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March Madness AI Bracket Predictions: ChatGPT's Best Upsets, Final Four Picks & More
Pictured: A microphone with the March Madness logo at Intrust Bank Arena. Photo by Kirby Lee / Imagn Images.

Whether you love it or hate it, AI isn't going anywhere anytime soon, and it's already achieving things that humans thought weren't possible. But can it predict the perfect March Madness bracket?

For the second straight year, we put ChatGPT to the test with its March Madness AI bracket predictions and final score projections for every NCAA Tournament game. Last year, ChatGPT correctly picked the national champion (UConn), two Final Four teams, and 21 of 32 first-round games - including three upset picks involving No. 11 seeds or lower.

Since then, OpenAI has upgraded ChatGPT's AI models by leaps and bounds ... and it got off to a prolific start to the 2025 NCAA Tournament. Here's a look at our AI bracket predictions with exact score predictions for all 63 matchups in the 2025 NCAA Tournament from the first round to the title game.

๐Ÿ‘‰ Need help naming your bracket? We asked ChatGPT for its 50 best March Madness bracket names and picked our favorites from the bunch.

โœ… AI bracket update: ChatGPT ranks in top 12% entering Final Four

Our magical run had to end at some point, right? After ranking in the top 1.8% of all brackets in the ESPN Tournament Challenge entering the Elite Eight, ChatGPT's nearly flawless bracket took a hit with Tennessee and Texas Tech losing to top seeds.

In the end, reality was too chalky for our amateur bracketologist, who still correctly picked 28 of 32 games in the first round of the 2025 NCAA Tournament, 12 of 16 teams in the Sweet 16, and all eight teams in the Elite Eight.

Both of ChatGPT's finalists and its eventual national champion are still alive, so if you used these picks in your March Madness bracket contest, there's still a chance you could win the entire pool. Not bad for a chatbot, eh?

๐Ÿ€ How we trained ChatGPT to fill out a March Madness bracket

If you're looking to replicate this project at home, it's entirely possible to have ChatGPT fill out your March Madness bracket. It just takes a little work upfront.

First and foremost, I would recommend using GPT-4o, which is a more advanced model of ChatGPT that relies on real-time search data to fill in the gaps of its preexisting knowledge base. It's also critical to train the large language model - which knows data, not basketball - with anything that might be relevant to making March Madness predictions.

To that point, here's how we trained ChatGPT to fill out a March Madness bracket:

๐Ÿ“ Setting the guidelines

Before we asked ChatGPT for its March Madness bracket predictions, we established a set of basic criteria and methodology to instruct this project. This is always an important step when using a chatbot, which is designed to follow instructions without necessarily understanding what it might be asked to do in the first place.

In this case, we asked ChatGPT to predict every game of the NCAA Tournament using the same factors that others consider when making their college basketball picks. We asked it to make these predictions based on team-specific and matchup data as well as the latest college basketball odds and historical trends - all of which served as the basic training data for this bracket projection.

Critically, we also trained ChatGPT on the most common March Madness upsets to reflect the typically chaotic nature of the NCAA Tournament. It wouldn't be a March Madness bracket if all of the favorites won, right?

To be clear, this is for entertainment purposes only, as AI chatbots are not a replacement for typical sports betting models or even the basic research that many do when filling out their bracket. That said, ChatGPT can excel at spotting trends or other data points that humans might overlook, so use these AI picks at your own discretion!

๐Ÿ”ข Training data

With the guidelines for this project established, we turned to feeding ChatGPT as much training data as possible to improve the "accuracy" of its picks.

First, we asked it to search for common trends related to the NCAA Tournament while also sharing with it some of the best March Madness bracket advice from our expert staff. Then, we provided it with a full list of March Madness odds and Final Four odds for all 68 teams in the tournament field as of Selection Sunday.

Additionally, we imported a spreadsheet of KenPom data for every team in the NCAA Tournament field, including how each team ranks in tempo, adjusted offensive and defensive efficiency, and adjusted efficiency margin. This involved a few rounds of training to ensure accurate recognition and interpretation of the data, which is a crucial step when working with any developing model.

Finally, we provided ChatGPT with a list of updated spreads and totals for all 32 first-round games to help establish a baseline expectation from the betting market. This year, we also utilized ChatGPT's brand-new "Deep Research" function to allow it to further research NCAA Tournament stats and trends before locking in its picks.

Then, we finally let the robot loose to predict this year's bracket. And boy, did it deliver.

