Best Thunder vs. Nuggets Player Props Tonight: Best Bets & SGP for Game 6

With the Denver Nuggets' backs against the wall, we offer our Thunder vs. Nuggets player props for tonight's Game 6.

Philip Wood

Last updated: May 15, 2025 5:40 AM EDT • 3 min read

Best Thunder vs. Nuggets Player Props Tonight: Best Bets & SGP for Game 6 — Denver Nuggets center Nikola Jokic talks to an official after a play against the Oklahoma City Thunder. Photo by Alonzo Adams via Imagn Images

The Denver Nuggets cannot afford anymore slip-ups as they face the Oklahoma City Thunder in tonight's Game 6 at Ball Arena in Denver (8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN).

Our Thunder vs. Nuggets player props, part of our NBA picks, expect a big day on the glass from Nikola Jokic. We also look at Gilgeous-Alexander, offering a four-star Under play.

The Thunder are 4.5-point betting favorites with a moneyline of at least -190 at our best sports betting sites, and the total is set between 217.5 and 218.5.

⛹️ Best NBA player props for Thunder vs. Nuggets: Game 6

🔎 Our NEW NBA player prop odds tool can help you find the best NBA odds across legal sportsbooks in your area!

🔥 Nikola Jokic Over 14.5 rebounds ⭐⭐⭐⭐

After grabbing 15 rebounds in Game 5, Jokic has at least that many boards in three of the five games in this series. While he has one 8-rebound performance, he’s grabbed at least 13 in the other four games. With such a high floor, it’s hard not to like him again on Thursday.

Jokic averaged 12.7 rebounds per game in the regular season, so his performance in this series is hardly an outlier. In four regular-season games against the Thunder, Jokic pulled down 12, 13, 18, and 20 rebounds. For a price better than +100, there’s no reason not to take this chance.

✅ Best odds: +102 via FanDuel ($10 to win $10.20)

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🔥 Jalen Williams Under 21.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Williams averaged 21.6 points per game during the regular season, but at some point, we need to acknowledge that the Nuggets are simply a bad matchup for him. In this series, he’s scored more than 18 points just once, as he’s shot 35.7% or worse from the field in three of five games.

He can be explosive, as shown by his 32-point performance in Game 3, but that seems like a clear outlier. Williams did top this total in two of his four regular-season games against Denver, but he scored just 12 in the other two. He's getting plenty of minutes, but not executing. If oddsmakers aren’t going to adjust, then his Under will continue to be the right play.

✅ Best odds: -110 via BetMGM ($10 to win $9.09)

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🔥 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 30.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The difference between Gilgeous-Alexander at home and on the road in this series has been massive. He’s scored at least 31 in all three home games, shooting at least 46.2% from the field in each contest. But on the road, he scored 25 or fewer in both games and shot 42.1% or worse in both games.

SGA played two regular-season games in Denver and scored 28 points in both contests. Considering he’s now played four games in Ball Arena and has yet to score more than 30 in a single game, it’s clear that taking his Under is the right play, especially when we’re getting a price that isn’t inflated.

✅ Best odds: -110 via BetMGM ($10 to win $9.09)

🚀 Best same-game parlay (SGP)

🧪 Want to build your own SGP? Use our parlay calculator to find the best odds for any same-game parlay.

🔢 Thunder vs. Nuggets updated betting insights

Updated betting info via BetMGM

The Thunder opened as 4.5-point betting favorites. That line has not changed
The total opened at 219.5 but has since decreased to 216.5. Both sides are juiced to the standard -110
The Thunder's moneyline has remained at -190.

📡 How to watch Thunder vs. Nuggets live (Game 6)

📅 Thursday, May 15
🕗 8:30 p.m. ET
📍 Ball Arena (Denver)
📺 ESPN | 🛜 ESPN+

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Written By:
Philip Wood

Phil has covered sports betting since 2016, and he has been with SportsBook Review since 2022. He previously hosted the College Football Pick 'Em podcast for CanesInsight.com. He is always looking for value, especially on lines that just seem too good to be true. His belief is that if a line doesn't make sense just assume oddsmakers know something you don't. He also loves in-season futures. There is so much value to be had as the public overreacts weekly. Bettors tend to forget just how long NFL and college football seasons are. After all, the Green Bay Packers were 2-5 in 2023 and they made it to the Divisional Round. When deciding where to bet, it comes down to value over everything. +100 is always better than -110. An alumnus of The U, Phil always holds out hope that the next head coach will be the one who turns the football program around. He is also a diehard Detroit Lions fan and is willing to forgive Dan Campbell for forgetting that a kicker can be useful.