NFL Coach of the Year Odds 2025: Ben Johnson is the Early Favorite
Plenty of shifting is still set to take place during the NFL offseason, with free agency looming and the NFL draft slated for next month. So the leading contenders in the early NFL Coach of the Year odds could get new, intriguing talents to work with, likely resulting in prices moving fast.
That's why it may be important to get in on the favorite Ben Johnson now. The new head coach of the Chicago Bears is set to lead a team that holds a top-10 pick in the first round, and it's sitting on the fourth-most projected cap space heading into free agency, according to Spotrac.
Johnson is the front-runner across the board at our best NFL betting sites, with Mike Vrabel right behind him.
📊 NFL Coach of the Year odds 2025
NFL Coach of the Year odds from our best NFL prop betting sites.
| Coach | Odds (DraftKings) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Johnson | +550 | 15.38% | $55 |
| Mike Vrabel | +650 | 13.33% | $65 |
| Sean Payton | +1400 | 6.67% | $140 |
| Jim Harbaugh | +1500 | 6.25% | $150 |
| Pete Carroll | +1500 | 6.25% | $150 |
| Liam Coen | +1800 | 5.26% | $1000 |
| Dan Campbell | +1800 | 5.26% | $1000 |
| Shane Steichen | +2000 | 4.76% | $200 |
| Mike Macdonald | +2200 | 4.35% | $220 |
| Dan Quinn | +2200 | 4.35% | $220 |
Here are some quick observations and thoughts on the early NFL coach of the year odds for 2025:
- Though he's the front-runner everywhere, the prices for Johnson vary, with DraftKings at +550 and far shorter than Caesars, BetMGM, and bet365, which are all sitting at +750
- There's similar variance tied to Vrabel, who's getting +650 at DraftKings, and being featured for as long as +1000 at FanDuel and +900 at Caesars
- Elsewhere in scattered pricing, Harbaugh is being offered for +2000 through FanDuel while set to lead a Chargers team that sits 10th by the Super Bowl odds, and he's hovering around +1200 elsewhere, and as short as +1000 through BetMGM
🥇 NFL Coach of the Year odds favorite
🐻 Ben Johnson Coach of the Year odds (+750)
There will surely be significant additions to a roster that's full of intrigue but struggled last year en route to a putrid 5-12 season. But it's important to remember that Matt Eberflus was third by the odds in this market prior to last season before the flameout began in Chicago.
The temperature of the seat underneath Eberflus was already rising though, despite the enthusiasm tied to drafting Caleb Williams and Rome Odunze in the top 10. The team and locker room crumbled around him, and he was dismissed during his third season with the franchise after a 4-8 record in 2024, and a disastrous 14-32 all-around mark.
Enter Johnson, one of the league's foremost offensive gurus and creative minds who now gets the same youthful weaponry to build around. He did that with the Detroit Lions as their offensive coordinator while leading the wealth of offensive talent in the Motor City.
The result was a team that had been an embarrassment in a similar way to Chicago, but rose from the ashes swiftly with two straight division titles, and most recently, a 15-2 season. Johnson was central to those efforts while orchestrating an offense that ranked fifth in scoring during 2023, and first this past campaign.
The Coach of the Year Award is rooted in narratives much more so than simply producing a winning record. Sudden turnarounds are rewarded heavily, and if you agree with oddsmakers that Johnson can spearhead one in Chicago, a $10 bet at these odds would result in a profit of $75.
Best odds: +750 via bet365 | Implied probability: 11.76%
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👀 NFL Coach of the Year candidate to watch
⚡ Jim Harbaugh Coach of the Year odds (+2000)
Harbaugh was trading near the top of this market for a while last year too. His team didn't stumble en route to improving from 5-12 the previous year to finishing 11-6 and making the playoffs.
But more notable years from others - most significantly, the eventual winner Kevin O'Connell, whose Minnesota Vikings persevered through a season-ending training-camp injury to quarterback J.J. McCarthy - pushed Harbaugh aside, and he finished sixth in voting for the award.
The Chargers' first-year success still built momentum, and now the key figures involved will be even more comfortable in Harbaugh's offense, most importantly quarterback Justin Herbert. Ladd McConkey, who racked up 1,149 receiving yards as a rookie with seven touchdowns, should also take further strides.
The league's best scoring defense last year, which allowed just 17.7 points per game, should remain imposing. If it all lines up for the Chargers and Harbaugh, a $10 bet through the rogue price FanDuel offers would result in a profit of $200.
Best odds: +2000 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 4.76%
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🔢 NFL Coach of the Year opening odds
NFL Coach of the Year opening odds via DraftKings on March 3.
