USA vs. Australia Prediction: 2025 SheBelieves Cup Odds, Best Bets & AI Picks
The 2025 SheBelieves Cup continues this afternoon with the United States taking on Australia. Kickoff from State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Ariz., is slated for 5 p.m. ET (TBS).
Our USA vs. Australia prediction and odds analyze the match through a betting lens to offer our favorite picks. Our best soccer betting sites list the U.S. as a heavily juiced favorite (-550) to continue its pick up a second consecutive win at the SheBelieves Cup.
How will the matchday two contest play out, and who are we predicting will find the back of the net?
USA vs. Australia betting odds
Odds courtesy of FanDuel as of Sunday, Feb. 23.
Moneyline
- USA: -550
- Draw: +600
- Australia: +1100
Total
- Over 3.5 goals: +102
- Under 3.5 goals: -128
USA vs. Australia predictions, expert picks & best bets
The United States opened its title defense at the 2025 SheBelieves Cup with a 2-0 victory over Colombia. Meanwhile, Australia's first appearance at the event was one to forget, as it was handily beaten by Japan, 4-0.
The hosts have more attacking firepower than Japan, who easily dispatched the Matildas in the latter's tournament debut, which is why I predict the United States will beat Australia:
🏆 Pick to win USA vs. Colombia: United States to win and one team to score (+103 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
There's little question about which team will win this matchup. The United States is a -550 favorite at all of our best sports betting sites, and you simply won't find us giving out picks at that price. Thus, we've attempted to find value in this contest in a parlay containing the winner pick.
The Stars and Stripes should have little trouble with a Sam Kerr-less Australia team. No disrespect to the Matildas, but they simply lack cohesion in the front line without their superstar forward. Meanwhile, the United States kept Linda Caicedo and Mayra Ramirez at bay as they didn't allow Colombia to register a single shot on Jane Campbell's frame.
The Americans have surrendered just three goals in Emma Hayes' 10 matches in charge. They've registered seven clean sheets under the English manager, and they have yet to lose during her reign. We'll back both of those streaks to continue against a struggling Australian side.
Our best sports betting apps are giving us plus-money odds on the United States to win straight up and be the only team to score, as a $10 winning wager returns $10.30 in profits.
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⚽️ Best goalscorer bet: Catarina Macario (+110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The catalyst for the United States against Colombia, Catarina Macario found herself on the scoresheet for the Stars and Stripes for the first time since 2022. It's important to note the forward had been out for a long period during that span with a devastating injury, she wasn't simply in bad form.
Macario is one of the biggest beneficiaries of Hayes' aggressive attacking tactics. It also helps that she's trained closely with her new boss, who was in charge of Macario's club team, Chelsea, for 12 years. The two only overlapped for one year in West London, but that familiarity goes a long way on the international stage, where managers are only afforded a limited amount of time with players.
Macario has managed 18 shots across her last seven appearances for club and country. It goes without saying she'll have plenty of looks against a leaky Australian defense. Macario's odds at bet365 (+110) suggest an implied probability of 47.62% she'll get on the scoresheet for a second straight outing.
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2025 SheBelieves Cup AI picks & predictions
We asked ChatGPT, the popular chatbot from OpenAI, for its USA vs. Australia AI predictions - including its pick to win and best goalscorer bet. Note that ChatGPT is a large language model and is not specifically designed for sports betting predictions.
🤖 ChatGPT's pick to win: USA (-550 via FanDuel)
"This match promises to be a high-energy contest with lots of attacking play, but the U.S. is expected to come out on top based on their overall depth and strength."
🔮 ChatGPT's score prediction: USA 3-1 Australia (+850 via FanDuel)
"The U.S. is likely to dominate possession and create plenty of chances. While Australia’s attack could threaten the U.S. defense, the depth and quality of the U.S. squad should see them pull off a convincing victory. Australia's defense will be under pressure, and they may concede a few goals to the high-powered U.S. offense."
🎱 ChatGPT's pick to score: Hayley Raso (+700 via bet365)
"A speedy and skilled winger, Raso is known for her ability to create chances and score goals. Her attacking runs and ability to get into dangerous positions make her a good bet to score for Australia, especially on counterattacks or from crosses into the box."
2025 SheBelieves Cup odds & favorites
While there is no futures market for the 2025 SheBelieves Cup, it's assumed the United States is the favorite heading into the tournament. The Stars and Stripes have won seven of the nine events since its inception in 2016. Only France (2017) and England (2019) have successfully dethroned the perennial hosts.
The U.S. has won the last five tournaments, and it'll be expected to add to that tally, whereas Australia is appearing in the competition for the first time. Japan (No. 8 in the FIFA World Rankings) and Colombia (No. 21) will also look to compete for glory.
📺 How to watch USA vs. Australia
📅 Date: Sunday, Feb. 23, 2025
🕒 Start time: 5 p.m. ET
📍 Location: State Farm Stadium (Glendale, Ariz.)
📺 TV: TBS | Streaming: Max (English), Peacock (Spanish), fuboTV
❓SheBelievesCup FAQs
What is the SheBelieves Cup?
The SheBelieves Cup is an invitational tournament hosted by the United States Soccer Federation. It is played annually in late February or early March and coincides with other popular international women's tournaments, such as the Algarve Cup, the Arnold Clark Cup, and the Cup of Nations.
Who is favored to win the 2025 SheBelieves Cup?
The United States will be favored to win the 2025 SheBelieves Cup as a reigning seven-time winner of the tournament and the perennial host. There is no futures betting market, but the U.S. is the biggest favorite in the opening matches as the top-ranked team in the world.
Where is the 2025 SheBelieves Cup?
The 2025 SheBelieves Cup will be held in the United States across three cities: Glendale, Houston, and San Diego.
Who won the SheBelieves Cup last year?
The United States won last year's SheBelieves Cup 5-4 on penalties over Canada after a 2-2 finish in regulation. It was the Stars and Stripes' fifth consecutive SheBelieves Cup victory and seventh overall.
🏟️ Soccer betting odds pages
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