Lightning vs. Islanders Odds, NHL Player Props & Score Predictions Tonight: April 1

We're backing the Under when the Tampa Bay Lightning and New York Islanders square off on Tuesday as we offer our best player prop picks.

Gary Pearson

Last updated: April 1, 2025 2:20 PM EDT • 6 min read

Lightning vs. Islanders Prediction, Picks & Player Props Tonight — Pictured: Tampa Bay Lightning right wing Nikita Kucherov, center Brayden Point, and center Yanni Gourde celebrate. Photo by Kim Klement Neitzel via Imagn Images

Divergent paths have led to the Tampa Bay Lightning fighting for Atlantic Division supremacy and the New York Islanders desperately trying to hold on to their dwindling playoff chances.

The Lightning are on a five-game winning streak, scoring 19 goals against the Pittsburgh Penguins, Utah Hockey Club, and these very Islanders. Meanwhile, Patrick Roy's reeling squad has lost five straight while conceding 24 goals.

Our Lightning vs. Islanders prediction and player props analyzes the chances of Under 6.5 goals while featuring Brayden Point, Brandon Hagel, and Nikita Kucherov.

💰 Best Lightning vs. Islanders predictions & NHL player props tonight: April 1

Here are my best Lightning vs. Islanders predictions and player props for tonight's NHL matchup, with my pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale. Be sure to check out the rest of our NHL picks along with our guide for how to bet on NHL.

Game pick: Under 6.5 goals (-134 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Brayden Point player prop pick: Anytime goal (+140 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Brandon Hagel player prop pick: Over 0.5 assists (+135 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Nikita Kucherov player prop pick: Over 1.5 points (+125 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

📊 Lightning vs. Islanders pick & odds: Who will win tonight's NHL matchup?

As of 11 a.m. ET, the Lightning are the -172 moneyline favorites to beat the +142 Islanders in tonight's NHL matchup from UBS Arena in Belmont Park, N.Y. I predict the Lightning will win in a contest with six goals or fewer.

🔢 Lightning vs. Islanders odds & betting lines

Here are the latest Lightning vs. Islanders odds and betting lines from our best live betting sites.

🎯 Lightning vs. Islanders score prediction: Lightning 4, Islanders 2

The Lightning have been performing at a consistently high level for most of the season's second half while posting a 16-5-1 record since Feb. 5, which is tied for the second-best points percentage (.750) with the Dallas Stars. Tampa Bay's two months of excellence have resulted in its Stanley Cup odds improving, leapfrogging the Toronto Maple Leafs' odds despite being three points behind in the Atlantic Division.

Teams with a Stanley Cup pedigree prove why that contender status is deserved this time of year, with the best players consistently showing up. That's especially true for the Lightning, who boast several such players to thank for their recent upswing, including Hart Trophy odds outsider Kucherov, who has posted an outlandish 11 points in the last three games.

The same cannot be said for the Islanders, whose leading scorer Bo Horvat has logged 51 points in 72 games. While six straight Islanders games have featured at least seven goals, I can't envision where their offense will come from tonight against probable starter Andrei Vasilevskiy.

The 2018-19 Vezina Trophy winner hasn't allowed more than three goals in six straight starts. Additionally, the Lightning are averaging 2.88 goals per game in their last eight road outings. Compare that to the 4.4 they scored in the previous 10 home games.

New York is also incredibly desperate, so I expect a marginally better defensive outing, which should keep this game under the 6.5-goal threshold.

Best bet: Under 6.5 goals (-134 via bet365)

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💰 Best Lightning vs. Islanders player prop bet odds & expert picks: April 1

Here are my best player prop bet odds and expert picks for tonight's NHL matchup. You can also check out our NHL player prop odds tool for the latest NHL odds at the best legal sportsbooks in your region.

🏒 Best Brayden Point prop pick: Anytime goal ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +140 via Caesars ($10 to win $14)

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Point has scored four goals during his current three-game streak, including two against the Islanders on Saturday. With six goals in his last five games, Point has tallied 38 on the season, leading Jake Guentzel by one.

He logged three goals in his previous four games against the Islanders. I also like the 29-year-old Canadian to register at least three shots, which he's done in four straight outings against tonight's opponent.

Caesars, BetMGM, and FanDuel offer the longest odds at our best sports betting sites.

📊 Best Brayden Point prop bet odds

🏒 Best Brandon Hagel prop pick: Over 0.5 assists ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +135 via bet365 ($10 to win $13.50)

Hagel is another of the Lightning's in-form offensive dynamos, with the 26-year-old picking up an assist in each of the previous six games and eight of the last 10.

He's registered four assists in his previous four games against the Islanders, posting one helper in three of those contests. Hagel is second on the team with 48 assists.

📊 Best Brandon Hagel prop bet odds

🏒 Best Nikita Kucherov prop pick: Over 1.5 points ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +125 via bet365 ($10 to win $12.50)

Kucherov continues to make a last-gasp Hart Trophy claim, scoring at least a point in eight straight matchups. He's put up 17 points during that stretch and exploded for four on Saturday at home versus the Isles. Suddenly, Kucherov is just one point behind Nathan MacKinnon for the league lead.

Like Hagel and Point, Kucherov has also been thriving against tonight's opponent, scoring at least two points in three of the previous four meetings. Kucherov hasn't scored two points in the last seven road games though, which is why this is only a three-star play.

📊 Best Nikita Kucherov prop bet odds

🚑 Lightning vs. Islanders injuries

Here are the latest injuries for tonight's Lightning vs. Islanders matchup, which will update in real time.

📺 How to watch Lightning vs. Islanders tonight

📅 Date: Tuesday, April 1
🕗 Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
📍 Location: UBS Arena (Belmont Park in Elmont, N.Y.)
💻 Streaming: ESPN+, Fubo TV

❓ Lightning vs. Islanders FAQs

Who is favored to win Lightning vs. Islanders?

The Lightning are the -172 moneyline favorites.

What are the odds for Lightning vs. Islanders?

The total is set at 6 or 6.5 goals. The Under is at -134 at FanDuel, with the Over +110.

What time is Lightning vs. Islanders tonight?

Tonight's Lightning vs. Islanders game starts at 7:30 p.m. ET.

How to watch Lightning vs. Islanders

You can watch tonight's Lightning vs. Islanders game on ESPN+.

🥅 Best NHL betting sites

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Written by:
Gary Pearson

Gary Pearson has written professionally since 2010, focusing on sports betting since 2014. Before entering the sports betting space, he contributed to the Canadian Press, FanSided, the Hockey Writers, the Calgary Herald, and other publications. His work has also been featured in Sports Illustrated and Bleacher Report. Gary, who consumes sports like a blue whale devours plankton, has a penchant for writing predictions and analyses across several sports, including hockey, soccer, football, tennis, and more. He bets regularly, preferring single-game picks, props, and live betting. While there isn't a sport he has yet to dabble in, Gary prefers betting on soccer, hockey, and football. He studied at various post-secondary institutions, including the University of Calgary, SAIT Polytechnic, and Griffith University, located in Brisbane, Australia. Gary has a marketing degree and completed his bachelor's degree in journalism at Griffith University. He feels strongly that life experience is as essential as post-secondary education, helping formulate more accurate predictions and analyses. Gary believes that competing at a high level of amateur sports during his formative years helped him better understand an athlete's psyche and the nuances and complexities of a team's dynamic, both on and off the playing surface. He feels that knowledge is immeasurably important when offering his analytical expertise. He has lived on five continents and currently resides in Canada.

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