๐Ÿ‘€ More March Madness simulations: Which March Madness champion is the best of all time?

๐Ÿค– ChatGPT March Madness AI bracket predictions

Click here to download the full ChatGPT March Madness bracket.

๐Ÿ† ChatGPT's pick to win March Madness

If you were turning to artificial intelligence in hopes of escaping the harsh reality of the real world, I have some unfortunate news: the robot is picking Duke, too.

It seems like everybody is backing the Blue Devils - including our lead college basketball expert Rob Paul - to win their sixth national championship and first under head coach Jon Scheyer, who took over in 2022 and has built a recruiting juggernaut at his alma mater.

Duke features three of the best players in March Madness led by star freshman Cooper Flagg, who makes an appearance more than a few times in our AI predictions. But it wasn't all chalk for ChatGPT, which only picked two No. 1 seeds in the Final Four and predicted seven double-digit seeds to pull off first-round upsets.

๐Ÿ‘  ChatGPT March Madness upsets & Cinderella picks

What would an NCAA Tournament bracket be without a few upsets? Fortunately, ChatGPT had the same idea, picking 13 lower-seeded teams to advance in the bracket - including nine in the first round alone.

The AI model seemed to learn from last year's mistakes, when it (unsuccessfully) predicted a No. 13 seed and No. 15 seed to advance to the second round. No such upsets exist in this year's bracket, though ChatGPT still picked seven double-digit seeds to win in the first round and one No. 12 seed to make a Cinderella run to the Sweet 16.

Here's a full list of every upset ChatGPT predicted in the first round, ranked by seed differential:

  • (12) UC San Diego over (5) Michigan
  • (12) Colorado State over (5) Memphis
  • (11) North Carolina over (6) Ole Miss
  • (11) Xavier over (6) Illinois
  • (11) Drake over (6) Missouri
  • (10) New Mexico over (7) Marquette
  • (10) Arkansas over (7) Kansas
  • (9) Creighton over (8) Louisville
  • (9) Baylor over (8) Mississippi State

๐Ÿ”ฎ ChatGPT score predictions for every NCAA Tournament game

Based on the latest betting odds, KenPom data, and other March Madness trends, here are ChatGPT's picks and score predictions for every game of the 2025 NCAA Tournament.

1๏ธโƒฃ First round AI picks & analysis

South Region

  • (1) Auburn 85, (16) Saint Francis 60 โ€“ Auburn's depth and athleticism overpower 16-seed Saint Francis, securing a comfortable victory.โ€‹
  • (9) Creighton 74, (8) Louisville 70 โ€“ Creighton's efficient offense and strong perimeter shooting edge out Louisville in a closely contested game.โ€‹
  • (12) UC San Diego 68, (5) Michigan 65 โ€“ In a significant upset, UC San Diego's disciplined defense stifles Michigan's offense, leading to a narrow victory. โ€‹
  • (4) Texas A&M 75, (13) Yale 70 โ€“ Texas A&M withstands a resilient Yale squad, relying on its physicality and rebounding to advance.โ€‹
  • (11) North Carolina 72, (6) Ole Miss 68 โ€“ North Carolina continues its momentum from the First Four, utilizing a balanced attack to upset Ole Miss. โ€‹
  • (3) Iowa State 80, (14) Lipscomb 66 โ€“ Iowa State's high-octane offense proves too much for Lipscomb, leading to a decisive win.โ€‹
  • (10) New Mexico 77, (7) Marquette 75 โ€“ New Mexico's dynamic backcourt outduels Marquette in a thrilling, down-to-the-wire finish. โ€‹
  • (2) Michigan State 82, (15) Bryant 60 โ€“ Michigan State's experience and defensive prowess dominate Bryant, resulting in a lopsided game.โ€‹

East Region

  • (1) Duke 88, (16) Mount St. Mary's 60 โ€“ Duke's top-ranked offense and defense prove too much for Mount St. Mary's, leading to a decisive victory
  • (9) Baylor 74, (8) Mississippi State 70 โ€“ Baylor's slight edge in efficiency helps it secure a narrow win in this closely contested matchup
  • (5) Oregon 78, (12) Liberty 70 โ€“ Oregon's balanced attack and superior athleticism allow the Ducks to pull away late against a resilient Liberty squad
  • (4) Arizona 85, (13) Akron 68 โ€“ Arizona's elite offense proves too much for Akron in a comfortable win
  • (6) BYU 75, (11) VCU 68 โ€“ BYU's efficient offense overcomes VCU's defensive pressure, leading to a solid victory
  • (3) Wisconsin 80, (14) Montana 62 โ€“ Wisconsin's disciplined play and defensive prowess stifle Montana, securing a dominant performance
  • (7) Saint Mary's 70, (10) Vanderbilt 65 โ€“ Saint Mary's methodical offense and defensive consistency help it edge out a win in a tight contest
  • (2) Alabama 88, (15) Robert Morris 60 โ€“ Alabama's explosive offense and depth overwhelm Robert Morris, resulting in a lopsided game

