 0.66% |
π 2025 Miami Grand Prix expert picks & predictions
- Miami Grand Prix predictions
- Miami Grand Prix AI picks and predictions
- F1 preseason odds and predictions
- F1 championship odds
πΊ How to watch the 2025 Miami Grand Prix
π
Race date: Sunday, May 4
π Start time: 4 p.m. ET
π Track: Miami International Autodrome (Miami, USA)
πΊ TV: ESPN | Streaming: ESPN+
π Best F1 betting sites for Miami Grand Prix
Want to bet on the Miami Grand Prix? Here are our best sports betting sites for F1 as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with our best sportsbook promos ahead of Sunday's race.
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Sean Tomlinson X social