- Ben Johnson, Bears: +550
- Mike Vrabel, Patriots: +650
- Sean Payton, Broncos: +1400
- Jim Harbaugh, Chargers: +1500
- Pete Carroll, Raiders: +1500
- Dave Canales, Panthers: +1600
- Liam Coen, Jaguars: +1800
- Dan Campbell, Lions: +1800
- Shane Steichen, Colts: +2000
🏆 NFL Coach of the Year betting history
| Year | Coach | Team | Preseason odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Kevin O'Connell | Vikings | +2000 |
| 2023 | Kevin Stefanski | Browns | +3000 |
| 2022 | Brian Daboll | Giants | +1400 |
| 2021 | Mike Vrabel | Titans | +2500 |
| 2020 | Kevin Stefanski | Browns | +2000 |
| 2019 | John Harbaugh | Ravens | +2800 |
| 2018 | Matt Nagy | Bears | +875 |
| 2017 | Sean McVay | Rams | +5000 |
| 2016 | Jason Garrett | Cowboys | +2800 |
| 2015 | Ron Rivera | Panthers | +4000 |
| 2014 | Bruce Arians | Cardinals | OFF |
💡 How to bet on NFL Coach of the Year
When betting on NFL Coach of the Year odds, find a reputable sportsbook that offers futures bets for this award.
Check out the odds for different coaches; for example, if Jim Harbaugh is at +500 and Pete Carroll is at +800, Harbaugh is favored to win.
Decide how much you want to wager and place your bet. If you bet $100 on Harbaugh at +500 and he wins, you’ll get $600 back ($500 profit + $100 stake). Keep an eye on how the coaches' teams perform throughout the season to see how your bet is shaping up.
But remember, with odds movement in future markets, it's pretty heavily impacted by wins and perception. If a coach overcomes adversity, their odds will improve. Conversely, their odds will worsen if they underperform or fall short of expectations.
Public betting trends are important, too - if many people are betting on one coach, sportsbooks might adjust the odds to manage their risk.
Expert analysis and predictions also play a role, as they can sway public opinion and betting patterns. Understanding these factors can help you make smarter bets and potentially catch favorable odds shifts.
📖 How to read NFL Coach of the Year odds
Reading NFL Coach of the Year odds is straightforward. Odds are usually presented in a format like +500 or -200. Positive odds (e.g., +500) show how much profit you’d make on a $100 bet.
For example, a $100 bet at +500 odds would win you $500, plus your original $100 stake, totaling $600. Negative odds (e.g., -200) indicate how much you need to bet to win $100. So, a $200 bet at -200 odds would win you $100, plus your $200 stake, totaling $300.
These odds also reflect the implied probability of a coach winning the award. Lower odds (e.g., +200) suggest a higher likelihood of winning, while higher odds (e.g., +1000) indicate a lower likelihood. Sportsbooks adjust these odds based on team performance, overcoming injuries, and betting patterns.
For example, if Harbaugh has +500 odds and Carroll has +800 odds, Harbaugh is considered more likely to win. If you bet $100 on Harbaugh and he wins, you’d get $600 back ($500 profit + $100 stake). Understanding these odds helps you make informed betting decisions and assess potential returns.
🗳️ How NFL Coach of the Year voting works
A panel of sportswriters who cover the NFL vote on the individual awards, including NFL Coach of the Year. There are typically 50 votes available, with the coach who receives the largest share of first-place votes deemed the winner.
That winner is then unveiled during the NFL Honors awards ceremony, which is set to take place during Super Bowl week on Feb. 6 at 9 p.m. ET on FOX and NFL Network.
❓NFL Coach of the Year FAQs
Who is favored to win NFL Coach of the Year?
New Chicago Bears head coach Ben Johnson is the favorite across the board while getting odds as +750 from BetMGM. That leads to an implied probability of 11.76%, according to our odds calculator.
Who was the NFL Coach of the Year last year?
Minnesota Vikings head coach Kevin O'Connell was named the NFL's Coach of the Year after entering the season with odds of +2000.
Who votes for the NFL Coach of the Year?
The NFL Coach of the Year is voted on by the Associated Press and is awarded to the coach who is judged to "have had the most outstanding season."
Who won the NFL's first Coach of the Year Award?
Detroit Lions head coach George Wilson won the first Coach of the Year Award, handed out in 1957.
Who won the most Coach of the Year Awards?
Don Shula won Coach of the Year four times, three with the Baltimore Colts (1964, 1967, 1968) and one with the Miami Dolphins (1972).
How many coaches won Coach of the Year more than once?
Thirteen coaches won the award at least twice, with Shula (4), Bill Belichick (3), and Chuck Knox (3) the only bench bosses to win three or more.
🏟️ NFL betting odds pages
🏈 Best NFL betting sites
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