Midwest Region

  • (1) Houston 88, (16) SIU-Edwardsville 54 โ€“ Houston's top-ranked defense stifles SIU-Edwardsville, leading to a commanding victory
  • (8) Gonzaga 75, (9) Georgia 70 โ€“ Gonzaga's offensive prowess propels it past Georgia in a tightly contested matchup
  • (5) Clemson 80, (12) McNeese 68 โ€“ Clemson's balanced attack proves too much for McNeese State, securing a comfortable win
  • (4) Purdue 78, (13) High Point 70 โ€“ Despite High Point's resilience, Purdue's inside game and experience carry it through
  • (11) Xavier 74, (6) Illinois 72 โ€“ In an upset, Xavier's clutch shooting in the final minutes edges out Illinois.
  • (3) Kentucky 85, (14) Troy 66 โ€“ Kentucky's depth and athleticism overwhelm Troy, leading to a decisive victory.
  • (7) UCLA 69, (10) Utah State 65 โ€“ UCLA's defensive tenacity and late-game execution secure a hard-fought win over Utah State.
  • (2) Tennessee 82, (15) Wofford 58 โ€“ Tennessee's elite defense and efficient offense dominate Wofford from start to finish.โ€‹

West Region

  • (1) Florida 90, (16) Norfolk State 60 โ€“ The Gators' high-octane offense propels them to a commanding victory over the Spartans
  • (8) UConn 75, (9) Oklahoma 70 โ€“ In a tightly contested game, the Huskies' balanced attack edges out the Sooners
  • (12) Colorado State 68, (5) Memphis 65 โ€“ The Rams capitalize on the Tigers' injury woes to secure a notable upset
  • (4) Maryland 82, (13) Grand Canyon 66 โ€“ Freshman sensation Derik Queen leads the Terrapins to a comfortable win
  • (11) Drake 70, (6) Missouri 68 โ€“ The Bulldogs' deliberate pace and defensive prowess stifle the Tigers in a thrilling upset
  • (3) Texas Tech 85, (14) UNC Wilmington 63 โ€“ The Red Raiders' offensive firepower proves too much for the Seahawks
  • (10) Arkansas 74, (7) Kansas 72 โ€“ In a battle of storied programs, the Razorbacks' resilience shines through in a narrow victory
  • (2) St. John's 88, (15) Omaha 60 โ€“ The Red Storm's defensive intensity overwhelms Omaha, leading to a decisive win

๐ŸŽฏ First round AI score predictions

SouthEastMidwestWest
Auburn 85, Saint Francis 60Duke 88, Mount St. Mary's 60Houston 88, SIU-Edwardsville 54Florida 90, Norfolk State 60
Creighton 74, Louisville 70Baylor 74, Mississippi State 70Gonzaga 75, Georgia 70UConn 75, Oklahoma 70
UC San Diego 68, Michigan 65Oregon 78, Liberty 70Clemson 80, McNeese 68Colorado State 68, Memphis 65
Texas A&M 75, Yale 70Arizona 85, Akron 68Purdue 78, High Point 70Maryland 82, Grand Canyon 66
North Carolina 72, Ole Miss 68BYU 75, VCU 68Xavier 74, Illinois 72Drake 70, Missouri 68
Iowa State 80, Lipscomb 66Wisconsin 80, Montana 62Kentucky 85, Troy 66Texas Tech 85, UNC Wilmington 63
New Mexico 77, Marquette 75Saint Mary's 70, Vanderbilt 65UCLA 69, Utah State 65Arkansas 74, Kansas 72
Michigan State 82, Bryant 60Alabama 88, Robert Morris 60Tennessee 82, Wofford 58St. John's 88, Omaha 60

