Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Game 7 Odds, Expert Picks: Who's the Most Productive Game 7 Players?

We look into Toronto Maple Leafs and Florida Panthers who've been productive in previous Game 7s throughout their career, offering picks based on that analysis.

Gary Pearson

Last updated: May 18, 2025 9:52 AM EDT • 5 min read

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Game 7 Odds, Expert Picks: Best Game 7 Prop Picks — Pictured: Florida Panthers forward Carter Verhaeghe skates against the Toronto Maple Leafs. Photo by John E. Sokolowski via Imagn Images

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Florida Panthers have rosters chockfull of elite players who can explode offensively at any moment. But who among them performs well in Game 7 pressure cookers, where goals and chances are usually at a premium?

Our Panthers vs. Maple Leafs odds and expert bets offer the prop picks based on previous Game 7 performances for tonight's decider at Scotiabank Arena (7:30 p.m. ET, TNT).

👉 For more coverage, check out our Panthers vs. Maple Leafs player props.

🏒 Panthers vs. Maple Leafs player props: Best Game 7 performers

🔎 Our NEW NHL player prop odds tool can help you find the best NHL odds across legal sportsbooks in your area! The below star rating, from 1 to 5, offers an evaluation of the player's historical Game 7 offensive output.

Below odds via our best NHL betting sites.

🚨 Mitch Marner ⭐⭐

Marner has played in five Game 7s, scoring two points. Both were assists, one of which came against the Tampa Bay Lightning on home ice during the first round of the 2021-22 playoffs. He has one point in his last four Game 7s and notched just two shots on goal in the last two. However, he has one assist in two home Game 7s.

💰 Best Marner pick: Over 0.5 assists (-147 via Caesars) ($10 bet pays $6.80 profit)

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🚨 Auston Matthews ⭐⭐⭐

Matthews scored his first goal in 11 playoff games against the Panthers in Game 6. It was a critical goal for the team and his confidence. The Maple Leafs captain has a point in each of his last three Game 7s and played well in Game 7 at TD Garden last season despite the Maple Leafs losing in overtime. I'm going out on a limb and backing him to score his first Game 7 goal.

💰 Best Matthews pick: Anytime goal (+180 via FanDuel) ($10 bet pays $18 profit)

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Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Odds, Expert Bets: Best Prop Picks Based on Previous Game 7 Performances — Pictured: Toronto Maple Leafs right wing William Nylander moves the puck against the Florida Panthers. Photo by Sam Navarro via Imagn Images

🚨 William Nylander ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Nylander has two goals in his last three Game 7s, including one in Beantown in a losing effort last season. He averaged 4.5 shots on goal in the previous two Game 7 deciders and is a solid bet to fire at least three on Sergei Bobrovsky tonight.

💰 Best Nylander pick: Over 2.5 shots (-150 via bet365) ($10 bet pays $6.67 profit)

🚨 John Tavares ⭐⭐⭐

Tavares has just one point in four previous Game 7s and none in the last two. However, he has at least three shots on goal in the previous three, averaging 3.33. His only point came on a goal against Boston in 2018-19.

💰 Best Tavares pick: Over 2.5 shots (-142 via DraftKings) ($10 bet pays $7.04 profit)

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🚨 Sam Reinhart ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Reinhart has a 100% record in Game 7s, albeit over a tiny two-game sample size. The sample size bears no significance when talking about scoring the game-winner in Game 7 of the Stanley Cup Final. Reinhart potted the winner against the Edmonton Oilers while lighting the lamp against the Boston Bruins in Game 7 the previous year.

💰 Best Reinhart pick: Anytime goal (+210 via FanDuel) ($10 bet pays $21 profit)

🚨 Sam Bennett ⭐⭐⭐

Bennett has one assist in two Game 7s, averaging two shots on goal. While he usually shows up against the Maple Leafs - scoring a point in four of six games this series - I'm playing the contrarian pick and expecting his fairly quiet Game 7s to continue.

💰 Best Bennett pick: Under 0.5 points (-125 via bet365) ($10 bet pays $8 profit)

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🚨 Aleksander Barkov ⭐⭐⭐

Like Bennett, Barkov has one assist in two Game 7s, which came against Boston during the 2022-23 first round. That said, he had four shots in each Game 7, and I'm expecting him to have a similarly productive outing in Toronto.

💰 Best Bennett pick: Over 2.5 shots (+130 via bet365) ($10 bet pays $13 profit)

🚨 Matthew Tkachuk ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Tkachuk has played in three Game 7s, posting three points (one goal, two assists). He was almost non-existent against the Oilers in Game 7 of the Stanley Cup Final, mustering a single shot and no points. However, he notched an assist against Boston in his first playoffs as a Panther and had two points against the Dallas Stars when he played for the Calgary Flames.

💰 Best Tkachuk pick: Over 0.5 assists (+115 via bet365) ($10 bet pays $11.50 profit)

🚨 Carter Verhaeghe ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Verhaeghe seems to be made for clutch occasions, with the Panthers 29-year-old lighting it up in two Game 7s, posting four points (2 goals, 2 assists). He also mustered seven shots in those games, averaging 3.5. Verhaeghe scored a goal against the Oilers and the Bruins. If you don't remember Verhaeghe's overtime winner in Boston, Brad Marchand certainly will.

💰 Best Verhaeghe pick: Over 0.5 points (-120 via BetMGM) ($10 bet pays $8.33 profit)

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🚨 Brad Marchand ⭐⭐⭐

I find slapping a Game 7 rating on Marchand rather challenging. On one hand, Marchand scored two goals and added a helper in Game 7 of the Stanley Cup Final against the Vancouver Canucks. That epic performance has almost unending staying power. However, the diminutive antagonist has dropped off a cliff since, failing to score a point in the last five deciders.

His last multi-point Game 7 did come against the Maple Leafs, but that was seven years ago. Marchand didn't muster a shot in last season's Game 7 at home against the Maple Leafs, so I'm using that recent performance as a more reliable case study.

💰 Best Marchand pick: Under 1.5 shots (+105 via bet365) ($10 bet pays $10.50 profit)

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Written By:
Gary Pearson

Gary Pearson has written professionally since 2010, focusing on sports betting since 2014. Before entering the sports betting space, he contributed to the Canadian Press, FanSided, the Hockey Writers, the Calgary Herald, and other publications. His work has also been featured in Sports Illustrated and Bleacher Report. Gary, who consumes sports like a blue whale devours plankton, has a penchant for writing predictions and analyses across several sports, including hockey, soccer, football, tennis, and more. He bets regularly, preferring single-game picks, props, and live betting. While there isn't a sport he has yet to dabble in, Gary prefers betting on soccer, hockey, and football. He studied at various post-secondary institutions, including the University of Calgary, SAIT Polytechnic, and Griffith University, located in Brisbane, Australia. Gary has a marketing degree and completed his bachelor's degree in journalism at Griffith University. He feels strongly that life experience is as essential as post-secondary education, helping formulate more accurate predictions and analyses. Gary believes that competing at a high level of amateur sports during his formative years helped him better understand an athlete's psyche and the nuances and complexities of a team's dynamic, both on and off the playing surface. He feels that knowledge is immeasurably important when offering his analytical expertise. He has lived on five continents and currently resides in Canada.