Alex Ovechkin Goals Record Odds: Ovi 3 Away From Breaking Gretzky's Record After Scoring 892nd Goal
Alex Ovechkin is heating up as the Washington Capitals endure their worst skid of the season. We covered the potential reasons for this scenario in our Ovechkin goals record odds and predictions.
In the grand scheme of things, the Caps' recent slump pales in comparison to what the Great 8 is about to achieve. After scoring in three straight games, Ovechkin has 892 career goals, three shy of breaking Wayne Gretzky's all-time record of 894.
The Ovechkin goals record odds at our best sports betting sites reflect his current torrid pace, giving him an 82.76% chance of getting the job done in the remaining seven games.
🏒 Will Ovechkin score today?
On Friday, the Caps welcome the bottom-feeding Chicago Blackhawks to Capital One Arena. For the Stanley Cup odds contenders, It represents an ideal opportunity for a bounce-back game. For Ovi, it's a golden chance to score one, possibly two goals.
After losing four of five for the first time this season, I expect an angry, focused Capitals team to run roughshod over the Blackhawks. So, yes, I am backing the Great 8 to score in a fourth straight game and fifth out of six.
📊 Will Alex Ovechkin break the NHL's all-time goals record this season?
Alex Ovechkin goals record odds via FanDuel as of Thursday, April 3.
| Outcome | Odds | Implied probability | Profit on $10 bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | -480 | 82.76% | $2.08 |
| No | +320 | 23.81% | $32 |
Ovi's odds to break the record this season shortened from -260 to -480 after he scored against the Carolina Hurricanes. He has 39 goals in 59 games, scoring at a .66 goals-per-game clip. He's on pace to score 44 goals, which would bring his total to 897.
His odds at BetMGM are -500 for yes, implying a 83.33% chance, while the no stands at +340 (22.73%).
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⚖️ Which goalie will Alex Ovechkin's record-breaking goal come against?
| Goalie | odds | Profit on $10 bet |
|---|---|---|
| Empty net | +290 | $29 |
| Ilya Sorokin | +390 | $39 |
| Daniil Tarasov | +460 | $46 |
| Elvis Merzlikins | +430 | $43 |
| Frederik Andersen | +600 | $60 |
| Alex Nedeljkovic | +1800 | $180 |
| Tristan Jarry | +1800 | $180 |
| Marcus Hogberg | +2300 | $230 |
| Spencer Knight | +4500 | $450 |
⚖️ Method of Alex Ovechkin's record-breaking goal
| Method | Odds | Implied probability | Profit on $10 bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Even strength goal | -220 | 68.75% | $4.55 |
| Power play goal | +165 | 37.74% | $16.50 |
| Shorthanded goal | +5000 | 1.96% | $500 |
Power play goal is underpriced in this method market. Though Ovechkin already has the NHL record with 323 career PP goals, those represent 36.2% of his career tallies. Based on that implied probability, we should see betting odds of +176, according to our odds converter.
Ovechkin has just five career shorthanded goals, making up 0.56% of his career goals. I'd avoid that proposition.
🥅 Which team will Alex Ovechkin's record-breaking goal be against?
| Outcome | Odds | Profit on $10 bet |
|---|---|---|
| Blue Jackets | +175 | $17.50 |
| Islanders | +320 | $32 |
| Hurricanes | +550 | $55 |
| Penguins | +900 | $90 |
| Blackhawks | +3900 | $390 |
🏆 NHL all-time goal scoring leaders
| Player | Years Active | Games | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wayne Gretzky | 1979-99 | 1,487 | 894 |
| Alex Ovechkin* | 2005-present | 1,485 | 892 |
| Gordie Howe | 1946-80 | 1,767 | 801 |
| Jaromir Jagr | 1990-2018 | 1,733 | 766 |
| Brett Hull | 1986-2005 | 1,269 | 741 |
| Marcel Dionne | 1971-88 | 1,348 | 731 |
| Phil Esposito | 1963-81 | 1,282 | 717 |
| Mike Gartner | 1979-97 | 1,432 | 708 |
| Mark Messier | 1979-2003 | 1,756 | 694 |
| Steve Yzerman | 1983-2005 | 1,514 | 692 |
| Mario Lemieux | 1984-2005 | 915 | 690 |
| Teemu Selanne | 1992-2013 | 1,451 | 684 |
| Luc Robitaille | 1986-2005 | 1,431 | 668 |
| Brendan Shanahan | 1987-2008 | 1,524 | 656 |
| Dave Andreychuk | 1982-2005 | 1,639 | 640 |
| Jarome Iginla | 1996-2017 | 1,554 | 625 |
| Joe Sakic | 1988-2008 | 1,378 | 625 |
| Bobby Hull | 1957-79 | 1,063 | 610 |
| Sidney Crosby* | 2005-present | 1,327 | 609 |
| Dino Ciccarelli | 1980-98 | 1,232 | 608 |
*Active player
🎱 Alex Ovechkin goals record facts
- Ovechkin has scored an incredible 418 NHL goals (and counting) since turning 30, second all-time.
- Ovi already has a pair of NHL "accumulation" records under his belt: He has scored the most power-play goals in history (323), and has also taken the most shots on goal (6,844).
- Ovechkin also holds the record for the most goaltenders scored against, having put at least one puck past 182 different netminders. He broke the record Jan. 16, 2025 with a goal against Ottawa Senators goalie Leevi Merilainen.
- Ovi's 19 30-goal seasons are the most in NHL history, two better than Mike Gartner – after already reaching the 30-goal plateau this season. He also owns the record for most 40-goal seasons (13) and is tied with Gretzky and Mike Bossy for the most 50-goal seasons (nine).
- Ovechkin has won a record nine goal scoring titles – and with all of them coming during the Rocket Richard Trophy era, that's a lot of hardware for No. 8's trophy case.
For as prolific as Ovi has been in his career, he has gone just 2-for-13 on penalty shots, with his only goals both coming in 2010.
❓ Alex Ovechkin goals record FAQs
How close is Alex Ovechkin to breaking the goals record?
Ovechkin has scored 892 regular-season NHL goals, leaving him three shy of breaking the all-time record.
Who is the NHL's all-time goal scoring leader?
Wayne Gretzky owns the NHL's goal scoring record with 894 career regular-season tallies.
What are the odds Alex Ovechkin will break the goal scoring record this season?
FanDuel has Ovechkin listed at -164 to pass Wayne Gretzky's all-time goals record in 2025, carrying an implied probability of 62.12%.
How many goals does Alex Ovechkin score per season?
Entering the 2024-25 season, Ovechkin averaged nearly 45 goals per season over his first 19 NHL campaigns.
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