2๏ธโƒฃ Second round AI picks & analysis

South Region

  • (1) Auburn 82, (9) Creighton 68 โ€“ Auburn's athleticism and depth prove too much for Creighton, propelling it comfortably into the Sweet 16
  • (12) UC San Diego 70, (4) Texas A&M 68 โ€“ UC San Diego continues its Cinderella run, edging out Texas A&M with disciplined defense and clutch shooting
  • (3) Iowa State 75, (11) North Carolina 70 โ€“ Iowa State's high-octane offense outpaces North Carolina, securing a hard-fought victory
  • (2) Michigan State 78, (10) New Mexico 72 โ€“ Michigan State's experience and defensive prowess stifle New Mexico's dynamic backcourt, ensuring its advancement

East Region

  • (1) Duke 82, (9) Baylor 74 โ€“ Duke's versatile offense, led by star freshman Cooper Flagg, proves too potent for Baylor's defense, propelling the Blue Devils to the Sweet 16
  • (4) Arizona 79, (5) Oregon 75 โ€“ Arizona's balanced scoring attack and previous successes against Oregon give it the edge in a closely contested matchup
  • (3) Wisconsin 68, (6) BYU 64 โ€“ Wisconsin's disciplined defense and efficient offense enable it to outlast BYU in a hard-fought battle
  • (2) Alabama 85, (7) Saint Mary's 70 โ€“ Alabama's high-octane offense and superior athleticism overwhelm Saint Mary's methodical approach, leading to a decisive victory

Midwest Region

  • (1) Houston 82, (8) Gonzaga 70 โ€“ Houston's stifling defense and balanced offense prove too much for Gonzaga, securing a comfortable victory
  • (4) Purdue 75, (5) Clemson 72 โ€“ Purdue's inside presence and clutch free-throw shooting in the final minutes edge out a resilient Clemson team
  • (3) Kentucky 78, (11) Xavier 68 โ€“ Kentucky's depth and athleticism overwhelm Xavier, leading to a decisive win
  • (2) Tennessee 70, (7) UCLA 65 โ€“ Tennessee's defensive tenacity and timely perimeter shooting help them fend off a tough challenge from UCLA

West Region

  • (1) Florida 82, (8) UConn 70 - Florida's balanced attack and defensive strength prove too much for UConn, leading to a comfortable victory
  • (4) Maryland 75, (12) Colorado State 68- Maryland's inside presence and rebounding edge help it overcome a resilient Colorado State team
  • (3) Texas Tech 78, (11) Drake 65 - Texas Tech's athleticism and depth wear down Drake, allowing it to pull away in the second half
  • (2) St. John's 80, (10) Arkansas 75 - St. John's defensive intensity and timely shooting enable it to edge out a hard-fought win over Arkansas

๐ŸŽฏ Second round AI score predictions

SouthEastMidwestWest
Auburn 82, Creighton 68Duke 82, Baylor 74Houston 82, Gonzaga 70Florida 82, UConn 70
UC San Diego 70, Texas A&M 68Arizona 79, Oregon 75Purdue 75, Clemson 72Maryland 75, Colorado State 68
Iowa State 75, North Carolina 70Wisconsin 68, BYU 64Kentucky 78, Xavier 68Texas Tech 78, Drake 65
Michigan State 78, New Mexico 72Alabama 85, Saint Mary's 70Tennessee 70, UCLA 65St. John's 80, Arkansas 75

๐Ÿฌ Sweet 16 AI picks & analysis

South Region

  • (1) Auburn 78, (12) UC San Diego 65 โ€“ Auburn's relentless defense and superior athleticism stifle UC San Diego's Cinderella run, ending its tournament journey
  • (2) Michigan State 75, (3) Iowa State 72 โ€“ In a thrilling contest, Michigan State's experience and clutch play in the final minutes propel it past Iowa State

East Region

  • (1) Duke 82, (4) Arizona 75 โ€“ Duke's versatile offense, led by star freshman Cooper Flagg, proves too potent for Arizona's defense, propelling the Blue Devils to the Elite Eight
  • (2) Alabama 78, (3) Wisconsin 74 โ€“ Alabama's high-octane offense and superior athleticism outpace Wisconsin's methodical approach, securing a hard-fought victory

Midwest Region

  • (1) Houston 74, (4) Purdue 68 โ€“ Houston's relentless defense and balanced scoring attack stifle Purdue's offensive rhythm, propelling the Cougars to the Elite Eight
  • (2) Tennessee 70, (3) Kentucky 66 โ€“ Tennessee's defensive tenacity and efficient perimeter shooting outlast Kentucky's athleticism in a tightly contested battle

