Warriors vs. Heat Predictions, Best NBA Odds & Player Props Tonight: March 25
Get your popcorn ready because Jimmy Butler returns to South Beach on Tuesday night for the first time to face the Miami Heat since being traded to the Golden State Warriors. Tipoff from the Kaseya Center in Miami is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (TNT).
Our Warriors vs. Heat predictions and player props expect big games from Andrew Wiggins and Butler in the scoring department, as well as quality playmaking from Steph Curry. Our best sports betting sites list the visitors as 4.5-point road favorites given their recent form.
Golden State has won 16 of 20 with Butler in the lineup, while Miami has lost nine of its last 10. Will Butler's return be enough to motivate Miami for this contest?
💰 Best Warriors vs. Heat predictions & NBA player props tonight: March 25
Here are my best Warriors vs. Heat predictions and player props for tonight's NBA matchup with my pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale. Be sure to check out the rest of our NBA picks along with our guide on how to bet on the NBA.
✅ Game pick: Warriors -4.5 (-112 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Jimmy Butler player prop pick: 25+ points (+210 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Andrew Wiggins player prop pick: 25+ points (+175 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Stephen Curry player prop pick: Over 5.5 assists (+110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
Warriors vs. Heat betting insights
Here's how the action has been coming in during the hours before game time, via BetMGM.
- Currently, 68% of the action is heading toward Golden State to cover
- The total is also slanted, with the Over generating 63%
- The spread has been bouncing back and forth since opening, but now some of our best sportsbooks list the Warriors as -5.5 favorites, including BetMGM
⛹️ Warriors vs. Heat player prop picks
Here are my best Warriors vs. Heat player prop bet odds and expert picks for tonight's NBA matchup. You can also check out our NBA player prop odds tool for the latest NBA odds at the best legal sportsbooks in your region.
🏀 Jimmy Butler 25+ points (+210) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +210 via FanDuel ($10 to win $21)
New customers only. Deposit min. $5. Place first bet of $5+ and win $200 in Bonus Bets, if your bet wins. (within 72 hours).
After the weeks-long saga leading up to the Butler trade, it will be impossible not to tune in for this game. Butler took the Heat to two championships, showing how productive he could be when the lights were the brightest. Both boxes will be checked tonight, and I expect Butler to put on a show.
Butler has averaged 19 points across his last nine games, posting at least 25 points three times, including a 25-point showing in Saturday’s loss to the Hawks. In that nine-game span, he also scored 23 and 24 in two more games.
The Heat rank 12th in defensive rating on the season at 112.7, but over the last five, the team is 20th with a 116.5 rating. This isn’t a scary matchup for Butler, which only sweetens the juicy plus-money odds. I’m targeting this alt line for what should be a “Playoff Jimmy” type of performance.
📊 Best Jimmy Butler prop bet odds
- Points: Over 20.5 (-114) | Under 20.5 (-114)
- Assists: Over 6.5 (-110) | Under 6.5 (-120)
- Rebounds: Over 6.5 (+104) | Under 6.5 (-138)
🏀 Andrew Wiggins 25+ points (+175) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +175 via DraftKings ($10 to win $17.50)
Terms and conditions apply.
The major headline for this game is Butler’s return to Miami, but Wiggins facing his former team should be more than a footnote. Wiggins, whose strong play helped Golden State win the 2022 NBA title, has thrived as a scorer since arriving in Miami. This game will mean something to him, too.
Wiggins has averaged 21 points with the Heat, including 23 points across eight games at home and 17.8 across five games on the road. Over the last three weeks, Wiggins leads Miami in usage rate at a whopping 29.8, and his 23.7 points are tops among Heat players.
Wiggins has scored 72 points across his last two games, and like Butler, I’m not content settling for the offered points line, set at just 22.5. I expect Wiggins to score 25 for a third straight game tonight when the team that traded him comes to town.
📊 Best Andrew Wiggins prop bet odds
🏀 Stephen Curry Over 5.5 assists (+110) ⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +110 via DraftKings ($10 to win $11)
Curry (hip) traveled with the team to Miami and practiced Monday, which bodes well for his chances of taking the court against the Heat. Tonight’s game will be about Butler, and I expect Curry to feed him the rock and rack up assists.
