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UCF vs. Oregon State Prediction Tonight: Best College Basketball Crown Odds, Picks & Preview

Mike Spector

Last Updated: April 1, 2025 4:31 PM EDT • 4 min 15 sec read.

UCF vs. Oregon State Prediction Tonight: Best College Basketball Crown Odds, Picks & Preview
Pictured: Oregon State Beavers head coach Wayne Tinkle, right talks with Oregon State Beavers forward Maxim Logue (77) during a game. Photo by James Snook via Imagn Images.

The second of our College Basketball Crown games tonight sees the UCF Knights out of the Big 12 take on the Oregon State Beavers from the West Coast Conference. Tipoff is set for 5:30 p.m. ET (FS1) from MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas.

Our UCF vs. Oregon State prediction, odds, and preview advises to lay the points with the favorites as the lesser of both teams impacted by the transfer portal. The Knights are 4.5-point betting favorites at our best sports betting sites.

🏀 UCF vs. Oregon State prediction & picks: College Basketball Crown

Here are my best UCF vs. Oregon State predictions for the College Basketball Crown; use our parlay calculator to get the best odds for any same-game parlay:

✅ Against the spread pick: UCF -4.5 (-110 via Caesars) vs. Oregon State ⭐⭐
🔥 Over/Under bet: Under 159.5 (-110 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
🎯 Exact score prediction: UCF 77, Oregon State 66

👉 Want more picks? Check out our latest college basketball picks and the rest of our March Madness predictions.

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🏆 Best UCF vs. Oregon State pick & score prediction

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✅ UCF to cover the spread: -4.5 ⭐⭐

When handicapping these College Basketball Crown games that tip more than two weeks after these teams exited their conference tournaments, one needs to do a deep dive into the state of each team’s roster after the transfer portal opened. Based on this line increasing from an opening number of -2.5 to -4.5, it is fair to speculate that the Knights are the team less impacted.

Oregon State is projected to be without Michael Rataj, Parsa Fallah, Nate Kingz, and Matthew Marsh. Those first three players are the team’s top-three leading scorers, and combined for 41.5 points and 13.7 rebounds per game. UCF’s leading scorer Keyshawn Hall (18.8 points per game) also reportedly did not travel with the team, but the Knights’ other losses are from players who are not as much of a part of the regular rotation.

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I am siding with the line movement and laying the points with the favorites, especially since this line would balloon if Hall is revealed to be playing.

📊 Best odds: -110 via Caesars ($10 to win $9.09)

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🔥 Over/Under bet: Under 159.5 ⭐⭐⭐

There were plenty of high-scoring games on the first day of the College Basketball Crown, as six of the eight teams scored 82-plus points while only one was held under 78. However, I am not going to have one day’s slate of games influence my picks on a different day, especially with how many players each of these teams projects to be without.

This is a contrarian play, as the Over cashed in 17 of Oregon State’s 19 conference games. But I am hoping the unfamiliarity of a new opponent and a long layoff keeps this game under the projected total.

📊 Best odds: -110 via Caesars ($10 to win $9.09)

🎯 Score prediction: UCF 77, Oregon State 66

KenPom predicts UCF to win 79-77, and it is hard to argue, as the Knights own non-conference wins over Texas A&M and Texas Tech, who each won NCAA Tournament games. But I think the game will be much lower-scoring given the players each team will be without, which is why I’m predicting a final score of UCF 77, Oregon State 66.

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🤖 UCF vs. Oregon State AI prediction

For entertainment purposes, we asked ChatGPT to analyze college basketball stats and trends before predicting the winner and exact score for UCF vs. Oregon State. Our AI prediction projects a final score of UCF 71, Oregon State 68.

🖥️ AI score prediction: UCF 71, Oregon State 68

  • UCF’s Balanced Attack: UCF boasts a well-rounded game. Its ability to control both ends of the floor gives them an edge in a tight contest.
  • Oregon State’s Strong Defense: Oregon State excels defensively. If it can stifle UCF's offensive flow, it could keep the game close and create opportunities to win late.
  • UCF’s Tournament Resilience: UCF has shown the ability to rise to the occasion in high-pressure moments, with a track record of solid performances in tournament settings.

🤔 Betting takeaway: ChatGPT's AI prediction would mean Oregon State covering the spread (+4.5) and a total of Under 158.5 points. ChatGPT is not a dedicated sports betting model, but it can identify data that college basketball bettors might overlook.

📊 Live UCF vs. Oregon State odds

Follow the latest live college basketball odds and real-time college basketball scores.

While UCF opened up as a 2.5-point favorite at our best live betting sites, the Knights have grown to 4.5-point betting favorites in the hours leading up to tipoff tonight. As such, the Big 12 representative is a -190 moneyline favorite with a total of 159.5.

🔢 UCF vs. Oregon State opening odds

  • Spread: UCF -2.5 (-110) | Oregon State +2.5 (+110)
  • Moneyline: UCF -145 | Oregon State +118
  • Over/Under: Over 158.5 (-110) | Under 158.5 (-110)

📺 How to watch UCF vs. Oregon State: College Basketball Crown

📅 Date: Tuesday, April 1
🕗 Time: 5:30 p.m. ET
📍 Location: MGM Grand Garden Arena (Las Vegas)
📺 TV: FS1
💻 Streaming: FOX Sports App

💰 March Madness betting odds pages

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Written By:
Mike Spector
Mike started in the sports writing industry in July 2019, and gained a lot of followers in his first year after finishing with the No. 2 overall record in an annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an Over/Under and moneyline perspective. Mike is an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, tennis, and all college sports. In his opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and he's especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. Mike's a big advocate of "fading the public" and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that "there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas." When making wagers, Mike always scours the best odds at all of the major sports betting sites, where he mostly sifts through DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and bet365. He's tried several others and is of the firm belief that bettors should not just stick to one sportsbook, as there is always likely better value to be had with the same wager. In addition, while Mike received his undergraduate degree from Villanova University, he has no issue betting against the Wildcats when it comes to college basketball wagering, and suggests other bettors should always put their “head” before their “hearts.”