Nuggets vs. Warriors Predictions, Best NBA Odds & Player Props Tonight: March 17
There will be no shortage of star power at Chase Center tonight when Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, and the Denver Nuggets visit Steph Curry, Jimmy Butler, and the Golden State Warriors for a 10 p.m. ET tipoff on ESPN. We break it down with our Nuggets vs. Warriors predictions and player props.
Denver won the first matchup of the season at Ball Arena, but this is a different venue and a new-look Warriors squad that’s been white hot since trading for Butler.
My Nuggets vs. Warriors predictions and player props expect Butler to excel as a playmaker, Jokic to crash the glass, and Draymond Green to rack up counting stats.
💰 Best Nuggets vs. Warriors predictions & NBA player props tonight: March 17
Here are my best Nuggets vs. Warriors predictions and player props for tonight's NBA matchup with my pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale. Be sure to check out the rest of our NBA picks along with our guide on how to bet on the NBA.
✅ Game pick: Warriors -4.5 (-105 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
✅ Jimmy Butler player prop pick: Over 6.5 assists (+110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
✅ Nikola Jokic player prop pick: Over 12.5 rebounds (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Draymond Green player prop pick: Over 22.5 points + rebounds + assists (-128 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
⛹️ Nuggets vs. Warriors player prop picks
Here are my best Nuggets vs. Warriors player prop bet odds and expert picks for tonight's NBA matchup. You can also check out our NBA player prop odds tool for the latest NBA odds at the best legal sportsbooks in your region.
🏀 Jimmy Butler Over 6.5 assists (+110) ⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +110 via DraftKings ($10 to win $11)
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Butler has averaged a healthy 5.9 assists per game across 15 appearances with Golden State. His scoring is similar to what it was with Miami to start the season, but he’s taken off as a playmaker.
Butler hit the Over on this line in six of 15 games with the Warriors, including three straight heading into Monday’s showdown with the Nuggets. Denver has allowed the most assists per game to opponents this season at 29.3, setting Butler up nicely to cash this prop.
🏀 Nikola Jokic Over 12.5 rebounds (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -110 via DraftKings ($10 to win $9.09)
The reigning MVP is averaging 12.8 assists per game this season, and he’s hit the Over on this line in 36 of 62 games, good for 58.1%. That includes 19 of 31 on the road, or 61.3%. Based on Jokic’s stellar performance as a rebounder, the odds on this line should be shorter, and I’m happy to take the value at -110.
Jokic has hit the Over in nine of his last 15 against Golden State, including four of his last six. The Warriors have allowed the most rebounds to opposing centers across their last seven contests, surrendering 17.7 per contest.
📊 Best Nikola Jokic prop bet odds'
🏀 Draymond Green Over 22.5 points + rebounds + assists (-128) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -128 via FanDuel ($10 to win $7.81)
New customers only. Deposit min. $5. Place first bet of $5+ and win $200 in Bonus Bets, if your bet wins. (within 72 hours).
Green averaged 19.9 PRA before the All-Star break, but he’s been highly productive since returning. Over his last 12 games, Green has averaged 25.2 PRA and hit the Over 10 times.
Green has been slightly more productive at home than on the road, and he’s in a great position to keep his hot streak rolling tonight at Chase Center. The Nuggets have been an above-average matchup for opposing bigs, and this line is set far too low.
📊 Best Draymond Green prop bet odds
🎯 Expert Nuggets vs. Warriors score prediction & AI projections
🔮 Expert score prediction: Warriors 122, Nuggets 116
🤖 AI score prediction: Warriors 117, Nuggets 113
🔮 Expert score prediction: Warriors 122, Nuggets 116
The Warriors are 10-5 straight up and ATS with Jimmy Butler in the lineup, and I’m not betting against Golden State at home tonight. The Warriors are steadily climbing the Western Conference standings, and tonight’s tilt with Denver offers the home team a chance to move one game closer to the visitor.
The Warriors are 3.5 games behind Denver, and Curry and Butler are surely aware of the importance of a win tonight. Denver is fresh off its second loss of the season to the lowly Washington Wizards, and Golden State can take advantage of this vulnerable defense to win a high-scoring game at home.
📊 Best odds: +17000 via DraftKings (bet $10 to win $1,700)
🤖 AI score prediction: Warriors 117, Nuggets 113
(Score prediction and analysis via ChatGPT - a large language model from OpenAI. While ChatGPT is not specifically designed for predicting sporting events, it can spot trends or insights that bettors might overlook.)
🖥️ AI predictions for Nuggets vs. Warriors
The projected final score is Warriors 117, Nuggets 113
- Win probability: Warriors 58% | Nuggets 42%
- Projected total points: 230
- Key takeaways:
- Injury uncertainty: Both Nikola Jokic and Stephen Curry are questionable, making injury updates crucial for bettors before placing wagers
- High-scoring battle: The total is set at 236.5, and both teams have firepower to push the over, especially if Jokic and Curry suit up
- Warriors’ edge at home: Golden State is favored by 4.5 points and has been strong at Chase Center, giving the Warriors a slight advantage in a closely contested matchup
Final take: With key injuries looming, the Warriors’ depth and home-court advantage make them the safer pick, but Denver remains a live underdog if Jokic plays.
🤔Betting takeaway: ChatGPT's AI score prediction leans toward Denver covering the spread (+4.5) and a total of Under 236.5 points.
📊 Live Nuggets vs. Warriors odds & NBA betting splits tonight
Here are the latest Nuggets vs. Warriors odds and betting splits from our best live betting sites.
🔢 Nuggets vs. Warriors latest odds & betting lines
🏆 Who will win Nuggets vs. Warriors?
As of Monday afternoon, Golden State is favored by 4.5 points to beat Denver with moneyline odds of -168 at FanDuel, which suggest a 62.69% win probability for the Warriors. We're predicting a 122-116 win for Golden State as our final score projection.
So far, 61% of bettors have wagered against the spread on Denver +4.5, while 59.0% of bettors expect the game to finish Over the projected total of 236.5 points.
🚑 Nuggets vs. Warriors injuries
Here are the latest injuries for tonight's Nuggets vs. Warriors matchup, which will update in real time.
📺 How to watch Nuggets vs. Warriors tonight
📅 Date: Monday, March 17
🕗 Time: 10 p.m. ET
📍 Location: Chase Center (San Francisco)
📺 TV: ESPN
❓ Nuggets vs. Warriors FAQs
Who is favored to win Nuggets vs. Warriors?
The Warriors are favored to beat the Nuggets (-168 at FanDuel) with an implied probability of 62.69.
What are the odds for Nuggets vs. Warriors?
The Warriors are favored by as many as 4.5 points, and the point total is set as high as 236.5.
What time is Nuggets vs. Warriors tonight?
The Nuggets and Warriors tip off at 10 p.m ET from Chase Center in San Francisco.
How to watch Nuggets vs. Warriors
The Nuggets and Warriors can be watched on ESPN.
🏀 Best NBA betting sites
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