West Region

  • (1) Florida 78, (4) Maryland 70 โ€“ Florida's depth and defensive tenacity stifle Maryland's offense, propelling the Gators to the Elite Eight
  • (3) Texas Tech 75, (2) St. John's 72 โ€“ In a thrilling contest, Texas Tech's resilience and clutch shooting in the final minutes secure a narrow victory over St. John's

๐ŸŽฏ Sweet 16 AI score predictions

SouthEastMidwestWest
Auburn 78, UC San Diego 65Duke 82, Arizona 75Houston 74, Purdue 68Florida 78, Maryland 70
Michigan State 75, Iowa State 72Alabama 78, Wisconsin 74Tennessee 70, Kentucky 66Texas Tech 75, St. John's 72

๐ŸŽฑ Elite Eight AI picks & analysis

South Region

  • (1) Auburn 78, (2) Michigan State 75 โ€“ Auburn's relentless defense and depth is enough to hold off Michigan State, propelling the Tigers to the Final Four

East Region

  • (1) Duke 82, (2) Alabama 74 โ€“ Duke's versatile offense, spearheaded by freshman phenom Cooper Flagg, outpaces the Crimson Tide's own attack to secure a spot in the Final Four

Midwest Region

  • (2) Tennessee 68, (1) Houston 65 โ€“ Tennessee's tenacious defense disrupts Houston's rhythm, leading to a narrow victory and a Final Four berth

West Region

  • (3) Texas Tech 75, (1) Florida 72 โ€“ In a thrilling upset, Texas Tech's resilience and clutch shooting topple top-seeded Florida, earning the Red Raiders a trip to the Final Four

๐ŸŽฏ Elite Eight AI score predictions

SouthEastMidwestWest
Auburn 78, Michigan State 75Duke 82, Alabama 74Tennessee 68, Houston 65Texas Tech 75, Florida 72

4๏ธโƒฃ Final Four AI picks, score predictions & analysis

(1) Auburn vs. (3) Texas Tech

Auburn's relentless pressure and transition offense prove to be the difference in a tight battle with Texas Tech. The Red Raiders keep it close with their gritty defense and timely 3-point shooting, but Auburn's ability to force turnovers and control the tempo ultimately prevails. Late-game free throws seal the Tigers' spot in the national championship game.

๐Ÿ”ฎ Prediction: Auburn 75, Texas Tech 71

(1) Duke vs. (2) Tennessee

Tennessee's physical defense slows Duke's high-powered attack for much of the game, but Cooper Flagg and the Blue Devils find answers in key moments. Dukeโ€™s superior shot-making and ball movement allow it to break down Tennesseeโ€™s half-court defense, while its own defensive adjustments in the second half stifle the Volsโ€™ scoring threats. Clutch buckets down the stretch send Duke to the national title game.

๐Ÿ”ฎ Prediction: Duke 74, Tennessee 68

๐Ÿ† National championship AI pick, score prediction & analysis

(1) Auburn vs. (1) Duke

In a thrilling national championship showdown, Dukeโ€™s offensive firepower and defensive adjustments prove just enough to edge out Auburn. The Tigers push the tempo early, using their depth and defensive pressure to create turnovers and easy buckets in transition. However, Duke weathers the storm behind the veteran leadership of Tyrese Proctor and Sion James and the all-around brilliance of freshman sensation Cooper Flagg.

Auburnโ€™s physicality in the paint behind Johni Broome keep the game tight deep into the second half, but Dukeโ€™s ability to execute in crunch time - particularly from beyond the arc and at the free-throw line - makes the difference. Flagg cements his legacy with a clutch block and dagger three in the final minutes, delivering Duke its sixth national title and first under head coach Jon Scheyer.

๐Ÿ”ฎ Prediction: Duke 76, Auburn 72

๐Ÿ–จ๏ธ Printable March Madness bracket 2025

You can download a March Madness bracket PDF right here to fill in with your NCAA Tournament field.

๐Ÿ€ How to fill out a March Madness bracket

  1. Join a pool
  2. Start with a clean bracket
  3. Pick winners for the opening round after advancing those teams to the Round of 32
  4. Select your 16 winners in the Round of 32
  5. Choose your winners in the eight respective Sweet 16 matchups
  6. Nail down your Final Four teams after picking the winner for each Elite Eight showdown
  7. Advance two teams to the national championship game
  8. Pick your winner in the title game, with a projected final score as a tiebreaker
  9. Submit your bracket

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