Paige Bueckers WNBA Debut: Best Player Props to Bet vs. Lynx

Last updated: May 16, 2025 5:00 PM EDT โข 5 min read X Social Google News Link

The No. 1 pick in the WNBA draft will be playing her first game as Paige Bueckers leads the Dallas Wings against the Minnesota Lynx at 7:30 p.m. ET (ION) from College Park Center in Arlington, Texas.
It's Paige Bueckers' WNBA debut, so we're breaking down Bueckers' best player props as she takes on one of the WNBA championship odds favorites.
๐ฌ Paige Bueckers WNBA debut preview vs. Lynx
๐ฅ No. 1 pick takes the court for the first time
Long viewed as a potential game-changing player and savior for a WNBA franchise, Bueckers was one of the most decorated players in NCAA history. The Minnesota native took home the Wooden Award as a freshman at UConn before injuries derailed her next two seasons.
However, she closed out her five-year career playing for Geno Auriemma by twice earning unanimous All-American honors and winning the NCAA Tournament title in Bueckers' final season. While not quite on the same level as Caitlin Clark, Bueckers is one of the best prospects to enter the WNBA in recent memory.
Although the Wings were atrocious last season, Bueckers steps into an ideal situation. Dallas hired former USC assistant coach Chris Koclanes as its new bench boss. And in addition to selecting Bueckers No. 1, the team added DiJonai Carrington and NaLyssa Smith to a roster that already boasted one of the best players in the WNBA, Arike Ogunbowale.
Bueckers now takes on a lead guard role, with an elite scorer in Ogunbowale flanking her alongside a top-notch defender in Carrington, and a physical front-court presence in Smith. With her high IQ and passing instincts, the rookie should quickly acclimate to the speed and size of the WNBA.
Despite our Lynx vs. Wings prediction projecting an 86-77 win for Minnesota, Bueckers is poised to show why she was worthy of the top selection in the WNBA draft.
โน๏ธโโ๏ธ Best Paige Bueckers player props to bet tonight
๐ Our NEW player props odds tool can help you find the best WNBA odds across legal sportsbooks in your area!
๐ฅ Paige Bueckers Over 1.5 made 3-pointers โญโญโญ
The Wings ranked in the back half of the league in made 3-pointers per game (6.3) last season, with Ogunbowale and Satou Sabally, when she was healthy, accounting for 5.3 per contest. Sabally is now with the Phoenix Mercury, opening the door for Bueckers to benefit from how much attention defenses give Ogunbowale.
While not taking threes at anywhere near the clip that Clark did in college, Bueckers was still an efficient and smart 3-point shooter during her time with the Huskies. She shot 42.3% from behind the arc while averaging 1.9 makes across her 123 games.
She's likely to get open looks tonight with the defense focusing on Ogunbowale, so I love the plus-money odds on this prop from our best sports betting apps.
โ Best odds:+118 via FanDuel (bet $10 to win $11.80 profit)
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๐ฅ Paige Bueckers Over 4.5 assists โญโญโญ
If you were to build a point guard in a lab, you'd end up with Bueckers.
She's as smart as any player on the court, with the vision to make jaw-dropping passes and the understanding of how to control a game and run an offense. Though she averaged just 4.6 assists per game at UConn, I expect her to be one of the leaders in that category in the WNBA with less need for her to carry the offense.
That's especially true with her playing next to Ogunbowale, who scored 22.2 points per game last season. Even with the Lynx's ferocious defensive play, Bueckers should be capable of reaching at least five apples in her WNBA debut after putting up six across just 23 minutes during her final preseason game.
โ Best odds: -118 via FanDuel ($10 to win $8.47)
๐ Best Paige Bueckers same-game parlay (SGP)
๐ Paige Bueckers Over 1.5 made 3-pointers (+118)
๐ Paige Bueckers Over 4.5 assists (-118)
๐ Paige Bueckers Over 3.5 rebounds (-164)
๐ฏ Parlay odds: +415 via FanDuel ($10 to win $41.40)
๐งช Want to build your own SGP? Use our parlay calculator to find the best odds for any same-game parlay.
๐ Paige Bueckers odds vs. Lynx
Live updated odds from our best sports betting sites.
๐ Paige Bueckers WNBA Rookie of the Year odds
- Bueckers is already the runaway favorite to win WNBA Rookie of the Year, with her odds from our best sportsbooks implying a 75% probability she'll take the honor
- The last three winners of WNBA Rookie of the Year were No. 1 picks (Clark, Aliyah Boston, and Rhyne Howard)
- Since the award began in 1998, the No. 1 pick has won it 15 times (55.5%)
- Bueckers' most significant competition comes from No. 2 pick Dominique Malonga of France, who's expected to start in the frontcourt for the Seattle Storm
- While guards have only won WNBA Rookie of the Year 11 times and forwards have taken it 16 times, the award has gone to a guard in three of the last five seasons
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Wings vs. Lynx betting insights
Here are some betting insights from BetMGM in the hours before tipoff:
- The spread has moved from -7.5 in favor of the Lynx to -5.5, and 77% of the handle is coming in on the Wings to cover +5.5
- The total has been moving plenty too while shifting from 165.5 to 163.5, with 74% of the bets and 83% of the handle on the Under
- The Wings opened at +275 on the moneyline and are now down to +220
๐ก How to watch Paige Bueckers' WNBA debut live
๐
Friday, May 16
๐ 7:30 p.m. ET
๐ College Park Center (Arlington, Texas)
๐บ ION | ๐ WNBA League Pass
๐ต Best WNBA betting sites
Looking to bet on the WNBA? Here are our best sportsbooks as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with our best sportsbook promos available for the WNBA.
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Rob Paul X social