Curry is averaging six assists per game this season, but he’s averaged 6.3 across his last 13 and hit the Over on this line seven times in that span. Curry has dished six assists in 35 of 60 games overall, including 19 of 30 on the road, where he’s averaged 6.6.
The Heat have allowed the sixth-most assists this season at 9.5, setting Curry up nicely to cash this modest assists line at plus-money odds.
📊 Best Stephen Curry prop bet odds
🎯 Expert Warriors vs. Heat score prediction & AI projections
🔮 Expert score prediction: Warriors 116, Heat 109
🤖 AI score prediction: Warriors 114, Heat 104
🔮 Expert score prediction: Warriors 116, Heat 109
Golden State is one of the hottest teams in the Association since trading for Butler, winning eight of its last 10. Meanwhile, Miami recently snapped a nine-game losing streak with a win over the lowly Charlotte Hornets.
The Warriors are surging at just the right time, and Butler will surely be motivated to pour it on in front of an arena he called home for the last five and a half seasons. The Heat are 3-10 straight up and 7-6 ATS as home underdogs. The Warriors are 12-7 straight up as road favorites and 9-9-1 ATS.
📊 Best odds: +20000 via DraftKings (bet $10 to win $2,000)
🤖 AI score prediction: Warriors 114, Heat 104
(Score prediction and analysis via ChatGPT - a large language model from OpenAI. While ChatGPT is not specifically designed for predicting sporting events, it can spot trends or insights that bettors might overlook.)
🖥️ AI predictions for Warriors vs. Heat
The projected final score is Warriors 114, Heat 104.
- Win probability: Warriors 65% | Heat 35%
- Projected total points: 218
- Key takeaways:
- Jimmy Butler’s Return: This is Butler’s first game in Miami since the trade, and with the Warriors on a 16-4 run since acquiring him, expect an emotionally charged performance.
- Miami’s Struggles: The Heat are on a 10-game losing streak and continue to struggle offensively without Butler, despite Bam Adebayo’s presence.
- Curry’s Uncertainty: Stephen Curry is questionable with a pelvic contusion, but even without him, Golden State's depth and Miami's poor form give the Warriors the edge.
🤔 Betting takeaway: ChatGPT's AI score prediction leans toward Golden State covering the spread (-4.5) and a total of Over 217.5 points.
📊 Live Warriors vs. Heat odds & NBA betting splits tonight
Here are the latest Warriors vs. Heat odds and betting splits from our best live betting sites.
🔢 Warriors vs. Heat latest odds & betting lines
🏆 Who will win Visitor vs. Host?
As of Tuesday morning, Golden State is favored by 4.5 points to beat Miami with moneyline odds of -200 at BetMGM, which suggest a 66.67% win probability for the Warriors. We're predicting a 116-109 win for Golden State as our final score projection.
So far, 76% of bettors have wagered against the spread on Golden State -4.5, while 51% of bettors expect the game to finish Over the projected total of 217.5 points.
🚑 Warriors vs. Heat injuries
Here are the latest injuries for tonight's Warriors vs. Heat matchup, which will update in real time.
📺 How to watch Warriors vs. Heat tonight
📅 Date: Tuesday, March 25
🕗 Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
📍 Location: Kaseya Center (Miami)
📺 TV: TNT
💻 Streaming: Max
❓ Warriors vs. Heat FAQs
Who is favored to win Warriors vs. Heat?
The Warriors are favored to beat the Heat (-200 at BetMGM) with an implied probability of 66.67.
What are the odds for Warriors vs. Heat?
The Warriors are favored by as many as 4.5 points, and the point total is set as high as 218.5.
What time is Warriors vs. Heat tonight?
The Warriors and Heat tip off at 7:30 p.m ET tonight from the Kaseya Center in Miami.
How to watch Warriors vs. Heat
The Warriors and Heat will be broadcast nationally on TNT and streaming on Max.
🏀 Best NBA betting sites
Looking to bet on the NBA tonight? Here are our best NBA betting sites as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with our best sportsbook promos available for tonight's NBA games.
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