Bucks vs. Warriors Predictions, Best NBA Odds & Player Props Tonight: March 18

Conference heavyweights face off at Chase Center on Tuesday when the Milwaukee Bucks visit the Golden State Warriors. Tipoff is slated for 10 p.m. ET (NBA TV).
My Bucks vs. Warriors predictions, picks, and player props examine whether Jimmy Butler lead the shorthanded Dubs past Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Bucks, or will the Greek Freak get his team a win on the road?
💰 Best Bucks vs. Warriors predictions & NBA player props tonight: March 18
Here are my best Bucks vs. Warriors predictions and player props for tonight's NBA matchup with my pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale. Be sure to check out the rest of our NBA picks along with our guide on how to bet on the NBA.
✅ Game pick: Bucks -2.5 (-110 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Jimmy Butler player prop pick: Over 31.5 points + rebounds + assists (-120 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Giannis Antetokounmpo player prop pick: Over 11.5 rebounds (-170 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Giannis Antetokounmpo player prop pick: Over 6.5 assists (-106 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
⛹️ Bucks vs. Warriors player prop picks
Here are my best Bucks vs. Warriors player prop bet odds and expert picks for tonight's NBA matchup. You can also check out our NBA player prop odds tool for the latest NBA odds at the best legal sportsbooks in your region.
🏀 Jimmy Butler Over 31.5 points + rebounds + assists (-120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -120 via FanDuel ($10 to win $8.33)
Golden State is playing on the second half of a back-to-back set, and Steph Curry is likely to sit out due to fatigue. That leaves the door open for Butler to take over as a scorer, rebounder, and facilitator.
Over the last six, Butler has averaged 17.7 points, 6.7 rebounds, and 6.8 assists, good for 31.2 PRA. He’s hit the Over in four of those, and I expect him to make it five of seven tonight. The Warriors lack a true bucket-getter outside of Curry, and the next man up is Butler, who can wear that hat when needed.
He’s been great as a passer and rebounder already, and he should see the ball in his hands a bit more with the Chef taking the night off.
📊 Best Jimmy Butler prop bet odds
- Points: 19.5 (Over: -125 | Under: -105 via bet365)
- Rebounds: 5.5 (Over: -144 | Under: +108 via FanDuel)
- Assists: 5.5 (Over: -154 | Under: +112 via Caesars)
🏀 Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 11.5 rebounds (-170) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -170 via FanDuel ($10 to win $5.88)
The Greek Freak is averaging 12.1 boards per game this season, and he’s pulled down at least 12 rebounds in 32 of 55 games, including three of his last four.
Over his last 12, Antetokounmpo has corralled 12.7 rebounds, and he gets a phenomenal matchup with an undersized Warriors frontcourt tonight.
📊 Best Giannis Antetokounmpo prop bet odds
🏀 Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 6.5 assists (-106) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -106 via Caesars ($10 to win $9.43)
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Giannis’ scoring has cooled from 31.8 points per game before the All-Star break to 26.5 after the break. He’s stepped back as an individual scorer but excelled in getting his teammates the ball.
Over his last 12, Giannis has averaged 6.9 assists and hit the Over eight times. That includes four straight games with at least seven assists.
🎯 Expert Bucks vs. Warriors score prediction & AI projections
🔮 Expert score prediction: Bucks 113, Warriors 104
🤖 AI score prediction: Warriors 118, Bucks 114
🔮 Expert score prediction: Bucks 113, Warriors 104
The Warriors will likely be without Curry tonight, and without him, the team doesn’t have enough firepower to hang with Giannis, Dame, and Co. Golden State’s available players will be back in action for the second game in as many nights, and the healthy and rested Bucks have the advantage here.
Golden State is 16-18-1 ATS at home, 4-5 as a home underdog, and 12-12-2 against Eastern Conference opponents. Milwaukee is 23-23-1 as a favorite and 7-11 ATS as a road favorite.
The Warriors have hit the Under in 13 of 26 against the Eastern Conference, and Milwaukee has gone Under in 13 of 22 against the West. Golden State’s offense may struggle to put up points without Curry, so I’ll take Milwaukee to win and cover on the road.
📊 Best odds: +18000 via DraftKings (bet $10 to win $1800)
🤖 AI score prediction: Warriors 118, Bucks 114
(Score prediction and analysis via ChatGPT - a large language model from OpenAI. While ChatGPT is not specifically designed for predicting sporting events, it can spot trends or insights that bettors might overlook.)
🖥️ AI predictions for Bucks vs. Warriors
The projected final score is Warriors 118, Bucks 114
- Win probability: Warriors 60% | Bucks 40%
- Projected total points: 232
- Key takeaways:
- Injury Watch: Giannis is probable (knee), while Curry’s fatigue could impact his minutes and effectiveness if he plays at all
- Warriors’ Home Edge: Golden State has won seven straight at Chase Center, making them a strong play at home
- Jimmy Butler’s Impact: Since joining the Warriors, Butler has improved their ability to draw fouls and get to the free-throw line, adding a new dynamic to their offense
🤔 Betting takeaway: ChatGPT's AI score prediction leans toward Golden State covering the spread (-3.5) and a total of Over 227.5 points.
📊 Live Bucks vs. Warriors odds & NBA betting splits tonight
Here are the latest Bucks vs. Warriors odds and betting splits from our best live betting sites.
🔢 Bucks vs. Warriors latest odds & betting lines
🏆 Who will win Bucks vs. Warriors?
As of Tuesday morning, Milwaukee is favored by 2.5 points to beat Golden State with moneyline odds of -142 at FanDuel, which suggest a 58.68% implied win probability for the Bucks. We're predicting a 113-104 win for Milwaukee as our final score projection.
So far, 71.0% of bettors have wagered against the spread on Golden State +2.5, while 67.0% of bettors expect the game to finish Over the projected total of 227.5 points.
🚑 Bucks vs. Warriors injuries
Here are the latest injuries for tonight's Bucks vs. Warriors matchup, which will update in real time.
📺 How to watch Bucks vs. Warriors tonight
📅 Date: March 18, 2025
🕗 Time: 10 p.m. ET
📍 Location: Chase Center (San Francisco)
📺 TV: NBA TV
💻 Streaming: NBA League Pass
❓Bucks vs. Warriors FAQs
Who is favored to win Bucks vs. Warriors?
The Warriors are favored to beat the Bucks (-142 at FanDuel) with an implied win probability of 58.68%.
What are the odds for Bucks vs. Warriors?
The Bucks are favored by as many as 2.5 points, and the point total is set as high as 227.5.
What time is Bucks vs. Warriors tonight?
The Bucks and Warriors tip off at 10 p.m. ET from Chase Center in San Francisco.
How to watch Bucks vs. Warriors
The Bucks and Warriors can be watched on NBA TV.
🏀 Best NBA betting sites
Looking to bet on the NBA tonight? Here are our best NBA betting sites as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with our best sportsbook promos available for tonight's NBA games.
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