Texas Tech vs. Arkansas Prediction, Odds & Preview Tonight: Best Picks for NCAA Tournament Sweet 16
Can the only remaining double-digit seed stay alive in tonight's March Madness Sweet 16 contest? The No. 10 seed Arkansas Razorbacks (22-13) look to continue their Cinderella run against the No. 3 seed Texas Tech Red Raiders (27-8) at 10:09 p.m. ET (TBS/truTV) from Chase Center in San Francisco.
Our Texas Tech vs. Arkansas prediction, odds, and preview, part of the March Madness predictions series, analyze the chances of the Razorbacks staying alive.
🏀 Texas Tech vs. Arkansas prediction & picks for today
Here are my best Texas Tech vs. Arkansas predictions for the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament; use our parlay calculator to get the best odds for any same-game parlay:
✅ Against the spread pick: Texas Tech -5.5 (-110 via DraftKings) vs. Arkansas ⭐⭐⭐⭐
🔥 Best player prop bet: Christian Anderson Over 9.5 Points (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
🎯 Exact score prediction: Texas Tech 80, Arkansas 70 (+15000 via DraftKings)
🔢 Texas Tech vs. Arkansas betting action update
Updated betting info via BetMGM.
- 44% of the bets and 59% of the handle is on Texas Tech
- 72% of the bets and 71% of the handle are on the Over (147.5)
- Texas Tech are the 5.5-point betting favorite
👉 Want more picks? Check out our latest college basketball picks and the rest of our March Madness Sweet 16 predictions.
🏆 Best Texas Tech vs. Arkansas pick, player prop bet & score prediction
Our NEW college basketball player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds for any March Madness market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
✅ Texas Tech to cover the spread: -5.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐
While John Calipari and the Arkansas Razorbacks have a ton of momentum, their March Madness resume isn’t all that impressive. They beat a bad Kansas team that looked lost with Hunter Dickinson on the floor and a St. John’s team that couldn’t make a shot to save its life. If you’re looking for a Cinderella, this probably isn’t it.
The stats don’t support a bet on Arkansas here. Since Feb. 1, Texas Tech ranks a nice eighth in T-Rank led by its seventh-best offense.
Arkansas ranks 24th, with its 16th-ranked defense leading the way. Texas Tech runs a balanced offense, ranking 10th in turnover rate over that sample, with the defense a steady 42nd.
While Texas Tech, which failed to cover in the first round, hasn’t been amazing, they have been playing at a fast clip. They posted a pace of 69.8 from Feb. 1 onward but have a pace of 72.1 through two tournament games. That speed is how a more efficient team wins and covers, which is what we need to win this bet.
📊 Best odds: -110 via DraftKings ($10 to win $9.09)
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🔥 Christian Anderson Over 9.5 Points ⭐⭐⭐⭐
When a player shoots 4-for-18 from the field and 2-for-14 from beyond the arc in the tournament's opening round, it may not seem smart to back their Over the following week. However, I have faith in Anderson, who the Red Raiders still trusted with 37.5 minutes per game despite his low accuracy.
With Darrion Williams out for the tournament, Anderson is a key cog in this offense. Williams shot a steady 35% from long distance this year, but Anderson shot 38.6% on 5.3 3-pointers per game.
He also went 42.6% from the field and 78.4% from the charity stripe. He did so while averaging 30.1 minutes per game. Some of our best sports betting apps list his total at 9.5, which is disrespectful relative to the volume the freshman will see. We covered a couple more appealing picks in our Texas Tech vs. Arkansas player props.
📊 Best odds: -110 via DraftKings ($10 to win $9.09)
🎯 Score prediction: Texas Tech 80, Arkansas 70
This game’s total trading at 147.5, and we're going Over with our final score projection. We’re expecting Texas Tech to cover comfortably, as I have a ton of faith in the Red Raiders in this spot, even with the injury to Williams.
While Arkansas has been good to me (and you, if you’ve been tailing) this tournament, you must know when to sell. Unfortunately, this is a great spot to fade the Hogs.
📊 Best odds: +15000 via DraftKings ($10 to win $1,500)
🤖 Texas Tech vs. Arkansas AI prediction
For entertainment purposes, we asked ChatGPT to analyze historical trends and live NCAA Tournament stats before predicting the winner and exact score for Texas Tech vs. Arkansas. Our AI prediction projects a final score of Texas Tech 78, Arkansas 70.
🖥️ AI score prediction: Texas Tech 78, Arkansas 70
- Texas Tech's offense, averaging 80.8 points per game, has been efficient, ranking 28th nationally. Their ability to score consistently could challenge Arkansas' defense, which allows 71.0 points per game.
- Arkansas has demonstrated resilience in the tournament, notably with a 75-66 victory over St. John's to advance to the Sweet 16. However, facing a higher-seeded Texas Tech team presents a significant challenge.
- Texas Tech's defense has been formidable, allowing 67.6 points per game, which could pose difficulties for Arkansas' offense that averages 76.6 points per game.
🤔 Betting takeaway: ChatGPT's AI prediction would mean Texas Tech covering the spread (-5.5) and a total of 148 points, slightly over the over/under line of 147.5. ChatGPT is not a dedicated sports betting model, but it can identify data that March Madness bettors might overlook.
📊 Live Texas Tech vs. Arkansas odds
Follow the latest live March Madness college basketball odds and real-time NCAA Tournament scores for the Sweet 16.
Latest Texas Tech vs. Arkansas odds
Here are the latest odds for Texas Tech vs. Arkansas from BetMGM ahead of tipoff:
Spread
Texas Tech is a 5.5-point betting favorite against Arkansas. Both sides are juiced to the standard -110.
Total
The Texas Tech vs. Arkansas betting total sits at 147.5 ahead of tipoff. That Over/Under has remained constant.
Moneyline
Texas Tech is a -250 moneyline favorite with an implied win probability of 71.43% against Arkansas.
🔢 Texas Tech vs. Arkansas opening odds opening odds
- Spread: Texas Tech -5.5 (-110) | Arkansas +5.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Texas Tech -250 | Arkansas +200
- Over/Under: Over 147.5 (-110) | Under 147.5 (-110)
📺 How to watch Texas Tech vs. Arkansas: NCAA Tournament Sweet 16
📅 Date: Thursday, March 27
🕗 Time: 10:09 p.m. ET
📍 Location: Chase Center (San Francisco)
📺 TV: TBS/truTV
💻 Streaming: March Madness Live
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